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Mersin SKAnkara Kolejliler

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 13:0031 Oct, 13:00

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges88.3%Strongest

Strong lean

Quick Take

Read first

Mersin SK are 7-0 in the TBL and host a 3-5 Ankara Kolejliler side that has scored 72 points or fewer in three of four league road games.

A home win by around 15 points is the likeliest shape of it. Over 79.5 combined first-half points at 1.88 is the one price that offers an edge; Ankara's 95-point night at Kecioren on 7 October is the reason to hesitate.

Context

A clear gap in league records and home scoring gives Mersin a firm sporting advantage, but the TBL setting, absent availability confirmation and a modest stakes picture keep the wider impact limited.

Mersin’s most recent completed TBL game was the 85–73 victory over Kipaş İstiklal on 24 October. Kruize Pinkins supplied 27 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in that result. It is the home side’s immediate league-form reference before facing Ankara Kolejliler.
- Mersin beat Kipaş İstiklal 85–73 on 24 October.
- Kruize Pinkins recorded 27 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists.
Ankara Kolejliler’ latest completed TBL result was the 72–66 home defeat to Yalova Haremspor on 24 October, after a five-point halftime deficit. It provides the immediate league-form backdrop for the 31 October match.
- Ankara Kolejliler lost 72–66 to Yalova Haremspor on 24 October.
- Ankara Kolejliler trailed 44–39 at halftime.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result6 outcomes · top 88.3%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK win in about 88 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · Match WinnerMersin SKEstimated chance88.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultMersin SKEstimated chance79.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mersin SK and 15 for Ankara Kolejliler, across seasons and competitions.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapMersin SK +1.5Estimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultMersin SKEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK cover -9.5 (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · HandicapMersin SK -9.5Estimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mersin SK and 15 for Ankara Kolejliler, across seasons and competitions.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapMersin SK -1.5Estimated chance67.2%

Points4 outcomes · top 74.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Ankara Kolejliler score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mersin SK and 15 for Ankara Kolejliler, across seasons and competitions.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsAnkara Kolejliler under 21.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · Team PointsMersin SK over 83.5Estimated chance72.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. Mersin SK score fewer than 25.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mersin SK and 15 for Ankara Kolejliler, across seasons and competitions.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsMersin SK under 25.5Estimated chance69.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Mersin SK 89.2, Ankara Kolejliler 74.1. The 2nd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Mersin SK and 15 for Ankara Kolejliler, across seasons and competitions.
- Mersin are 7-0 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 89.3 points for / 76.0 against (7 games to 24 Oct).
- At home in the TBL this season Mersin scored 95, 92 and 87 points in three games (26 Sep–18 Oct).
- Ankara Kolejliler are 3-5 in the 2026-27 TBL and average 77.1 for / 78.8 against (8 games to 24 Oct).
- On the road in the TBL this season Ankara scored 72, 95, 64 and 72 points and allowed 80.3 per game (four games).
- Over the last 15 box scores Mersin shoot 59.2% on 2s / 37.2% on 3s / 76.0% FT; Ankara 53.1% / 34.0% / 68.4%.
- Ankara lost 72–66 at home to Harem Spor on 24 Oct and trailed 44–39 at halftime.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 37.5Estimated chance68.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 04:22

Selected line

158.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

62%

Chance of 159+ points

+5 pp above break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 62%.

Move the line main 158.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L92–74

Ankara Kolejlilerv

Mersin SK

Sep 28, 2022·FED

W72–77

Ankara Kolejlilerv

Mersin BSB

Jan 31, 2022·TBL

W92–86

Mersin BSBv

Ankara Kolejliler

Oct 11, 2021·TBL

L72–62

Ankara Kolejlilerv

Mersin BSB

Apr 24, 2021·TB2

W80–87

Ankara Kolejlilerv

Mersin BSB

Apr 21, 2021·TB2

W80–74

Mersin BSBv

Ankara Kolejliler

Oct 5, 2013·TUR

158Avg total points

8.7Avg margin

6meetings

League table

TBL · TBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Mersin SK

7–0100%

Ankara Kolejliler

3–538%

Recent Form

Mersin SK

7W 8L · last 15

at Kipas Istiklal85–73 Oct 24TBL

vs Darussafaka95–82 Oct 18TBL

at Fenerbahce 285–77 Oct 11TBL

vs Gaziantep92–70 Oct 8TBL

at iLab Basketbol81–78 Oct 4TBL

vs Konya BBSK87–82 Sep 26TBL

at MKE Ankaragucu100–70 Sep 19TBL

at Trabzonspor80–90 May 10BAS

vs Anadolu Efes86–88 May 2BAS

at Merkezefendi93–101 Apr 27BAS

vs Bursaspor84–86 Apr 18BAS

at Esenler Erokspor78–88 Apr 11BAS

vs Buyukcekmece87–94 Apr 4BAS

at Karsiyaka87–92 Mar 29BAS

at Turk Telekom71–111 Mar 22BAS

Ankara Kolejliler

4W 11L · last 15

vs Harem Spor66–72 Oct 24TBL

at CO Basket72–63 Oct 17TBL

vs Final Spor75–77 Oct 10TBL

at Kecioren Baglum95–90 Oct 7TBL

vs Balikesir85–91 Oct 3TBL

at Goztepe64–85 Sep 26TBL

at Kipas Istiklal72–83 Sep 19TBL

vs Darussafaka88–69 Sep 12TBL

vs Bordo Sportif54–85 May 2TBL

at Bordo Sportif70–93 Apr 29TBL

vs CO Basket97–88 Apr 25TBL

at Kipas Istiklal72–79 Apr 22TBL

at Darussafaka105–110 Apr 18TBL

at Cayirova67–95 Apr 12TBL

vs Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor82–88 Apr 8TBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Mersin SK

Stats

3–2

Ankara Kolejliler

Mersin SK leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+6.1pp

59.2%

+6.1pp

53.1%

3-point %+3.2pp

37.2%

+3.2pp

34.0%

Free-throw %+7.6pp

76.0%

+7.6pp

68.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.2pp apart

37.4%

7.2pp apart

30.2%

Free throws per shot5.7pp apart

31.7%

5.7pp apart

26.0%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.4

31.9

+1.4

33.3

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

14.4

0.8 fewer

13.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.