LiganUpcoming

Koping StarsUmea

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:0431 Oct, 15:04

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges76.3%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Two struggling sides meet in Ligan, Koping at 2-5 and Umea at 1-6.

Koping shoot far better and have won nine of the last ten meetings, so a 40-minute score near 87.5-79.2 points to a home win. Nothing among the prices on offer is worth backing; the over 170.5 combined points at 1.78 is the one to leave alone.

Context

Neither side carries a reported availability issue, both had about 3.9 days' rest after playing on 2026-10-27, and the head-to-head record is the strongest single sporting factor.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 74.4%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars win in about 74 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · Match WinnerKoping StarsEstimated chance74.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultKoping StarsEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Koping Stars and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapKoping Stars +0.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultKoping StarsEstimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Koping Stars and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapKoping Stars -0.5Estimated chance61.4%

Points5 outcomes · top 76.3%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 46.5 points in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Koping Stars and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 46.5Estimated chance76.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Umea score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Koping Stars and 15 for Umea, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsUmea under 22.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointsKoping Stars under 23.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointsUnder 43.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Koping Stars 87.5, Umea 79.2. Koping Stars score fewer than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Basketligan table on 2026-10-30, Koping is 2-5 with 84.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed per game; Umea is 1-6 with 75.4 scored and 86.0 allowed.
- Over 15 tracked games, Koping shoots 55.2% on two-pointers and 37.6% on three-pointers, while Umea shoots 50.9% and 29.9%.
- Koping has won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 105-81 at home on 2026-03-07 in Basketligan.
- Koping's three current home games average 81.0 points scored and 87.3 allowed; Umea's four away games average 75.5 scored and 83.8 allowed.
- Both teams last played on 2026-10-27 and have about 3.9 days of rest before this game.
- Umea's 93-96 loss to BC Lulea on 2026-10-27 went to overtime, so its raw points from that game overstate regulation scoring.
BetBugs · Team PointsKoping Stars under 90.5Estimated chance59.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 01:56

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

43%

Chance of 171+ points

14 pp below break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 43%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 43%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 57%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W105–81

Koping Starsv Umea

Umea

Mar 7, 2026·BAS

W78–84

Umeav

Koping Stars

Dec 16, 2025·BAS

W83–103

Umeav

Koping Stars

Oct 10, 2025·BAS

W97–103

Umeav

Koping Stars

Mar 28, 2025·BAS

W64–92

Umeav

Koping Stars

Mar 6, 2025·BAS

W98–64

Koping Starsv Umea

Umea

Dec 13, 2024·BAS

W100–97

Koping Starsv Umea

Umea

Oct 25, 2024·BAS

L85–86

Koping Starsv Umea

Umea

Mar 14, 2024·BAS

W90–100

Umeav

Koping Stars

Feb 6, 2024·BAS

W94–98

Umeav

Koping Stars

Dec 12, 2023·BAS

180.2Avg total points

13.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Ligan · Basketligan - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Koping Stars

2–529%

Umea

1–614%

Recent Form

Koping Stars

5W 10L · last 15

at Hogsbo84–82 Oct 27BAS

vs Sodertalje76–79 Oct 23BAS

at Norrkoping80–103 Oct 16BAS

vs Uppsala87–94 Oct 13BAS

at Sloga Uppsala94–81 Oct 9BAS

vs Boras80–89 Oct 2BAS

at BC Lulea91–95 Sep 25BAS

vs Jamtland92–114 Mar 28BAS

at Jamtland94–98 Mar 25BAS

at Jamtland101–103 Mar 23BAS

at BC Lulea99–86 Mar 17BAS

vs Jamtland98–137 Mar 13BAS

vs Umea105–81 Mar 7BAS

at Sodertalje83–101 Feb 17BAS

vs Hogsbo110–96 Feb 13BAS

Umea

2W 13L · last 15

vs BC Lulea93–96 OTOct 27BAS

at Uppsala71–53 Oct 23BAS

at Nassjo78–88 Oct 19BAS

at Boras78–86 Oct 17BAS

vs Jamtland69–93 Oct 9BAS

vs Sodertalje64–78 Sep 29BAS

at Norrkoping75–108 Sep 25BAS

vs Uppsala84–87 Mar 17BAS

at Hogsbo77–81 Mar 14BAS

at Koping Stars81–105 Mar 7BAS

vs Jamtland90–99 Feb 17BAS

at Norrkoping78–103 Feb 13BAS

vs Sloga Uppsala97–80 Feb 7BAS

at Nassjo108–120 OTFeb 3BAS

vs BC Lulea65–87 Jan 27BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Koping Stars

Stats

5–0

Umea

Koping Stars leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+4.3pp

55.2%

+4.3pp

50.9%

3-point %+7.7pp

37.6%

+7.7pp

29.9%

Free-throw %+2.2pp

71.4%

+2.2pp

69.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.9pp apart

31.7%

4.9pp apart

26.8%

Free throws per shot2.4pp apart

32.1%

2.4pp apart

34.5%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+2.0

35.5

+2.0

33.5

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

15.3

1.2 fewer

16.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.