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GranadaFuenlabrada

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:0031 Oct, 17:00

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges71.8%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Granada hosting a Fuenlabrada side with one win in five should end in a home victory, something like 84.5-78.5 after 40 minutes.

The one price that offers anything is over 39.5 combined points in the second quarter at 1.87; the Granada winner and the -4.5 handicap are the sporting read, not the edge.

Context

Fuenlabrada's Goran Huskic is still working back to full comfort after injury four days before tip-off, and Granada arrive from an overtime derby win on 25 October. Neither factor changes the likely result on its own.

Huskic was still describing his recovery process four days before the trip to Granada. That leaves some uncertainty around his conditioning and role in Fuenlabrada's rotation for this fixture.
- Goran Huskic discussed his return from injury on 27 October.
- He said he remains determined to reach the point where he feels comfortable again.
Fuenlabrada's coach has framed this specific road game around defensive possessions and control of the boards. The comments do not establish a lineup or individual availability.
- The 30 October pre-game briefing focused on defensive solidity and rebounding for the Granada trip.
The overtime derby was Granada's most recent reported result before Fuenlabrada's visit six days later. It provides recent competitive context without establishing a physical effect for this game.
- Granada won the Andalusian derby after overtime on 25 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointsUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 39.5

1.87fair 1.73

Market 53.5% · BetBugs 57.9%

+4.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Granada has scored in the low-to-mid 80s at home and faces a Fuenlabrada side averaging under 79 points and shooting free throws poorly, so a modest home win with both teams in the high 70s to mid 80s fits the recent scoring and conceding records.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 69.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Granada and 15 for Fuenlabrada, across seasons and competitions.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapGranada +2.5Estimated chance69.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada win in about 68 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · Match WinnerGranadaEstimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Granada and 15 for Fuenlabrada, across seasons and competitions.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapGranada +0.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultGranadaEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultGranadaEstimated chance57.5%

Points5 outcomes · top 71.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Fuenlabrada score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Granada and 15 for Fuenlabrada, across seasons and competitions.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsFuenlabrada under 22.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Granada and 15 for Fuenlabrada, across seasons and competitions.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 43.5Estimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.87
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 39.5Market price1.87Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. The 1st quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointsOver 39.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Granada 84.5, Fuenlabrada 78.5. Granada score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Granada's five Primera FEB games in 2026-27: 409 points scored (81.8 per game) and 407 conceded (81.4), including home games of 91 vs Tizona Burgos (10 Oct) and 76 vs Gipuzkoa (26 Sep).
- Fuenlabrada's five league games in 2026-27: 393 scored (78.6) and 412 conceded (82.4); away trips produced 79 at Estela (17 Oct), 74 at Caja 87 (11 Oct) and 82 at Alicante (26 Sep).
- Granada's overall shooting across 14 tracked box scores: 54.8% on two-pointers, 34.5% on three-pointers and a high free-throw rate (367 attempts on 875 field-goal attempts), which supports a steady mid-80s home total.
- Fuenlabrada's 14 tracked boxes show 51.8% twos, 34.5% threes but only 72.0% free throws and a much lower free-throw rate (254 attempts on 864 field-goal attempts), limiting easy points on the road.
- Granada beat Fuenlabrada in both 2022-23 ACB meetings (83-71 at home on 5 Feb 2023, 83-81 away), but those rosters are three seasons old and only a weak signal.
- Granada had six days' rest after its overtime derby win on 25 October; Fuenlabrada also had six days, so neither side is short on recovery.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsGranada over 20.5Estimated chance57%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 04:05

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 165+ points

7 pp below break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W83–71

Granadav

Fuenlabrada

Feb 5, 2023·ACB

W81–83

Fuenlabradav Granada

Granada

Sep 29, 2022·ACB

159Avg total points

7Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Primera FEB · Primera FEB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Granada

3–260%

Fuenlabrada

1–420%

Recent Form

Granada

6W 9L · last 15

at Caja 8784–81 OTOct 25PRI

at Zamora81–89 Oct 17PRI

vs Tizona Burgos91–88 Oct 10PRI

at Oviedo77–67 Oct 3PRI

vs Gipuzkoa76–82 Sep 26PRI

at San Pablo Burgos105–110 May 29ACB

vs Tenerife96–109 May 23ACB

at Baskonia85–121 May 17ACB

vs Barcelona98–101 May 13ACB

at Basket Zaragoza85–74 May 9ACB

at Bilbao83–88 May 3ACB

vs MoraBanc Andorra89–86 Apr 26ACB

vs Unicaja83–71 Apr 19ACB

at Murcia91–107 Apr 12ACB

vs Basquet Girona84–91 Apr 4ACB

Fuenlabrada

8W 7L · last 15

vs Menorca90–76 Oct 25PRI

at Estela79–84 Oct 17PRI

at Caja 8774–77 Oct 11PRI

vs Gran Canaria68–79 Oct 3PRI

at Alicante82–96 Sep 26PRI

at Palencia51–76 May 29PRI

vs Palencia78–72 May 24PRI

vs Palencia88–81 May 22PRI

at Palencia79–83 May 17PRI

at Palencia52–90 May 15PRI

vs Estudiantes77–70 May 8PRI

vs Cartagena91–82 Apr 26PRI

at Estela89–80 Apr 22PRI

vs Leyma Coruna75–74 Apr 18PRI

at Oviedo73–65 Apr 11PRI

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Granada

14 games

Stats

3–1

Fuenlabrada

14 games

Granada leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–0

2-point %+3.0pp

54.8%

+3.0pp

51.8%

3-point %—

34.5%

—

34.5%

Free-throw %+6.7pp

78.7%

+6.7pp

72.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.8pp apart

30.3%

2.8pp apart

33.1%

Free throws per shot12.5pp apart

41.9%

12.5pp apart

29.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.0

32.9

+2.0

30.9

Turnovers per game11.1 fewer

11.1

11.1 fewer

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.