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Golden Eagle YlliRahoveci

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 18:3031 Oct, 18:30

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges83.7%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Rahoveci bring 100- and 106-point league performances into a game projected to finish close, Ylli 89.7 to Rahoveci 87.0 after 40 minutes.

Ylli to win at 1.39 and to be ahead after 40 minutes at 1.41 both ask more of the home side than the evidence supports, and Ylli -5.5 at 1.76 gives away too much ground. Only Rahoveci to be ahead at half-time at 2.62 pays enough.

Context

Rahoveci have scored 100 and 106 in their past two Superliga games while Ylli's two home league scores split between 95 and 64, which is what holds the projection to a narrow 89.7-87.0 rather than a wider home margin.

Kareem Rozier's eight three-pointers came in Rahoveci's second straight win on 24 October. It provides recent perimeter-form context for the 31 October game against Golden Eagle Ylli, though one reported shooting display does not establish a repeat performance.
- Kareem Rozier reportedly made eight three-pointers in Rahoveci's 24 October victory.
- Rahoveci's win on 24 October was described as its second in a row.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half ResultUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Rahoveci

2.62fair 2.39

Market 38.2% · BetBugs 41.8%

+3.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Rahoveci are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 42 of 100 games like this. Ylli's home defense and Rahoveci's leaky away defense point to a close, moderately high-scoring game, with the home floor slightly offsetting Rahoveci's stronger recent scoring. I expect both teams in the high 80s, with Ylli just ahead.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 58.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Golden Eagle Ylli win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · Match WinnerGolden Eagle YlliEstimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Rahoveci cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapRahoveci +3.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Rahoveci cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · HandicapRahoveci +5.5Estimated chance57.7%

Points7 outcomes · top 83.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Rahoveci score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Golden Eagle Ylli and 15 for Rahoveci, across seasons and competitions.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsRahoveci over 16.5Estimated chance83.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. The game has more than 170.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · Total PointsOver 170.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Golden Eagle Ylli score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Golden Eagle Ylli and 15 for Rahoveci, across seasons and competitions.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsGolden Eagle Ylli over 20.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Golden Eagle Ylli score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Golden Eagle Ylli and 15 for Rahoveci, across seasons and competitions.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsGolden Eagle Ylli over 20.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Golden Eagle Ylli and 15 for Rahoveci, across seasons and competitions.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 42.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. Rahoveci score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointsRahoveci over 20.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Golden Eagle Ylli 89.7, Rahoveci 87.0. The 1st quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Golden Eagle Ylli are 3-3 in the 2026-27 Superliga through 25 Oct, averaging 79.7 points scored and 86.3 allowed.
- Rahoveci are 2-4 through 24 Oct, averaging 91.7 points scored and 96.8 allowed, and have won their last two games while scoring 100 and 106.
- At home in the current Superliga, Ylli scored 95 against Peja on 11 Oct and 64 against Bora on 27 Sep, allowing 77.0 per game.
- On the road in the current Superliga, Rahoveci scored 106 at Peja on 17 Oct and 65 at Bora on 5 Oct, allowing 89.5 per game.
- K. Shabazz averages 25.0 points in three 2026-27 games for Ylli; M. Adams-Woods averages 28.8 in five for Rahoveci and K. Rozier 16.8 in five.
- Last season at Ylli, the Superliga meetings were 94-80 Ylli on 10 Jan 2026 and 83-89 in overtime on 8 Apr 2026; across 15 tracked games Rahoveci turns it over less (12.7 vs 15.3).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointsOver 42.5Estimated chance59.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 04:22

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

66%

Chance of 171+ points

+12 pp above break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 66%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 66%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 34%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L83–89

Golden Eagle Ylliv

Rahoveci

Apr 8, 2026·SUPOT

L75–69

Rahoveciv

Golden Eagle Ylli

Feb 20, 2026·SUP

W94–80

Golden Eagle Ylliv

Rahoveci

Jan 10, 2026·SUP

L85–77

Rahoveciv

Golden Eagle Ylli

Nov 22, 2025·SUP

W72–66

Golden Eagle Ylliv

Rahoveci

Feb 12, 2023·SUP

W70–99

Rahoveciv

Golden Eagle Ylli

Jan 18, 2023·SUP

W109–59

Golden Eagle Ylliv

Rahoveci

Oct 30, 2022·SUP

L90–88

Rahoveciv

Golden Eagle Ylli

Sep 10, 2022·SUP

W69–72

Rahoveciv

Golden Eagle Ylli

Apr 17, 2022·SUP

W91–80

Golden Eagle Ylliv

Rahoveci

Mar 2, 2022·LIG

161.7Avg total points

13.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Superliga · Superliga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Golden Eagle Ylli

3–350%

Rahoveci

2–433%

Recent Form

Golden Eagle Ylli

7W 8L · last 15

at Trepca71–100 Oct 25SUP

at Vellaznimi100–86 Oct 17SUP

vs Peja95–79 Oct 11SUP

at Sigal Prishtina88–82 Oct 4SUP

vs Bora64–75 Sep 27SUP

at Bashkimi60–96 Sep 20SUP

vs Peja70–82 Apr 18SUP

at Peja81–99 Apr 15SUP

vs Peja93–82 Apr 11SUP

vs Rahoveci83–89 OTApr 8SUP

at Bora83–79 Apr 3SUP

at Bashkimi70–95 Mar 29SUP

at Peja80–74 Mar 26LIG

at Beselidhja76–63 Mar 25LIG

vs Trepca80–91 Mar 22SUP

Rahoveci

6W 9L · last 15

vs Vellaznimi100–99 Oct 24SUP

at Peja106–95 Oct 17SUP

vs Sigal Prishtina94–97 Oct 11SUP

at Bora65–84 Oct 5SUP

vs Bashkimi84–100 Sep 26SUP

vs Trepca101–106 Sep 19SUP

at Golden Eagle Ylli89–83 OTApr 8SUP

vs Trepca84–97 Apr 4SUP

at Vellaznimi67–63 Mar 28SUP

vs Peja81–89 Mar 21SUP

at Sigal Prishtina69–67 Mar 14SUP

vs Bashkimi88–93 OTMar 9SUP

vs Bora77–85 Mar 4SUP

vs Golden Eagle Ylli75–69 Feb 20SUP

at Trepca77–86 Feb 15SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Golden Eagle Ylli

Stats

2–3

Rahoveci

Rahoveci leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.3pp

52.4%

+2.3pp

50.1%

3-point %+3.3pp

31.6%

+3.3pp

34.9%

Free-throw %+3.0pp

68.8%

+3.0pp

71.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.8pp apart

35.8%

1.8pp apart

37.6%

Free throws per shot2.8pp apart

33.4%

2.8pp apart

30.6%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.0

33.9

+1.0

32.9

Turnovers per game2.6 fewer

15.3

2.6 fewer

12.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.