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FyllingenBaerum

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 14:0031 Oct, 14:00

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges93.1%Strongest

Strong lean

Quick Take

Read first

Fyllingen have won nine of the last ten meetings with Baerum and score 107.0 points a game in the BLNO, so a home win is the plain expectation.

The counterweight is a 67-99 loss at Kongsberg on 18 October and 142- and 153-point games that make their scoring hard to pin down. Under 95.5 combined points in the first half at 1.82 is the one price that offers anything.

Context

A one-sided recent head-to-head and Fyllingen's 107.0 points per game point clearly one way, but Fyllingen's own scoring has swung from 153 points to 67 points inside a fortnight and Baerum have no statistical record this season, so the matchup is less settled than the series suggests.

Fyllingen produced two exceptional league scorelines in consecutive away games on 10 and 11 October, including a new regular-season scoring record at Nidaros Jets before surpassing it against TNT Towers. Those results are recent domestic form context ahead of Bærum, although later fixtures mean they do not define the lineup or conditions for this game.
- Fyllingen beat Nidaros Jets 142-61 on 10 October.
- The 142-point total set a new BLNO regular-season scoring record.
- Fyllingen followed with a 153-91 win over TNT Towers on 11 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Under 95.5

1.82fair 1.65

Market 54.9% · BetBugs 60.7%

+5.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. The 1st half has fewer than 95.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Fyllingen's current BLNO scoring and home defense give them a clear advantage, while Baerum's away games have combined low scoring with poor defense. A score around the low 100s to low 80s fits both the recent head-to-head pattern and the current-season averages.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 93.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 93 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minFyllingenEstimated chance93.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 86 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultFyllingenEstimated chance85.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Baerum cover +29.5 (overtime included) in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · HandicapBaerum +29.5Estimated chance78.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultFyllingenEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Baerum cover +17.5 in the 1st half in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapBaerum +17.5Estimated chance75.6%

Points5 outcomes · top 79.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Baerum score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fyllingen and 15 for Baerum, across seasons and competitions.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsBaerum over 16.5Estimated chance79.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen score fewer than 109.5 points (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · Team PointsFyllingen under 109.5Estimated chance75.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen score fewer than 56.5 points in the 1st half in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsFyllingen under 56.5Estimated chance74.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 50.5 points in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fyllingen and 15 for Baerum, across seasons and competitions.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 50.5Estimated chance74.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fyllingen 102.2, Baerum 82.7. Fyllingen score fewer than 28.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Fyllingen are 4-2 in BLNO through six games, averaging 107.0 points for and 82.5 against (standings observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Baerum are 3-5 in BLNO through eight games, averaging 87.1 points for and 99.0 against; away they have averaged 79.5 scored and 103.5 allowed in four games.
- At home in BLNO this season Fyllingen have averaged 93.3 points for and 81.3 against in three games: 102-96 vs Ammerud, 110-68 vs Tromso and 68-80 vs Gimle.
- Fyllingen are 9-1 in the last ten meetings since Feb 2024; the five games at Fyllingen averaged 95.8 for Fyllingen and 82.6 for Baerum.
- Fyllingen's four accepted box scores, mostly from ENBL, show 41.3% two-point, 33.6% three-point and 70.2% free-throw shooting with 33.3 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers per game; Baerum have no box-score observations this season.
- Fyllingen scored 142 and 153 in consecutive BLNO away wins on 10-11 Oct 2026, but also lost 67-99 at Kongsberg on 18 Oct, showing wide game-to-game variance.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointsFyllingen under 28.5Estimated chance72.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 01:56

Selected line

187.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

44%

Chance of 188+ points

12 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 44%.

Move the line main 187.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 44%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 56%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W92–101

Baerumv

Fyllingen

Feb 15, 2026·BLN

W73–98

Baerumv

Fyllingen

Nov 22, 2025·BLN

W101–79

Fyllingenv Baerum

Baerum

Nov 1, 2025·BLN

W62–70

Baerumv

Fyllingen

Jan 19, 2025·BLN

W91–70

Fyllingenv Baerum

Baerum

Nov 9, 2024·BLN

L80–85

Fyllingenv Baerum

Baerum

Oct 5, 2024·BLN

W104–94

Fyllingenv Baerum

Baerum

Apr 18, 2024·BLN

W73–87

Baerumv

Fyllingen

Apr 14, 2024·BLN

W103–85

Fyllingenv Baerum

Baerum

Apr 11, 2024·BLN

W78–89

Baerumv

Fyllingen

Feb 18, 2024·BLN

171.5Avg total points

14.3Avg margin

10meetings

League table

BLNO · BLNO - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Fyllingen

4–267%

Baerum

3–538%

Recent Form

Fyllingen

8W 7L · last 15

vs Ammerud102–96 Oct 24BLN

at AEL58–76 Oct 21ENB

at Kongsberg Miners67–99 Oct 18BLN

at TNT Towers153–91 Oct 11BLN

at Nidaros Jets142–61 Oct 10BLN

vs Zrinjski Mostar75–71 Oct 8ENB

vs Spartak Pleven54–79 Sep 30ENB

vs Tromso110–68 Sep 26BLN

at Tal Tech94–95 Sep 23ENB

vs Gimle68–80 Sep 20BLN

vs Gimle80–76 Apr 30BLN

at Gimle89–87 Apr 27BLN

vs Gimle105–107 Apr 23BLN

at Gimle92–89 Apr 21BLN

vs Gimle84–91 Apr 16BLN

Baerum

5W 10L · last 15

vs TNT Towers109–89 Oct 25BLN

vs Centrum Tigers93–83 Oct 13BLN

at Gimle72–111 Oct 11BLN

at Froya75–106 Oct 10BLN

at Tromso75–115 Oct 3BLN

vs Kongsberg Miners84–103 Sep 29BLN

at Nidaros Jets96–82 Sep 26BLN

vs Ammerud93–103 Sep 20BLN

vs Kongsberg Miners67–73 Mar 16BLN

at Kongsberg Miners79–89 Mar 12BLN

vs Nidaros Jets117–80 Mar 8BLN

at Kongsberg Miners88–100 Mar 4BLN

vs Gimle80–92 Feb 22BLN

vs Fyllingen92–101 Feb 15BLN

vs Nidaros Jets86–70 Feb 8BLN

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Fyllingen

4 games

Stats

0–0

Baerum

0 games

Not enough shared stats for a comparison.

Shooting· 0–0

2-point %—

41.3%

—

–

3-point %—

33.6%

—

–

Free-throw %—

70.2%

—

–

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s—

41.6%

—

–

Free throws per shot—

21.4%

—

–

Possession· 0–0

Rebounds per game—

33.3

—

–

Turnovers per game—

11.5

—

–

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.