Latvia-Estonian LeagueUpcoming

BK LiepajaViimsi

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:0031 Oct, 15:00

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges75.5%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Two of the Latvia-Estonian League's bottom sides meet with Viimsi arriving less than a day after a 60-75 loss at Ventspils.

Liepaja, 1-5 in the league, are the likelier winner, about 82-77 on the expected score, though Viimsi have shot two-pointers better over their last 15 games. Prices are posted throughout, but no price stands out.

Context

Viimsi's 30 October game at Ventspils leaves roughly 22 hours before tip-off, against almost four days for Liepaja since their 27 October ENBL game. The gap in preparation is real, but no rotation, availability or fitness change has been established, so its sporting effect is uncertain.

The Ventspils result is Viimsi's immediately preceding completed Latvia–Estonia League game. It places a league fixture on the eve of the trip to Liepāja, but the result does not establish any player availability or rotation change for Saturday.
- Ventspils beat Viimsi 75–60 at home on 30 October.
Liepāja hosted Bristol in ENBL Group A on 27 October before returning to Latvia–Estonia League action against Viimsi. The additional midweek game is part of the club's recent competitive schedule, without establishing a rotation or fitness change for this fixture.
- Bristol Flyers completed an ENBL road victory in Liepāja on 27 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 66.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. BK Liepaja win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · Match WinnerBK LiepajaEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. Viimsi cover +10.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · HandicapViimsi +10.5Estimated chance65.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. BK Liepaja cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapBK Liepaja +0.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. Viimsi cover +5.5 in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapViimsi +5.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. BK Liepaja are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultBK LiepajaEstimated chance60.2%

Points5 outcomes · top 75.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. Viimsi score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsViimsi over 15.5Estimated chance75.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. Viimsi score more than 73.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · Team PointsViimsi over 73.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 41.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. Viimsi score more than 36.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsViimsi over 36.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 82.1, Viimsi 76.7. BK Liepaja score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 1-5 in the 2026 Latvia-Estonian League, averaging 74.8 points scored and 82.7 conceded over six games (table observed 30 Oct 2026).
- Viimsi are 1-7 in the same league, averaging 73.4 scored and 82.8 conceded over eight games, including a 75-60 loss at Ventspils on 30 October 2026.
- At home in the league, Liepaja have scored 84.0 points per game across three games (83, 98, 71); Viimsi away in the league have scored 75.3 across four games (60, 72, 88, 81).
- Viimsi played on 30 October, less than one day before this game, while Liepaja last played on 27 October.
- In the most recent meeting at Liepaja, on 8 November 2025, Viimsi won 83-80; the current-season squads differ.
- From accepted boxes, Liepaja shoot 46.2% on two-pointers and 32.2% on three-pointers (10 games), against Viimsi's 48.6% and 31.4% (15 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsBK Liepaja under 21.5Estimated chance59.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 20:08

Selected line

158.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 159+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 158.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L76–71

Viimsiv

BK Liepaja

Mar 4, 2026·LAT

L80–83

BK Liepajav Viimsi

Viimsi

Nov 8, 2025·LAT

W87–54

BK Liepajav Viimsi

Viimsi

Feb 8, 2025·LAT

W67–97

Viimsiv

BK Liepaja

Dec 1, 2024·LAT

L73–79

BK Liepajav Viimsi

Viimsi

Mar 16, 2024·LAT

L78–73

Viimsiv

BK Liepaja

Nov 19, 2023·LAT

W97–79

BK Liepajav Viimsi

Viimsi

Jan 8, 2023·LAT

L82–67

Viimsiv

BK Liepaja

Nov 19, 2022·LAT

L66–74

BK Liepajav Viimsi

Viimsi

Jan 22, 2022·LATOT

L81–69

Viimsiv

BK Liepaja

Nov 7, 2021·LAT

153.3Avg total points

13.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

BK Liepaja

1–517%

Viimsi

1–713%

Recent Form

BK Liepaja

5W 10L · last 15

vs Bristol Flyers72–85 Oct 27ENB

at Kapfenberg Bulls83–108 Oct 21ENB

at Rigas Zelli69–85 Oct 17LAT

vs Tal Tech71–78 Oct 14LAT

vs Rigas Juniori98–88 Oct 11LAT

vs Lausanne Basket81–74 Oct 6ENB

at VEF Riga55–82 Oct 3LAT

vs Tartu Ulikool83–87 Sep 30LAT

at Parnu73–76 Sep 26LAT

vs Tindastoll69–92 Sep 23ENB

vs Moldova U18106–96 Jul 26EUR

vs San Marino U1888–54 Jul 25EUR

at Kosovo U1865–90 Jul 23EUR

vs Andorra U1881–89 Jul 22EUR

at Gibraltar U1882–62 Jul 21EUR

Viimsi

2W 13L · last 15

at Ventspils60–75 Oct 30LAT

at Keila KK72–78 Oct 27LAT

at Latvijas Universitate88–86 Oct 20LAT

vs BK Ogre69–76 Oct 16LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via87–91 Oct 11LAT

at Rigas Juniori81–82 Oct 7LAT

vs Tal Tech64–85 Oct 4LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo66–89 Sep 27LAT

at Parnu69–94 Apr 16KOR

vs Parnu81–96 Apr 13KOR

at Parnu81–87 Apr 10KOR

at Rigas Zelli74–90 Mar 14LAT

at Parnu75–88 Mar 11LAT

vs VEF Riga62–107 Mar 8LAT

vs BK Liepaja76–71 Mar 4LAT

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

BK Liepaja

10 games

Stats

2–3

Viimsi

Viimsi leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.4pp

46.2%

+2.4pp

48.6%

3-point %+0.8pp

32.2%

+0.8pp

31.4%

Free-throw %+5.3pp

69.1%

+5.3pp

74.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.9pp apart

31.6%

2.9pp apart

34.5%

Free throws per shot15.3pp apart

39.4%

15.3pp apart

24.1%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.3

30.9

+1.3

29.6

Turnovers per game0.5 fewer

14.5

0.5 fewer

14.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.