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Basket ZaragozaBasquet Girona

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:0031 Oct, 17:00

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges76.6%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Zaragoza's home scoring against Girona's two heavy ACB road defeats sets up a game that projects near 95-90 to the hosts, though Girona won both meetings last season.

The one price that holds up is over 42.5 combined points in the second quarter at 1.84. Zaragoza under 94.5 at 1.81 does not.

Context

Girona have conceded 118 and 115 in their two ACB away games and arrive on three days' rest after a FIBA Europe Cup match in Hungary, while Zaragoza have had 6.9 days. Zaragoza's backcourt availability is unresolved.

Homesley was still being tested five days before Girona visit Zaragoza. The update did not give a diagnosis or confirm his availability for Saturday, so a potential change to Zaragoza's squad options remains possible.
- Caleb Homesley remained under medical assessment on 26 October.
Bell-Haynes was still in recovery five days before the Girona game. No diagnosis or matchday decision was included in the update, leaving his availability for Saturday unresolved.
- Trae Bell-Haynes was reported to be continuing his recovery on 26 October.
Girona excluded McClung from its European game in Hungary on 28 October for precautionary workload management. That decision is close enough to the Zaragoza fixture to make his selection relevant, but it does not establish whether he will be available on Saturday.
- Mac McClung was left out of the 28 October game at Szolnoki Olajbányász as a precaution and for workload management.
Girona's most recent reported competitive game was the 28 October FIBA Europe Cup defeat in Szolnok, Hungary. The contest came three days before the league game in Zaragoza, but the schedule alone does not establish fatigue or a lineup change.
- Girona lost 81-79 at Szolnoki Olajbányász in the fourth FIBA Europe Cup round on 28 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 42.5

1.84fair 1.41

Market 54.3% · BetBugs 71.1%

+16.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this. Zaragoza's home court and extra rest should lift their scoring against a Girona side that has defended poorly in ACB road games, while Girona's high-scoring current form keeps the margin from growing too large.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 76.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basket Zaragoza cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Basket Zaragoza and 15 for Basquet Girona, across seasons and competitions.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapBasket Zaragoza +3.5Estimated chance76.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basket Zaragoza win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerBasket ZaragozaEstimated chance67.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basket Zaragoza are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultBasket ZaragozaEstimated chance60.9%

Points7 outcomes · top 71.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.84
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 42.5Market price1.84Estimated chance71.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. The 1st half has more than 87.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointsOver 87.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basquet Girona score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsBasquet Girona over 20.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basket Zaragoza score more than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsBasket Zaragoza over 45.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basquet Girona score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsBasquet Girona over 42.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. Basket Zaragoza score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsBasket Zaragoza over 22.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Zaragoza 95.4, Basquet Girona 89.7. The game has more than 181.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Zaragoza's five ACB games through 24 October average 89.0 points scored and 89.0 allowed; they scored 109 at home against Forca Lleida on 18 October.
- Girona's five ACB games through 25 October average 93.0 scored and 97.4 allowed; their two away games were losses conceding 118 at Baskonia and 115 at Breogan.
- Over their last 15 games in all competitions, Girona average 15.9 turnovers and 35.4 rebounds, while Zaragoza average 13.3 turnovers and 32.6 rebounds.
- Zaragoza have had 6.9 days since their last game on 24 October; Girona played and lost 81-79 at Szolnoki in the FIBA Europe Cup on 28 October, three days before this fixture.
- Girona won both ACB meetings last season, 90-81 at home on 2 May 2026 and 94-90 in Zaragoza on 24 January 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointsOver 181.5Estimated chance60.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 04:22

Selected line

181.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 182+ points

+8 pp above break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 181.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L90–81

Basquet Gironav

Basket Zaragoza

May 2, 2026·ACB

L90–94

Basket Zaragozav

Basquet Girona

Jan 24, 2026·ACB

W89–101

Basquet Gironav

Basket Zaragoza

Feb 9, 2025·ACB

W96–68

Basket Zaragozav

Basquet Girona

Dec 29, 2024·ACB

W79–89

Basquet Gironav

Basket Zaragoza

May 12, 2024·ACB

W81–74

Basket Zaragozav

Basquet Girona

Jan 6, 2024·ACB

L88–95

Basket Zaragozav

Basquet Girona

May 13, 2023·ACBOT

L78–69

Basquet Gironav

Basket Zaragoza

Dec 18, 2022·ACB

170.3Avg total points

10.8Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Basket Zaragoza

3–260%

Basquet Girona

3–260%

Recent Form

Basket Zaragoza

6W 9L · last 15

at Barcelona81–99 Oct 24ACB

vs Forca Lleida109–98 Oct 18ACB

at Leyma Coruna92–71 Oct 10ACB

vs Valencia82–97 Oct 4ACB

at Tenerife81–80 Sep 27ACB

at Breogan95–94 May 29ACB

vs Valencia86–98 May 26ACB

vs Murcia90–100 May 24ACB

at Manresa83–101 May 16ACB

vs Granada74–85 May 9ACB

at Basquet Girona81–90 May 2ACB

at Gran Canaria78–74 Apr 18ACB

vs Forca Lleida107–91 Apr 11ACB

vs Barcelona86–92 Apr 5ACB

at Baskonia88–115 Apr 1ACB

Basquet Girona

8W 7L · last 15

at Szolnoki Olaj79–81 Oct 28FIB

vs Joventut Badalona101–87 Oct 25ACB

vs Zielona Gora109–68 Oct 20FIB

vs Leyma Coruna110–90 Oct 18ACB

at Oostende91–76 Oct 13FIB

at Breogan92–115 Oct 10ACB

vs Dinamo Bucharest87–75 Oct 6FIB

at Baskonia78–118 Oct 4ACB

vs Murcia84–77 Sep 27ACB

vs Joventut Badalona82–77 May 29ACB

at Bilbao80–86 May 24ACB

at Breogan76–95 May 16ACB

vs Manresa74–79 May 12ACB

at Murcia75–86 May 9ACB

vs Basket Zaragoza90–81 May 2ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Basket Zaragoza

Stats

2–3

Basquet Girona

Basquet Girona leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.1pp

53.4%

+0.1pp

53.5%

3-point %+0.3pp

34.8%

+0.3pp

35.1%

Free-throw %+3.3pp

75.4%

+3.3pp

72.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.9pp apart

31.1%

7.9pp apart

39.0%

Free throws per shot6.8pp apart

33.2%

6.8pp apart

26.4%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.8

32.6

+2.8

35.4

Turnovers per game2.6 fewer

13.3

2.6 fewer

15.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.