EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Zalgiris Kaunas87Partizan Mozzart Bet80

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–363%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Zalgiris Kaunas and Partizan Mozzart Bet.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Zalgiris Kaunas	27	17	25	18
Partizan Mozzart Bet	21	19	17	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Žalgiris bring the sharper EuroLeague scoring into Kaunas, 85.8 points per game against Partizan's 78.3, and a home win near 86-80 after 40 minutes is the likelier result.

Partizan at 3.6 pay more than a roughly one-in-three chance warrants, and over 164.5 combined points at 1.98 is the other price worth taking. The short Žalgiris quotes at 1.32 and 1.36 do not.

Context

Both teams played on 28 October, leaving almost identical rest of about two days, so neither side gains a preparation edge. The relevant conditions are Žalgiris's home floor and the wide gap in three-point shooting across 15 games.

Žalgiris completed its most recent EuroLeague game with a road win in Bologna. The second-half turnaround is current form context ahead of the Partizan fixture, but it does not establish a broader trend or a player availability change.
- Žalgiris beat Virtus Bologna 91-74 on 28 October.
- Žalgiris scored 54 points in the second half after trailing 35-37 at halftime.
Partizan arrive in Kaunas after a narrow EuroLeague road defeat in Lyon. The late collapse is relevant recent-game context for this fixture, but it does not by itself establish a rotation, fitness or availability change.
- Partizan lost 82-75 at ASVEL on 28 October.
- ASVEL finished the game with a 15-0 run.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Partizan Mozzart Bet

3.60fair 3.09

Market 27.8% · BetBugs 32.3%

+4.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Partizan Mozzart Bet win in about 32 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Zalgiris scores more per EuroLeague game, shoots far better from three and gets a home crowd in Kaunas, while Partizan's road offense has dipped below 80 in several games this season. That points to a Zalgiris win of roughly six to eight points in the mid-160s total.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 164.5

1.98fair 1.82

Market 50.5% · BetBugs 54.9%

+4.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this. Zalgiris scores more per EuroLeague game, shoots far better from three and gets a home crowd in Kaunas, while Partizan's road offense has dipped below 80 in several games this season. That points to a Zalgiris win of roughly six to eight points in the mid-160s total.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zalgiris Kaunas and 15 for Partizan Mozzart Bet, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonZalgiris Kaunas +3.5Estimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas win in about 68 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance67.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Zalgiris Kaunas and 15 for Partizan Mozzart Bet, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonZalgiris Kaunas +1.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +2.5Estimated chance56.2%

Points0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Zalgiris Kaunas 85.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet 80.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris has averaged 85.8 points across its eight 2026-27 EuroLeague games through 28 October, including 105 at home against Lyon and 91 at Virtus Bologna.
- Partizan has averaged 78.3 points in its eight EuroLeague games this season, with lows of 55 at home to Panathinaikos and 65 at Fenerbahce.
- Zalgiris has shot 43.4% from three on 371 attempts over 15 tracked games this season; Partizan has shot 31.5% on 352 attempts over the same span.
- Both teams played on 28 October (Zalgiris won 91-74 at Virtus; Partizan lost 75-82 at ASVEL), leaving almost identical rest of about two days.
- In EuroLeague home games this season Zalgiris has scored 105, 70 and 91, while Partizan's EuroLeague road games have produced 75, 65, 76, 86 and 92 points.
- Zalgiris has averaged 33.6 rebounds and 13.5 turnovers per game over 15 tracked games, against Partizan's 31.1 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers over the same span.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance56.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 01:29

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

55%

Chance of 165+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.98 needs 51% to break even. BetBugs sees 55%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W74–83

Partizan Mozzart Betv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Apr 10, 2026·EUR

W109–68

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Dec 19, 2025·EUR

W70–66

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Partizan

Apr 3, 2025·EUR

L84–78

Partizanv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Dec 3, 2024·EUR

L81–72

Partizanv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Jan 26, 2024·EUR

L85–93

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Partizan

Dec 14, 2023·EUR

L74–88

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Partizan

Feb 3, 2023·EUR

L87–76

Partizanv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Oct 27, 2022·EUR

L77–67

Partizanv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Apr 4, 2014·EUR

W89–77

Zalgiris Kaunasv

Partizan

Feb 13, 2014·EUR

159.8Avg total points

12.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Zalgiris Kaunas

3–443%

Partizan Mozzart Bet

4–357%

Recent Form

Zalgiris Kaunas

11W 4L · last 15

at Virtus Bologna91–74 Oct 28EUR

vs Jonava86–63 Oct 25LKL

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne105–85 Oct 23EUR

vs Taurage96–76 Oct 18LKL

vs Anadolu Efes70–85 Oct 16EUR

at Fenerbahce80–99 Oct 13EUR

at Nevezis80–76 Oct 11LKL

at Barcelona88–81 Oct 9EUR

vs Lietkabelis97–68 Oct 4LKL

at Paris78–82 Oct 1EUR

vs Olympiacos91–93 Sep 29EUR

vs Siauliai101–82 Sep 27LKL

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83–77 Sep 24EUR

at Neptunas93–69 Sep 20LKL

at Gargzdai98–77 Sep 17LKL

Partizan Mozzart Bet

9W 6L · last 15

at Lyon-Villeurbanne75–82 Oct 28EUR

at Spartak Subotica82–80 Oct 24ABA

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet85–82 OTOct 22EUR

at KK Bosna89–84 Oct 18ABA

at Fenerbahce65–74 Oct 15EUR

vs Panathinaikos55–72 Oct 13EUR

vs Vienna Basket99–78 Oct 11ABA

at Real Madrid76–86 Oct 8EUR

vs Mega Basket83–59 Oct 5ABA

at Bayern86–84 Oct 2EUR

at Paris92–79 Sep 29EUR

vs Olimpia Milano92–76 Sep 25EUR

vs Dubai81–83 Jun 12ABA

vs Dubai84–70 Jun 10ABA

at Dubai81–86 Jun 6ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Zalgiris Kaunas

Stats

2–2

Partizan Mozzart Bet

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–1

2-point %—

56.0%

—

56.0%

3-point %+11.9pp

43.4%

+11.9pp

31.5%

Free-throw %9/9 games+4.6pp

71.4%

+4.6pp

76.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s8.0pp apart

35.3%

8.0pp apart

27.3%

Free throws per shot9/9 games1.5pp apart

33.2%

1.5pp apart

31.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+2.5

33.6

+2.5

31.1

Turnovers per game2.2 fewer

13.5

2.2 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.