Latvia-Estonian LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Ventspils75Viimsi60

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Ventspils and Viimsi.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Ventspils	20	21	15	19
Viimsi	12	14	13	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Fourth-placed Ventspils, 5-2, host bottom-end Viimsi, 1-6, with an expected 40-minute score of 91.3 to 77.3 pointing to a home win, though Viimsi's 83-81 win in the most recent meeting on 8 February 2026 is the warning.

Over 163.5 combined points at 1.79 is the one price that stands out; Ventspils -15.5 at 1.75 and Viimsi under 76.5 at 1.68 do not.

Context

Ventspils have a rest advantage of about six days to three, and the recent head-to-head went Viimsi's way 83-81 in February 2026, but no confirmed availability news beyond Karlsons and Mansel missing the latest box score shifts the matchup much.

The narrow victory over BK Ogre is immediate form context for Ventspils ahead of the Viimsi game, but it has limited standalone impact on this fixture.
- Ventspils beat BK Ogre 92-88 on 24 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 163.5

1.79fair 1.58

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 63.2%

+7.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Ventspils have the stronger current league form, home advantage and a clear rest advantage, while Viimsi have scored only 75.3 points per game in this competition. I expect Ventspils to get enough inside scoring and rebounding to pull away, with Viimsi's total held below 80.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils win in about 87 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVentspilsEstimated chance86.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 85 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonVentspilsEstimated chance85.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonVentspils +0.5Estimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonVentspils -1.5Estimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonVentspilsEstimated chance63.4%

Points2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 38.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Viimsi score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostViimsi over 17.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 163.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Ventspils and 15 for Viimsi, across seasons and competitions.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonVentspils under 23.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils score fewer than 47.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonVentspils under 47.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Viimsi score more than 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostViimsi over 18.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Ventspils 91.3, Viimsi 77.3. Ventspils score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In seven 2026 Latvia-Estonian League games, Ventspils averaged 88.7 points and conceded 84.1; Viimsi averaged 75.3 and conceded 83.9.
- The current table has Ventspils 5-2 (fourth) and Viimsi 1-6 (13th) after seven league games, observed 30 October 2026.
- Ventspils scored 92 in their latest game, a 92-88 win at BK Ogre on 24 October 2026, with Karlsons and Mansel absent from that box score.
- Viimsi lost 72-78 at Keila KK on 27 October 2026 and have had about three days' rest, against Ventspils' six days.
- Over 15 box-scored games, Ventspils shot 51.8% on two-pointers and 33.1% on threes; Viimsi shot 48.9% and 33.2%.
- Ventspils won 113-88 at home against Viimsi on 7 November 2025, though Viimsi won the most recent meeting 83-81 on 8 February 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostVentspils over 22.5Estimated chance56.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 01:02

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

63%

Chance of 164+ points

+7 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 63%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L83–81

Viimsiv

Ventspils

Feb 8, 2026·LAT

W113–88

Ventspilsv Viimsi

Viimsi

Nov 7, 2025·LAT

W106–57

Ventspilsv Viimsi

Viimsi

Feb 7, 2025·LAT

W89–94

Viimsiv

Ventspils

Nov 6, 2024·LAT

W97–90

Ventspilsv Viimsi

Viimsi

Mar 15, 2024·LAT

W75–104

Viimsiv

Ventspils

Oct 15, 2023·LAT

W81–91

Viimsiv

Ventspils

Mar 4, 2023·LAT

W100–90

Ventspilsv Viimsi

Viimsi

Jan 6, 2023·LAT

L79–77

Viimsiv

Ventspils

Apr 3, 2022·LATOT

L63–70

Ventspilsv Viimsi

Viimsi

Mar 31, 2022·LAT

172.8Avg total points

14.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Ventspils

5–271%

Viimsi

1–614%

Recent Form

Ventspils

9W 6L · last 15

at BK Ogre92–88 Oct 24LAT

vs Tal Tech82–85 Oct 16LAT

at Keila Coolbet85–68 Oct 11LAT

at BC Kalev/Cramo86–73 Oct 10LAT

vs Tartu Ulikool92–85 Oct 2LAT

at Latvijas Universitate108–92 Sep 28LAT

at Valmiera Glass Via76–98 Sep 25LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via89–92 May 15LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via92–107 May 13LBL

vs Valmiera Glass Via79–101 May 10LBL

at Valmiera Glass Via115–112 OTMay 7LBL

at VEF Riga75–67 May 4LBL

vs VEF Riga94–104 May 2LBL

at VEF Riga82–59 Apr 30LBL

vs VEF Riga86–84 Apr 27LBL

Viimsi

3W 12L · last 15

at Keila KK72–78 Oct 27LAT

at Latvijas Universitate88–86 Oct 20LAT

vs BK Ogre69–76 Oct 16LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via87–91 Oct 11LAT

at Rigas Juniori81–82 Oct 7LAT

vs Tal Tech64–85 Oct 4LAT

vs BC Kalev/Cramo66–89 Sep 27LAT

at Parnu69–94 Apr 16KOR

vs Parnu81–96 Apr 13KOR

at Parnu81–87 Apr 10KOR

at Rigas Zelli74–90 Mar 14LAT

at Parnu75–88 Mar 11LAT

vs VEF Riga62–107 Mar 8LAT

vs BK Liepaja76–71 Mar 4LAT

vs Keila KK95–73 Feb 22LAT

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Ventspils

Stats

4–1

Viimsi

Ventspils leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.9pp

51.8%

+2.9pp

48.9%

3-point %+0.1pp

33.1%

+0.1pp

33.2%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

76.0%

+0.1pp

75.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.0pp apart

37.4%

1.0pp apart

36.4%

Free throws per shot7.5pp apart

33.4%

7.5pp apart

25.9%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+5.4

35.3

+5.4

29.9

Turnovers per game1.3 fewer

12.7

1.3 fewer

14.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.