Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tizona Burgos 82.6, Alicante 90.1. Tizona Burgos cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tizona Burgos and 15 for Alicante, across seasons and competitions.
- Through 25 Oct 2026, Tizona are 1-4 in Primera FEB and have allowed 96.2 points per game; Alicante are 5-0 and have allowed 73.0.
- Alicante's five league wins include road wins 83-79 at Ourense on 16 Oct and 81-64 at Menorca on 3 Oct; they have allowed 71.5 points per game on the road.
- Tizona's home league games this season were a 92-104 loss to Albacete on 2 Oct and a 100-101 overtime loss to Oviedo on 16 Oct, showing a high-scoring but porous home profile.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Tizona shoot 57.3% on two-pointers but 30.8% on threes; Alicante shoot 46.3% on twos and 35.0% on threes.
- Alicante average 33.5 rebounds per game to Tizona's 31.8 over the 15-game sample.
- In the latest head-to-head, Tizona won 97-92 at Alicante on 2 May 2026; the previous meeting at Tizona on 21 Dec 2025 finished 85-72 to Alicante.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Handicapwon
Tizona Burgos +6.5Estimated chance75%
Tizona Burgos +6.5Estimated chance75%

















