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Predictions graded

Soles80Panteras76

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 03:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–765%

Points by period: Soles and Panteras.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Soles	19	22	22	17
Panteras	27	16	13	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Soles open the LNBP Zona Final at home against the side that ended their 2025 playoff run.

The 40-minute read is roughly 86.5-79.8 to Soles, with Panteras' road scoring the main threat to that. Soles to win at 1.20 and to be ahead after 40 minutes at 1.19 ask too much; Panteras +10.5 at 1.73 and Soles under 43.5 first-quarter points at 1.8 are the prices that hold up.

Context

Both teams reached this series with 3-1 or better playoff wins and last played on 23 and 24 October, roughly six or seven days before tip-off. Soles hold the better defensive record and home advantage in game one, while Panteras' 88.7 points per away game across seven away games is the counterweight.

Soles return to this matchup after a 3-0 sweep of Abejas de León, while Panteras advanced by beating Lobos de Puebla 3-1. Panteras also ended Soles’ 2025 playoff run in a five-game zonal semifinal. This fixture starts a best-of-seven series rather than a standalone regular-season meeting.
- Soles swept Abejas de León 3-0 in the opening playoff round.
- Panteras eliminated Lobos de Puebla 3-1 to reach the Zona Final.
- Panteras beat Soles 3-2 in the 2025 zonal semifinals.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Team Pointsnot gradableUncertainty band: Strong lean

Soles under 43.5

1.80fair 1.00

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 100%

+44.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this. Soles' home defense and much better three-point shooting should hold Panteras below their recent scoring binge, which came largely against Lobos, while Panteras' weak defense gives Soles enough to win a moderately paced playoff opener. The two meetings this season were lower-scoring than this, so the estimate sits between their recent form and that head-to-head.

Handicapnot gradableUncertainty band: Lean

Panteras +10.5

1.73fair 1.63

Market 57.8% · BetBugs 61.5%

+3.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras cover +10.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Soles' home defense and much better three-point shooting should hold Panteras below their recent scoring binge, which came largely against Lobos, while Panteras' weak defense gives Soles enough to win a moderately paced playoff opener. The two meetings this season were lower-scoring than this, so the estimate sits between their recent form and that head-to-head.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Soles and 15 for Panteras, across seasons and competitions.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonSoles +3.5Estimated chance77.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSolesEstimated chance70.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonSolesEstimated chance68.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostSolesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras cover +10.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · HandicapwonPanteras +10.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonSolesEstimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostSolesEstimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonSolesEstimated chance55.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Soles and 15 for Panteras, across seasons and competitions.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSoles -0.5Estimated chance55.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonPanteras +2.5Estimated chance55%

Points5 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonSoles under 43.5Estimated chance100%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras score fewer than 38.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 100 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPanteras under 38.5Estimated chance100%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · Team PointslostPanteras over 76.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPanteras over 37.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSoles over 20.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Panteras score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPanteras over 18.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 163.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 81.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Soles 86.5, Panteras 79.8. Soles score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Soles' last 15 LNBP games (Sept 12–Oct 23): 87.7 points scored, 72.3 allowed, including a 3-0 sweep of Abejas in which they scored 92, 100 and 102.
- Soles' full LNBP table line is 2382 points for / 2090 against in 28 games (85.1 for, 74.6 against), the best defensive record of the two.
- Panteras' table line is 2477 for / 2379 against in 28 games (88.5 for, 85.0 against); two of their recent wins went to overtime, inflating raw totals.
- At home in this sample Soles averaged 86.0 scored and 72.0 allowed over 8 games; Panteras away averaged 88.7 scored but 82.9 allowed over 7.
- The two 2026-27 head-to-heads (Sept 20 and 22, both in Mexicali) were low-scoring and split: 77-67 Soles, 76-77 Panteras.
- Shooting splits: Soles 56.8% on twos and 39.1% on threes; Panteras 53.6% on twos and 30.7% on threes, with Soles turning it over slightly more (12.1 vs 11.1).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSoles over 42.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 01:02

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 164+ points

+1 pp above break-even

Over 1.73 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L76–77

Solesv

Panteras

Sep 22, 2026·LNB

W77–67

Solesv

Panteras

Sep 20, 2026·LNB

L75–82

Solesv

Panteras

Oct 18, 2025·LNB

W83–88

Panterasv

Soles

Oct 15, 2025·LNB

L104–99

Panterasv

Soles

Oct 14, 2025·LNB

W94–89

Solesv

Panteras

Oct 11, 2025·LNB

L71–79

Solesv

Panteras

Oct 10, 2025·LNB

W84–89

Panterasv

Soles

Jul 19, 2025·LNB

W93–106

Panterasv

Soles

Jul 18, 2025·LNB

L74–81

Solesv

Panteras

Sep 28, 2024·LNB

168.8Avg total points

6.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNBP · LNBP - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Soles

21–775%

Panteras

19–968%

Recent Form

Soles

11W 4L · last 15

at Abejas92–70 Oct 23LNB

vs Abejas100–60 Oct 20LNB

vs Abejas102–58 Oct 19LNB

vs Fuerza Regia75–92 Oct 8LNB

vs Fuerza Regia88–86 Oct 7LNB

vs Diablos Rojos86–43 Oct 3LNB

vs Diablos Rojos84–93 Oct 2LNB

at Dorados97–64 Sep 27LNB

at Dorados98–81 Sep 26LNB

vs Panteras76–77 Sep 22LNB

vs Panteras77–67 Sep 20LNB

at Freseros92–63 Sep 16LNB

at Freseros85–73 Sep 15LNB

at Astros74–81 Sep 13LNB

at Astros90–76 Sep 12LNB

Panteras

11W 4L · last 15

at Lobos Plateados107–88 Oct 24LNB

at Lobos Plateados93–84 Oct 23LNB

vs Lobos Plateados88–80 Oct 20LNB

vs Lobos Plateados100–111 OTOct 19LNB

vs Diablos Rojos93–92 OTOct 8LNB

vs Diablos Rojos77–76 Oct 7LNB

vs Dorados81–85 Oct 3LNB

vs Dorados91–85 Oct 2LNB

at Freseros97–88 Sep 27LNB

at Freseros94–87 Sep 26LNB

at Soles77–76 Sep 22LNB

at Soles67–77 Sep 20LNB

vs Astros83–98 Sep 18LNB

vs Astros95–83 Sep 17LNB

at El Calor de Cancun86–82 Sep 12LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Soles

Stats

2–3

Panteras

Panteras leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %14/15 games+3.2pp

56.8%

+3.2pp

53.6%

3-point %14/15 games+8.4pp

39.1%

+8.4pp

30.7%

Free-throw %14/15 games+5.8pp

66.1%

+5.8pp

71.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s14/15 games5.4pp apart

30.1%

5.4pp apart

24.7%

Free throws per shot14/15 games4.1pp apart

37.2%

4.1pp apart

33.1%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game14/15 games+3.7

33.0

+3.7

36.7

Turnovers per game1.0 fewer

12.1

1.0 fewer

11.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.