NBLFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

New Zealand Breakers101Adelaide108

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 06:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–1529%

Points by period: New Zealand Breakers and Adelaide.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
New Zealand Breakers	24	20	28	29
Adelaide	28	28	18	34

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 4-5 teams, one recent 88-72 Breakers win and a returning guard: New Zealand hold the edge.

The 40-minute read is New Zealand 94.2 points to Adelaide's 87.8, roughly a six-point home win. Prices are quoted throughout, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

New Zealand have their returning guard and shoot 40.8% from three against Adelaide's 32.4%, while Adelaide have no return date for Flynn Cameron and the Auckland coaching situation is unresolved.

Adelaide will go into the Breakers game without a set return date for Cameron. His presence with the travelling group confirms he is around the team, but does not establish that he can play.
- Flynn Cameron was still recuperating on 29 October.
- No return timetable was set for Cameron.
- Cameron travelled with Adelaide and was expected to support the team from the bench.
The guard's return provided the Breakers with a recent positive fitness update after his lower-leg absence. That return does not determine his workload or match-day status against Adelaide.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright missed the 10 October game against Perth with a lower-leg injury.
- He was named to return to the Breakers lineup against Cairns on 25 October.
A further absence would leave Gleim in charge again against Adelaide. The update after Cairns did not settle whether Herbert would be back for this fixture.
- Sebastian Gleim coached the Breakers against Cairns on 25 October.
- Herbert's recovery and possible return were still unresolved after the game.
The 4 October result is the only completed meeting between these teams this season before the Auckland rematch. It supplies recent head-to-head context but does not settle either side's current lineup.
- New Zealand defeated Adelaide 88–72 on 4 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers +1.5Estimated chance71.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for New Zealand Breakers and 15 for Adelaide, across seasons and competitions.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNew Zealand Breakers +2.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostNew Zealand BreakersEstimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostNew Zealand BreakersEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers +0.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostNew Zealand BreakersEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostNew Zealand BreakersEstimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for New Zealand Breakers and 15 for Adelaide, across seasons and competitions.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers -0.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostNew Zealand BreakersEstimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostNew Zealand Breakers -0.5Estimated chance55.8%

Points5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers score more than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNew Zealand Breakers over 90.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. Adelaide score fewer than 46.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostAdelaide under 46.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers score more than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for New Zealand Breakers and 15 for Adelaide, across seasons and competitions.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNew Zealand Breakers over 21.5Estimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. Adelaide score fewer than 23.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostAdelaide under 23.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. Adelaide score fewer than 91.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAdelaide under 91.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. Adelaide score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostAdelaide under 23.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostNew Zealand Breakers over 22.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers score more than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostNew Zealand Breakers over 45.5Estimated chance60.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for New Zealand Breakers and 15 for Adelaide, across seasons and competitions.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 43.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. New Zealand Breakers score more than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonNew Zealand Breakers over 22.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: New Zealand Breakers 94.2, Adelaide 87.8. Adelaide score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for New Zealand Breakers and 15 for Adelaide, across seasons and competitions.
- New Zealand are 4-5 and average 91.2 points for and 88.7 against over nine NBL games in 2026-27 (table captured 29 Oct).
- Adelaide are 4-5 and average 89.3 for and 92.7 against over nine games; away from home they averaged 93.0 for and 96.8 against in six games.
- New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 in Adelaide on 4 October in the only 2026-27 meeting.
- New Zealand shoot 40.8% from three (150/368) and Adelaide 32.4% (157/485); Adelaide lead rebounds 34.3 to 32.9 and free-throw shooting 74.9% to 69.2%.
- Parker Jackson-Cartwright returned from a lower-leg injury on 25 October and averages 24.5 points in six games; Adelaide's Flynn Cameron remains out with no return date.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAdelaide under 22.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 01:29

Selected line

181.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 182+ points

Near break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 181.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W72–88

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Oct 4, 2026·NBL

W107–111

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Feb 22, 2026·NBL

L92–89

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Feb 14, 2026·NBL

L110–112

New Zealand Breakersv

Adelaide

Jan 23, 2026·NBLOT

L79–83

New Zealand Breakersv

Adelaide

Nov 6, 2025·NBL

L94–78

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Jan 26, 2025·NBL

L111–94

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Dec 14, 2024·NBL

W109–82

New Zealand Breakersv

Adelaide

Nov 2, 2024·NBL

L76–70

Adelaidev

New Zealand Breakers

Feb 18, 2024·NBL

W96–83

New Zealand Breakersv

Adelaide

Nov 30, 2023·NBL

183.6Avg total points

10.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

New Zealand Breakers

4–544%

Adelaide

4–544%

Recent Form

New Zealand Breakers

7W 8L · last 15

at Cairns Taipans84–86 Oct 25NBL

at Tasmania JackJumpers92–98 Oct 18NBL

at Sydney102–101 Oct 14NBL

at Perth84–100 Oct 10NBL

at Adelaide88–72 Oct 4NBL

vs Cairns Taipans98–75 Sep 30NBL

at Perth93–97 Sep 26NBL

at Brisbane Bullets85–88 Sep 22NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks95–81 Sep 20NBL

at Adelaide111–107 Feb 22NBL

vs Cairns Taipans115–84 Feb 19NBL

at Adelaide89–92 Feb 14NBL

vs Illawarra Hawks106–95 Feb 7NBL

vs South East Melbourne83–114 Feb 5NBL

at Tasmania JackJumpers89–91 Feb 1NBL

Adelaide

7W 8L · last 15

at South East Melbourne94–108 Oct 24NBL

at Tasmania JackJumpers94–88 Oct 16NBL

at Sydney84–78 Oct 11NBL

vs Melbourne United91–96 Oct 7NBL

vs New Zealand Breakers72–88 Oct 4NBL

at Illawarra Hawks92–114 Oct 2NBL

vs Cairns Taipans83–69 Sep 27NBL

at Perth97–98 Sep 24NBL

at Melbourne United97–95 Sep 19NBL

at Sydney101–113 OTApr 5NBL

vs Sydney92–91 Apr 1NBL

at Sydney93–106 Mar 29NBL

vs Sydney91–89 Mar 27NBL

at Sydney68–112 Mar 21NBL

vs South East Melbourne108–96 Mar 17NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

New Zealand Breakers

14 games

Stats

2–3

Adelaide

Adelaide leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.4pp

54.8%

+0.4pp

54.4%

3-point %+8.4pp

40.8%

+8.4pp

32.4%

Free-throw %+5.7pp

69.2%

+5.7pp

74.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s—

35.0%

—

35.0%

Free throws per shot0.9pp apart

28.5%

0.9pp apart

29.4%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.4

32.9

+1.4

34.3

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

11.8

0.8 fewer

11.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.