Liga AFinished

Predictions graded

Lanus81San Martin72

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 01:05 Predictions graded

Predictions13–381%

Points by period: Lanus and San Martin.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Lanus	20	19	21	21
San Martin	23	13	10	26

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two of Liga A's bottom sides meet with Lanús hosting a San Martín team still without a league win in five.

Lanús should edge it, something like 82-79 after 40 minutes, but the 1.33 on a Lanús win and 1.34 on them leading after 40 minutes ask for more than the evidence supports. With every forecast low on confidence, no price stands out.

Context

San Martín's 0-5 start and a reported bench change under Carlos Miño shape the backdrop, but the samples are uneven at seven games for Lanús against 15 for San Martín across seasons, and no availability news is established.

Miño’s appointment followed Revidatti’s exit, and his first listed road sequence included Peñarol before Lanús. A change on the bench may affect San Martín’s approach to this game, although no tactical plan or selection change has been announced.
- Gabriel Revidatti resigned after four seasons leading San Martín’s professional side.
- Carlos Miño moved from assistant coach to the head role.
- Miño was named to lead the road games against Peñarol and Lanús.
The Regatas result was Lanús’s last announced league game before San Martín. It provides recent positive context for the home side, but there is no stated lineup implication for this fixture.
- Lanús defeated Regatas Corrientes 72-63.
- Pedro Bombino scored 28 points in the win.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLanusEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonLanusEstimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Lanus and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLanus +0.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. San Martin cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · HandicaplostSan Martin +6.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Lanus and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonLanus +0.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonLanusEstimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. San Martin cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonSan Martin +3.5Estimated chance56%

Points7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Lanus and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 35.5Estimated chance71.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Lanus and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonLanus over 17.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonLanus under 43.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. San Martin score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Lanus and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSan Martin under 20.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonLanus under 21.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. The 1st half has fewer than 82.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 82.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus score fewer than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · Team PointswonLanus under 84.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. Lanus score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLanus under 21.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lanus 82.2, San Martin 78.5. San Martin score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Lanús is 2-5 in Liga A, averaging 75.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed over seven 2026-27 games; it beat Regatas 72-63 at home on 26 Oct.
- San Martín is 0-5 in Liga A, averaging 87.4 scored and 98.0 allowed; excluding its 123-126 overtime loss at Racing on 9 Oct, the other four games average 78.5 scored and 91.0 allowed.
- Lanús home games have produced 72.5 points for and 74.3 against over four 2026-27 Liga A games through 26 Oct.
- San Martín's two regulation away games this season were 76-95 at Peñarol on 28 Oct and 79-82 at Argentino on 11 Oct.
- Shooting across tracked samples: San Martín 53.1% on two-pointers and 36.5% on threes over 15 games; Lanús 48.5% and 28.1% over seven.
- San Martín averages 34.9 rebounds (15 games) versus Lanús's 33.3 (7 games).
BetBugs · Team PointslostSan Martin over 77.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 01:29

Selected line

162.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 163+ points

8 pp below break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 162.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W91–85

Lanusv

San Martin

Mar 1, 2016·LIGOT

L92–87

San Martinv Lanus

Lanus

Jan 12, 2016·LIGOT

L107–95

San Martinv Lanus

Lanus

Mar 27, 2015·LIG

W87–75

Lanusv

San Martin

Feb 10, 2015·LIG

W66–80

San Martinv Lanus

Lanus

Feb 4, 2012·LIG

W79–70

Lanusv

San Martin

Nov 19, 2011·LIG

169Avg total points

9.7Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Liga A · Liga A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Lanus

2–529%

San Martin

0–50%

Recent Form

Lanus

2W 5L · last 7

vs Regatas72–63 Oct 26LIG

at Atenas69–80 Oct 24LIG

at Instituto de Cordoba73–75 Oct 22LIG

at Independiente de Oliva93–108 Oct 20LIG

vs Penarol77–84 Oct 14LIG

vs Obera TC67–58 Oct 9LIG

vs Gimnasia74–92 Sep 29LIG

San Martin

4W 11L · last 15

at Penarol76–95 Oct 28LIG

vs Olimpico86–106 Oct 21LIG

at Argentino79–82 Oct 11LIG

at Racing de Chivilcoy123–126 OTOct 9LIG

vs Instituto de Cordoba73–81 Oct 1LIG

vs Boca Juniors97–101 May 1LIG

at Boca Juniors81–83 Apr 28LIG

at Boca Juniors95–98 Apr 25LIG

at Union De Santa Fe68–89 Apr 20LIG

at Platense79–77 Apr 17LIG

vs Olimpico78–67 Apr 13LIG

vs Obras Sanitarias87–89 OTApr 8LIG

at Argentino82–79 Mar 29LIG

at Racing de Chivilcoy74–91 Mar 27LIG

vs Ferro71–65 Mar 21LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Lanus

7 games

Stats

1–3

San Martin

San Martin leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.6pp

48.5%

+4.6pp

53.1%

3-point %+8.4pp

28.1%

+8.4pp

36.5%

Free-throw %+1.2pp

68.6%

+1.2pp

67.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.4pp apart

33.7%

0.4pp apart

34.1%

Free throws per shot7.2pp apart

38.5%

7.2pp apart

31.3%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game+1.6

33.3

+1.6

34.9

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.