Premijer ligaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Dinamo Zagreb85Alkar75

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–285%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Dinamo Zagreb and Alkar.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Dinamo Zagreb	26	20	19	20
Alkar	17	16	20	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Dinamo Zagreb's home scoring meets an Alkar side allowing 84.4 points per game, and the likeliest shape is a home win near 84-79 after 40 minutes.

Alkar have won six of the last ten meetings, including in Zagreb in January 2026, so the cushion is not guaranteed. The best of the quoted prices is over 159.5 combined points at 1.79.

Context

Dinamo Zagreb's 3-0 home league start, at 86.3 points scored and 75.0 conceded, against an Alkar team allowing 84.4 points per game and carrying three straight league defeats, points to a high-scoring home win, though Alkar's six wins in the last ten meetings keeps the margin uncertain.

The narrow Split loss followed league defeats to Škrljevo and Virtus Zagreb during October. It gives Dinamo a clear picture of Alkar's recent domestic results, but those results alone do not establish Alkar's lineup or player availability for Friday.
- Škrljevo beat Alkar 88-73 in Sinj on 8 October.
- Virtus Zagreb beat Alkar 83-78 on 16 October.
- Split beat Alkar 76-75 in Sinj on 23 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Dinamo Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonDinamo Zagreb +1.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDinamo ZagrebEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonDinamo ZagrebEstimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Dinamo Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonDinamo Zagreb +1.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonDinamo ZagrebEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonDinamo ZagrebEstimated chance56.5%

Points5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 33.5 points in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Dinamo Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 33.5Estimated chance82.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Alkar score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Dinamo Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAlkar over 16.5Estimated chance72.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. The game has more than 159.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 159.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · Team PointswonDinamo Zagreb over 82.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostDinamo Zagreb over 20.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Alkar score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · Team PointslostAlkar over 77.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Dinamo Zagreb 84.2, Alkar 78.8. Dinamo Zagreb score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Dinamo Zagreb and 15 for Alkar, across seasons and competitions.
- Through Oct. 23, Dinamo were 3-0 at home in the 2026-27 Premijer liga, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 75.0.
- Alkar were 1-4 in the 2026-27 Premijer liga through Oct. 25, allowing 84.4 points per game after a 76-75 home loss to Split.
- In 15 box-score games, Dinamo shot 72.2% from the free-throw line versus Alkar's 64.9%; 2P and 3P accuracy were similar (52.8%/33.4% vs 51.3%/32.3%).
- At Dinamo in the last four head-to-heads, Dinamo averaged 86.3 points to Alkar's 76.8, though Alkar won the latest 81-76 on Jan. 3, 2026.
- Dinamo enter at 3-2 (375 points for, 412 against) and Alkar at 1-4 (399 for, 422 against) in the current league table.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonDinamo Zagreb under 21.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 13:04

Selected line

159.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 160+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 159.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L77–72

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

Apr 25, 2026·PRE

L76–81

Dinamo Zagrebv Alkar

Alkar

Jan 3, 2026·PRE

L74–72

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

Oct 11, 2025·PRE

L63–62

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

May 2, 2025·PRE

W96–86

Dinamo Zagrebv Alkar

Alkar

Mar 1, 2025·PRE

L88–80

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

Dec 8, 2024·PRE

W79–100

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

Apr 20, 2024·PRE

W74–68

Dinamo Zagrebv Alkar

Alkar

Mar 2, 2024·PRE

W53–76

Alkarv

Dinamo Zagreb

Dec 3, 2023·PRE

W99–72

Dinamo Zagrebv Alkar

Alkar

Apr 25, 2023·PRE

154.8Avg total points

10.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Premijer liga · Premijer liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Dinamo Zagreb

3–260%

Alkar

1–420%

Recent Form

Dinamo Zagreb

5W 10L · last 15

at Zadar61–87 Oct 23PRE

vs Dubrava85–62 Oct 17PRE

at Kvarner55–100 Oct 11PRE

vs Dubrovnik94–85 Oct 3PRE

vs Zabok80–78 Sep 26PRE

at Kastela101–82 May 20PRE

vs Kastela97–61 May 16PRE

at Samobor91–110 May 9PRE

vs Dubrovnik82–97 May 3PRE

vs Split89–96 Apr 29PRE

at Alkar72–77 Apr 25PRE

at GKK Sibenka74–84 Apr 18PRE

vs Dubrava72–87 Apr 15PRE

at Kvarner67–96 Apr 11PRE

vs Cedevita Junior80–85 Apr 4PRE

Alkar

4W 11L · last 15

vs Split75–76 Oct 25PRE

at Virtus Zagreb78–83 Oct 18PRE

at Spartak Pleven82–93 Oct 14ENB

vs Skrljevo73–88 Oct 10PRE

at Samobor95–91 OTOct 4PRE

at Zrinjski Mostar92–87 OTSep 30ENB

vs Cibona78–84 Sep 27PRE

at Dubrovnik70–87 May 9PRE

at GKK Sibenka88–91 May 1PRE

vs Dinamo Zagreb77–72 Apr 25PRE

at Dubrava69–85 Apr 19PRE

vs Kvarner77–69 Apr 15PRE

at Cedevita Junior62–80 Apr 11PRE

vs Zadar58–69 Apr 4PRE

at Split64–80 Mar 29PRE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Dinamo Zagreb

Stats

4–1

Alkar

Dinamo Zagreb leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.5pp

52.8%

+1.5pp

51.3%

3-point %+1.1pp

33.4%

+1.1pp

32.3%

Free-throw %+7.3pp

72.2%

+7.3pp

64.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.8pp apart

32.5%

0.8pp apart

31.7%

Free throws per shot3.5pp apart

31.8%

3.5pp apart

28.3%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.4

34.7

+1.4

33.3

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

14.3

0.8 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 159.5

Result6 of 6 landed

Points5 of 7 landed

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Dinamo Zagreb

Alkar