Pro BFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Denain-Voltaire96Nantes72

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Points by period: Denain-Voltaire and Nantes.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Denain-Voltaire	22	26	24	24
Nantes	16	30	16	10

Quick Take

Pre-match view

League leaders Denain host a Nantes side that gets to the free-throw line far more often.

Denain's 5-1 start and an expected score of 86.6 points to 80.2 points after 40 minutes point to a home win, roughly 69 of 100 including overtime, with a first-half lead the likelier shape. Prices are posted, but none of them stands out at our numbers.

Context

Denain lose frontcourt option Christian Nelson for around two months while leading the league, and Nantes' much higher free-throw rate is a real route into the game, so the home edge is meaningful rather than decisive.

The 26 October medical update placed Christian Nelson's injury at Denain's game in Antibes and identified him as a power forward. His estimated absence covers the immediate period around the Nantes meeting, leaving Denain without that frontcourt option.
- Medical tests confirmed an estimated two-month absence after Christian Nelson injured his knee at Antibes.
- Christian Nelson was identified as Denain's power forward.
The 24 October response followed a 20 October loss at Antibes that had been Denain's first of the season. The club then said it remained league leader, placing the Nantes game immediately after a rebound result.
- Denain came back in the fourth quarter to win away at Le Havre on 24 October.
- The victory left Denain top of the Élite 2 table.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDenain-VoltaireEstimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonDenain-VoltaireEstimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Denain-Voltaire and 15 for Nantes, across seasons and competitions.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostDenain-Voltaire +0.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonDenain-VoltaireEstimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Denain-Voltaire and 15 for Nantes, across seasons and competitions.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonDenain-Voltaire +0.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostDenain-VoltaireEstimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonDenain-VoltaireEstimated chance55.8%

Points2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Denain-Voltaire and 15 for Nantes, across seasons and competitions.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 37.5Estimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Denain-Voltaire score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Denain-Voltaire and 15 for Nantes, across seasons and competitions.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonDenain-Voltaire over 19.5Estimated chance63.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Denain-Voltaire 86.6, Nantes 80.2. Nantes score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Denain-Voltaire and 15 for Nantes, across seasons and competitions.
- Denain is 5-1 and first in Pro B, averaging 87.5 points scored and 77.5 allowed over six league games through 24 October.
- In three Pro B home games, Denain averaged 86.7 points scored and 74.7 allowed (25 September, 9 October, 16 October).
- Nantes is 4-2 in Pro B; in three road league games it averaged 81.0 scored and 84.3 allowed, including 97 at Evreux on 20 October.
- In the tracked box scores (Denain 13 games, Nantes 14), Denain shot 56.8% on two-pointers and 30.1% on threes; Nantes shot 55.0% and 30.2%, with Nantes posting a 41.8% free-throw rate against Denain's 28.2%.
- Denain's Christian Nelson (3.6 points in 13.1 minutes per game) is confirmed out for about two months after a 26 October knee injury update.
- Denain won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Nantes: 93-86 at home on 23 December 2025 and 83-78 at Nantes on 30 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostNantes over 18.5Estimated chance61.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 04:05

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

50%

Chance of 168+ points

7 pp below break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 50%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W78–83

Nantesv

Denain-Voltaire

Jan 30, 2026·PRO

W93–86

Denain-Voltairev Nantes

Nantes

Dec 23, 2025·PRO

L75–85

Denain-Voltairev Nantes

Nantes

Mar 21, 2025·PRO

L97–92

Nantesv

Denain-Voltaire

Jan 10, 2025·PRO

W84–101

Nantesv

Denain-Voltaire

Apr 26, 2024·PRO

W87–84

Denain-Voltairev Nantes

Nantes

Dec 19, 2023·PROOT

W79–77

Denain-Voltairev Nantes

Nantes

Feb 10, 2023·PRO

L85–64

Nantesv

Denain-Voltaire

Dec 2, 2022·PRO

W73–66

Denain-Voltairev Nantes

Nantes

Mar 18, 2022·PRO

L91–60

Nantesv

Denain-Voltaire

Oct 16, 2021·PRO

164Avg total points

10.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Pro B · Elite 2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Denain-Voltaire

5–183%

Nantes

4–267%

Recent Form

Denain-Voltaire

10W 5L · last 15

at Le Havre103–95 Oct 24PRO

at Antibes82–91 Oct 20PRO

vs Aix Maurienne95–77 Oct 16PRO

vs Levallois78–71 Oct 9PRO

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque106–81 Oct 6FRE

at Chalons-Reims80–55 Oct 2PRO

vs Ada Blois87–76 Sep 25PRO

at Chalons-Reims88–80 Sep 15FRE

vs Chalons-Reims60–62 May 19PRO

vs Quimper75–62 May 15PRO

at Hyeres-Toulon78–96 May 8PRO

vs Rouen78–93 Apr 30PRO

vs Aix Maurienne80–75 Apr 24PRO

at Evreux81–79 Apr 21PRO

at St. Chamond77–80 Apr 17PRO

Nantes

9W 6L · last 15

vs ASA99–90 Oct 23PRO

at Evreux97–82 Oct 20PRO

vs Rouen83–78 Oct 16PRO

at Poitiers73–90 Oct 9PRO

vs Quimper76–62 Oct 2PRO

at Antibes73–81 Sep 26PRO

at Angers82–84 Sep 15FRE

at Poitiers75–85 Jun 9PRO

vs Poitiers79–88 OTJun 6PRO

at Poitiers83–80 OTJun 3PRO

at Ada Blois88–68 May 31PRO

vs Ada Blois81–84 May 27PRO

at Ada Blois83–73 May 24PRO

vs La Rochelle107–89 May 19PRO

at Vichy82–75 May 15PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Denain-Voltaire

13 games

Stats

1–4

Nantes

14 games

Nantes leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+1.8pp

56.8%

+1.8pp

55.0%

3-point %+0.1pp

30.1%

+0.1pp

30.2%

Free-throw %+2.1pp

69.3%

+2.1pp

71.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.5pp apart

30.8%

4.5pp apart

26.3%

Free throws per shot13.6pp apart

28.2%

13.6pp apart

41.8%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.1

33.4

+1.1

34.5

Turnovers per game1.1 fewer

14.3

1.1 fewer

13.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.