Energa Basket LigaFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Anwil Wloclawek83Ostrow Wielkopolski82

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 19:15 Predictions graded

Predictions8–280%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Anwil Wloclawek and Ostrow Wielkopolski.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Anwil Wloclawek	25	19	22	17
Ostrow Wielkopolski	22	17	25	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Anwil have the home floor and the better scoring and ball-security profile, but Ostrow's 104-89 win in the last meeting and the high-scoring history in Wloclawek keep this close: Anwil by about five after 40 minutes is the likeliest shape.

At 1.30 to win and 1.32 to lead after 40 minutes Anwil offer nothing; the only price that stands up is Ostrow to be ahead at half-time at 2.96.

Context

Two sides level at 2-2 in the Energa Basket Liga and one place apart in the table, meeting after mid-table league defeats on 24 and 25 October. The stakes are ordinary, the recent Wloclawek meetings have been high-scoring, and the live market call sits at half-time rather than on the eventual winner.

Anwil’s last league outing was decided by a single point after a closely balanced game. It provides low-impact form context for the home meeting with Stal, rather than a stand-alone indicator for this matchup.
- Anwil lost 78-77 at Zielona Góra in the fourth league round on 24 October.
- The game featured 19 lead changes and 12 ties.
Ostrów’s latest league result was a 10-point away defeat at Legia. It provides low-impact form context for the game at Anwil; the score alone does not describe the tactical setup expected on Friday.
- Legia Warszawa beat Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 84-74 on 25 October.
- The result was Legia’s sixth straight win over Ostrów.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half ResultlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Ostrow Wielkopolski

2.96fair 2.68

Market 33.8% · BetBugs 37.4%

+3.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 37 of 100 games like this. Anwil's league scoring (79.0) meets an Ostrow defense allowing 82.0, and Anwil shoots better from outside while turning the ball over less; Ostrow's modest road output (74 at Legia) keeps them just behind. Home court and the historically generous head-to-head scoring in Wloclawek nudge both totals a little above the raw league averages.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAnwil WloclawekEstimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anwil Wloclawek and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonOstrow Wielkopolski +3.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonAnwil WloclawekEstimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anwil Wloclawek and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAnwil Wloclawek +0.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonAnwil WloclawekEstimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonAnwil WloclawekEstimated chance55.3%

Points2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anwil Wloclawek and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAnwil Wloclawek under 22.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anwil Wloclawek and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 41.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Ostrow Wielkopolski score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anwil Wloclawek and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonOstrow Wielkopolski over 18.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anwil Wloclawek 83.0, Ostrow Wielkopolski 78.3. Anwil Wloclawek score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Anwil's four Energa Basket Liga games in 2026-27: 316 points scored and 316 allowed, exactly 79.0 each per game (table, observed 29 October 2026).
- Ostrow's four league games in 2026-27: 310 scored (77.5) and 328 allowed (82.0) per game, including 74 at Legia on 25 October and 65 at home to Gornik Walbrzych on 12 October.
- Over the 15-game box-score sample, Anwil shoots 55.6% on two-pointers and 31.3% on threes with 12.1 turnovers per game; Ostrow shoots 54.6% and 28.8% with 15.1 turnovers per game.
- Anwil is at home for only the second time in five league games this season and had six days' rest versus Ostrow's five after a 10-point loss in Warsaw.
- Recent head-to-heads in Wloclawek have been high-scoring for the hosts: 90-81 on 6 April 2026, 92-79 on 8 March 2025 and 97-86 on 16 December 2023, all Energa Basket Liga.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostAnwil Wloclawek under 21.5Estimated chance56.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 13:04

Selected line

161.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

51%

Chance of 162+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 51%.

Move the line main 161.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 51%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 49%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W90–81

Anwil Wloclawekv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Apr 6, 2026·ENE

L104–89

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Anwil Wloclawek

Dec 4, 2025·ENE

W92–79

Anwil Wloclawekv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Mar 8, 2025·ENE

W85–87

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Anwil Wloclawek

Nov 2, 2024·ENE

L89–87

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Anwil Wloclawek

Apr 14, 2024·ENEOT

L85–94

Anwil Wloclawekv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Feb 17, 2024·POL

W97–86

Anwil Wloclawekv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Dec 16, 2023·ENE

L86–88

Anwil Wloclawekv

Ostrow Wielkopolski

May 3, 2023·ENE

W80–89

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Anwil Wloclawek

Feb 17, 2023·POL

L71–68

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv

Anwil Wloclawek

Jan 7, 2023·ENE

172.7Avg total points

7.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Anwil Wloclawek

2–250%

Ostrow Wielkopolski

2–250%

Recent Form

Anwil Wloclawek

9W 6L · last 15

at Zielona Gora77–78 Oct 24ENE

vs Voluntari86–87 Oct 21ENB

at Legia72–73 Oct 16ENE

vs Czarni Slupsk79–78 Oct 11ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych88–87 OTOct 5ENE

vs Donar Groningen97–81 Sep 24ENB

vs Dabrowa Gornicza84–87 May 10ENE

vs Zielona Gora71–86 May 8ENE

vs Trefl Sopot94–79 May 6ENE

at Dziki Warszawa73–78 Apr 30ENE

vs Slask Wroclaw96–83 Apr 25ENE

vs Zielona Gora79–70 Apr 19ENE

at Krosno101–87 Apr 11ENE

vs Ostrow Wielkopolski90–81 Apr 6ENE

at Czarni Slupsk68–57 Mar 28ENE

Ostrow Wielkopolski

8W 7L · last 15

at Legia74–84 Oct 25ENE

at Czarni Slupsk87–84 Oct 19ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych65–81 Oct 12ENE

at Lublin84–79 OTOct 3ENE

at Dabrowa Gornicza86–94 May 8ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych86–74 May 6ENE

at Trefl Sopot86–88 May 2ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa73–83 Apr 25ENE

at Slask Wroclaw77–73 Apr 17ENE

vs Zielona Gora75–82 Apr 13ENE

at Anwil Wloclawek81–90 Apr 6ENE

at Krosno87–80 Mar 29ENE

vs Czarni Slupsk75–68 Mar 19ENE

vs Torun77–75 Mar 15ENE

vs Lublin93–78 Mar 8ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Anwil Wloclawek

Stats

4–1

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Anwil Wloclawek leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+1.0pp

55.6%

+1.0pp

54.6%

3-point %+2.5pp

31.3%

+2.5pp

28.8%

Free-throw %+1.6pp

71.5%

+1.6pp

69.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.2pp apart

27.2%

1.2pp apart

28.4%

Free throws per shot2.3pp apart

41.6%

2.3pp apart

39.3%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.0

34.3

+1.0

35.3

Turnovers per game3.0 fewer

12.1

3.0 fewer

15.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.