EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Anadolu Efes83Panathinaikos68

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–1335%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Anadolu Efes and Panathinaikos.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Anadolu Efes	21	24	16	22
Panathinaikos	18	19	14	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Panathinaikos are 7-1 in the EuroLeague and rate the stronger side, while Efes' 92.0-point home scoring keeps the game live.

The 40-minute expectation is Panathinaikos 88.4 points to Efes 82.8 points, making Panathinaikos the likely winner. The 1.63 price on Panathinaikos to be ahead at the end of 40 minutes offers a narrow edge; the full-game winner is a lean without a priced recommendation here.

Context

Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague with the stronger two-way record, while Efes has scored 92.0 points in three EuroLeague home games but allowed 88.5 points per game overall. Efes' Round 8 availability was depleted and several players remain unresolved for this game.

Efes complete their EuroLeague double week against Panathinaikos on 30 October after the 28 October loss in Hapoel Tel Aviv. The result is a very recent outcome but does not itself establish player availability or a likely outcome.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Anadolu Efes 118–88 in EuroLeague Round 8 on 28 October.
James was listed out in the Round 8 injury update. The 30 October fixture follows two days later, and no return date was announced, leaving his Friday participation unresolved.
- Mike James was listed out for Anadolu Efes’ Round 8 game while recovering from Achilles surgery.
Dozier was unavailable for Efes’ Round 8 game. No timetable for his return was announced before the 30 October meeting with Panathinaikos.
- PJ Dozier was listed out for Anadolu Efes’ Round 8 game with a lower-back injury.
Cordinier was unavailable in the Round 8 injury update. No expected return date was announced before Efes host Panathinaikos on 30 October.
- Isaia Cordinier was listed out for Anadolu Efes’ Round 8 game while recovering from surgery.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Result after 40 minlostUncertainty band: Lean

Panathinaikos

1.63fair 1.54

Market 61.3% · BetBugs 64.9%

+3.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 65 of 100 games like this. Panathinaikos has the stronger current EuroLeague record on both ends, while Efes has conceded heavily and just lost by 30. Efes' home scoring gives it a competitive total, but Panathinaikos' shooting and defense point to a high-80s away score against a low-80s home score.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anadolu Efes and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAnadolu Efes +4.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPanathinaikosEstimated chance67.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.63
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostPanathinaikosEstimated chance64.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Anadolu Efes and 15 for Panathinaikos, across seasons and competitions.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonAnadolu Efes +4.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostPanathinaikosEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostPanathinaikosEstimated chance56.9%

Points5 of 14 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. The game has more than 164.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 164.5Estimated chance67.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 84.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 20.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 40.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes score more than 79.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAnadolu Efes over 79.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 82.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 42.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonAnadolu Efes over 39.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Panathinaikos score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPanathinaikos over 20.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonAnadolu Efes over 19.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAnadolu Efes over 19.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. Anadolu Efes score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostAnadolu Efes over 19.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Anadolu Efes 82.8, Panathinaikos 88.4. The 1st quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Panathinaikos is 7-1 in the EuroLeague through 8 games (29 Oct), scoring 86.6 and allowing 74.0 per game.
- Anadolu Efes is 3-5 in the EuroLeague, scoring 83.6 and allowing 88.5 per game; at home in the EuroLeague it has scored 92.0 in three games.
- Efes lost 118-88 at Hapoel Tel Aviv on 28 October, its most recent EuroLeague game.
- Panathinaikos beat Olimpia Milano 80-75 on 27 October and Baskonia 85-79 on 22 October.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 97-62 on 17 April 2026 and 95-81 at Efes on 17 October 2025.
- Over 15 box scores Panathinaikos has shot 58.0% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers; Efes has shot 55.7% and 33.2% over 13.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance57.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 29, 01:29

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

67%

Chance of 165+ points

+15 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 67%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 67%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 33%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L97–62

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

Apr 17, 2026·EUR

L81–95

Anadolu Efesv

Panathinaikos

Oct 17, 2025·EUR

L75–67

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

May 6, 2025·EUR

W85–82

Anadolu Efesv

Panathinaikos

May 2, 2025·EUR

L77–81

Anadolu Efesv

Panathinaikos

Apr 30, 2025·EUR

W76–79

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

Apr 24, 2025·EUR

L87–83

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

Apr 22, 2025·EUR

L104–89

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

Feb 6, 2025·EUR

W93–67

Anadolu Efesv

Panathinaikos

Dec 13, 2024·EUR

L83–76

Panathinaikosv

Anadolu Efes

Jan 9, 2024·EUR

163.9Avg total points

11.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Anadolu Efes

3–538%

Panathinaikos

7–188%

Recent Form

Anadolu Efes

9W 6L · last 15

at Hapoel Tel Aviv88–118 Oct 28EUR

vs Korfez Basket93–77 Oct 25BAS

vs Besiktas89–80 Oct 22EUR

at Esenler Erokspor70–73 Oct 19BAS

at Zalgiris Kaunas85–70 Oct 16EUR

vs Bayern93–101 Oct 14EUR

vs Denizli Basket85–76 Oct 11BAS

at Olympiacos66–89 Oct 9EUR

at Bordo Bandirma85–79 Oct 4BAS

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72–77 Oct 1EUR

vs Real Madrid94–84 Sep 29EUR

vs Besiktas95–81 Sep 27BAS

at Barcelona82–89 Sep 24EUR

at Lokomotiv Kuban88–82 Sep 20VTB

vs Unics Kazan91–79 Sep 19VTB

Panathinaikos

12W 3L · last 15

vs Olimpia Milano80–75 Oct 27EUR

vs AS Karditsas78–64 Oct 24BAS

vs Baskonia85–79 Oct 22EUR

vs Peristeri95–75 Oct 18BAS

vs Hapoel Tel Aviv81–91 Oct 16EUR

at Partizan Mozzart Bet72–55 Oct 13EUR

at Promitheas84–59 Oct 10BAS

vs Fenerbahce92–74 Oct 8EUR

vs Vikos103–74 Oct 4BAS

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv90–67 Oct 2EUR

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne102–79 Sep 30EUR

vs PAOK82–84 Sep 26SUP

vs Paris91–72 Sep 24EUR

at Olympiacos85–89 Jun 13BAS

vs Olympiacos93–86 OTJun 10BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Anadolu Efes

13 games

Stats

1–4

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.3pp

55.7%

+2.3pp

58.0%

3-point %+3.3pp

33.2%

+3.3pp

36.5%

Free-throw %7/8 games+7.0pp

84.4%

+7.0pp

77.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.4pp apart

28.5%

3.4pp apart

31.9%

Free throws per shot7/8 games8.8pp apart

30.6%

8.8pp apart

39.4%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+0.7

32.2

+0.7

32.9

Turnovers per game1.1 fewer

13.8

1.1 fewer

12.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.