B LeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Akita85Altiri Chiba89

Fri 30 Oct 2026, 10:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Akita and Altiri Chiba.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Akita	18	20	28	19
Altiri Chiba	28	16	20	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Akita's home scoring against Altiri Chiba's road troubles sets the tension.

Akita average 92.7 points in three home games; Altiri average 73.5 points in six on the road, so the likely outcome is an Akita win by a narrow margin. The handicap price of Akita -1.5 at 1.79, overtime included, offers a little; the 1.71 on Akita under 82.5 points does not.

Context

Both teams have conceded heavily this season, the venue split is sharp but built on small samples, and last season's sweep of all four meetings by Altiri is the main condition hanging over the matchup.

Akita committed 19 turnovers in Kyoto and were unable to offset Kyoto's work on the offensive glass. Downer singled out those two areas after the defeat. Rebounding and ball security are immediate issues against an Altiri side whose frontcourt is built to pursue missed shots.
- Akita lost 79-71 at Kyoto on 26 October.
- Kyoto collected 15 offensive rebounds and led second-chance points 22-1.
- Mick Downer highlighted turnovers and rebounds conceded after the game.
Altiri's latest game slipped away during a 33-point fourth quarter for Gunma, with 20 turnovers across the night. The result comes directly before the trip to Akita, although it does not establish how the same game patterns will carry into this matchup.
- Altiri Chiba lost 85-74 at home to Gunma on 26 October.
- Gunma won the fourth quarter 33-17.
- Altiri Chiba committed 20 turnovers in the loss.
Davis is a former Akita big man who has recently re-entered Altiri's starting five. His return to that unit may shape the frontcourt matchup, but the report does not confirm his role or minutes for this game.
- Alex Davis has played in nine B.League Premier games this season.
- Davis has recently returned to the starting lineup.
- Davis played for Akita from 2020 to 2022.
Newbill has handled a central offensive role for Altiri through the opening 12 league games and delivered 27 points against Gunma despite the defeat. His decision-making with the ball is a key part of Altiri's attack, though this does not confirm any particular output against Akita.
- D.J. Newbill started each of Altiri Chiba's first 12 league games.
- Newbill scored 27 points against Gunma on 26 October.
- He recorded five rebounds and five assists in that Gunma game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Akita -1.5

1.79fair 1.67

Market 55.9% · BetBugs 59.9%

+4.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Both teams' games this season have totalled around 163-164 points, with each side scoring in the high 70s and conceding in the mid 80s, so home court tips a close, high-possession game slightly Akita's way. Akita's stronger home scoring and Altiri's poor road output and 14-turnover, 66.7% free-throw profile pull the visitors down a few points.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Altiri Chiba, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAkita +4.5Estimated chance76.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAkitaEstimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · HandicaplostAkita -1.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostAkitaEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Altiri Chiba cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Akita and 15 for Altiri Chiba, across seasons and competitions.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostAltiri Chiba +2.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostAkitaEstimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostAkita -0.5Estimated chance56.8%

Points4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 19.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonAkita over 19.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostAkita over 40.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. Akita score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonAkita over 82.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Akita 83.7, Altiri Chiba 79.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Akita have scored 78.0 and conceded 85.1 per game across 11 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Altiri Chiba have scored 77.5 and conceded 86.6 per game across 12 B.League games this season (through 26 October).
- Akita are 2-1 at home this season, averaging 92.7 points in those three games, while Altiri are 1-5 on the road averaging 73.5.
- Altiri shoot 54.5% on two-pointers (314/576) over 15 tracked games against Akita's 51.9% (262/504).
- Altiri average 14.1 turnovers and 66.7% free-throw shooting over 15 tracked games; Akita average 12.9 turnovers and 70.3%.
- Altiri won all four meetings last season, including 85-74 and 101-98 in overtime in Akita in March 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 04:02

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

52%

Chance of 164+ points

2 pp below break-even

Over 1.85 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 52%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L75–74

Altiri Chibav Akita

Akita

Apr 19, 2026·B L

L83–65

Altiri Chibav Akita

Akita

Apr 18, 2026·B L

L74–85

Akitav

Altiri Chiba

Mar 8, 2026·B L

L98–101

Akitav

Altiri Chiba

Mar 7, 2026·B LOT

163.8Avg total points

8.3Avg margin

4meetings

League table

B League · B.League - Regular Season · Western Conference

#TeamW–LWin %

Akita

0–0—

Altiri Chiba

0–0—

Recent Form

Akita

4W 11L · last 15

at Kyoto71–79 Oct 26B L

vs Yokohama95–86 Oct 24B L

at Hiroshima D.84–98 Oct 21B L

at Alvark74–90 Oct 19B L

vs Shinshu102–95 Oct 17B L

at Utsunomiya Brex82–71 Oct 11B L

vs Brave Thunders81–87 Oct 8B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers76–86 Oct 4B L

at Tokyo Sunrockers63–90 Oct 3B L

at Sendai75–73 Sep 27B L

at Sendai55–81 Sep 26B L

vs Saga70–87 May 3B L

vs Saga72–85 May 2B L

at Toyama77–94 Apr 26B L

at Toyama72–82 Apr 25B L

Altiri Chiba

4W 11L · last 15

vs Gunma74–85 Oct 26B L

at Ibaraki Robots87–102 Oct 24B L

at Ryukyu65–94 Oct 21B L

at Nagasaki82–65 Oct 19B L

vs Hiroshima D.71–89 Oct 17B L

vs Toyama74–94 Oct 11B L

vs Osaka97–90 Oct 9B L

at Sendai74–81 Oct 7B L

vs Brave Thunders74–82 Oct 4B L

vs Brave Thunders99–90 Oct 3B L

at Gunma59–91 Sep 26B L

at Gunma74–76 Sep 24B L

at Chiba87–96 May 3B L

at Chiba81–98 May 2B L

at Sun Rockers Shibuya87–85 Apr 26B L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Akita

Stats

2–3

Altiri Chiba

Altiri Chiba leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.5pp

52.0%

+2.5pp

54.5%

3-point %+1.8pp

34.8%

+1.8pp

36.6%

Free-throw %+3.6pp

70.3%

+3.6pp

66.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.1pp apart

38.8%

4.1pp apart

34.7%

Free throws per shot4.8pp apart

27.5%

4.8pp apart

22.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.9

32.1

+0.9

33.0

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

12.9

1.2 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.