Liga AFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Gimnasia73Ferro61

Thu 29 Oct 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–858%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Gimnasia and Ferro.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Gimnasia	23	22	11	17
Ferro	14	19	15	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Gimnasia's home court and 4-2 start against a Ferro side averaging 86.2 points across five league games but sitting 2-3 shapes as a moderate home win, around 85-79.

Gimnasia are the pick to win, overtime included. Of the prices available, only over 160.5 combined points at 1.81 offers anything.

Context

The 85.4-79.2 expected score rests on contrasting profiles: Ferro score more (86.2 per game over five games to Oct 21) but concede more (88.0), while Gimnasia shoot better from three and rebound better at 34.1 per game against 31.9. Long layoffs for both teams, 16.0 days for Gimnasia and 8.0 for Ferro, leave sharpness uncertain, and no current availability news is established.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGimnasiaEstimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonGimnasiaEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gimnasia and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostGimnasia +1.5Estimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonGimnasiaEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonGimnasiaEstimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gimnasia and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonGimnasia -0.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonGimnasiaEstimated chance55.5%

Points5 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gimnasia and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 36.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.81
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. The game has more than 160.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 160.5Estimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gimnasia and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonGimnasia under 22.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostGimnasia over 83.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Ferro score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Gimnasia and 15 for Ferro, across seasons and competitions.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostFerro over 18.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonGimnasia over 20.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonGimnasia over 41.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Ferro score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostFerro over 77.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. The 1st half has more than 80.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 80.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Gimnasia score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonGimnasia over 20.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Gimnasia 85.4, Ferro 79.2. Ferro score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Gimnasia is 4-2 in Liga A 2026-27 and has averaged 79.8 points for and 77.5 against through its first six games (to Oct 12).
- Ferro is 2-3 and has averaged 86.2 points for and 88.0 against through five games (to Oct 21), including a 94-97 overtime loss at Instituto on Oct 10.
- Across the 15-game box-score samples, Gimnasia shot 52.5% from two and 32.0% from three; Ferro shot 56.0% from two and 27.5% from three.
- Gimnasia's only home game this season was a 92-86 win over La Union on Oct 4.
- In four home games against Ferro last season, Gimnasia averaged 84.0 points and allowed 70.0, winning all four between May 23 and June 3, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostFerro over 38.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 28, 01:20

Selected line

160.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

62%

Chance of 161+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 62%.

Move the line main 160.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W88–54

Gimnasiav

Ferro

Jun 3, 2026·LIG

L81–73

Ferrov

Gimnasia

May 30, 2026·LIG

L74–70

Ferrov

Gimnasia

May 28, 2026·LIG

W79–74

Gimnasiav

Ferro

May 25, 2026·LIG

W81–77

Gimnasiav

Ferro

May 23, 2026·LIG

W88–75

Gimnasiav

Ferro

Jan 18, 2026·LIG

L84–72

Ferrov

Gimnasia

Nov 22, 2025·LIG

L91–69

Ferrov

Gimnasia

Jun 3, 2025·LIG

L64–77

Gimnasiav

Ferro

May 31, 2025·LIG

W76–57

Gimnasiav

Ferro

May 30, 2025·LIG

150.4Avg total points

13.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga A · Liga A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Gimnasia

4–267%

Ferro

2–340%

Recent Form

Gimnasia

9W 6L · last 15

at Argentino87–82 Oct 12LIG

at Racing de Chivilcoy78–72 Oct 11LIG

at San Lorenzo73–89 Oct 9LIG

vs La Union92–86 Oct 4LIG

at Penarol57–62 Sep 30LIG

at Lanus92–74 Sep 29LIG

vs Quimsa68–56 Jun 21LIG

at Quimsa60–88 Jun 18LIG

vs Quimsa74–77 OTJun 14LIG

vs Quimsa76–59 Jun 12LIG

at Quimsa80–79 Jun 9LIG

at Quimsa82–73 Jun 6LIG

vs Ferro88–54 Jun 3LIG

at Ferro73–81 May 30LIG

at Ferro70–74 May 28LIG

Ferro

7W 8L · last 15

vs Platense86–81 Oct 21LIG

at Atenas86–91 Oct 13LIG

at Instituto de Cordoba94–97 OTOct 10LIG

at Independiente de Oliva97–92 Oct 9LIG

at Argentino68–79 Oct 1LIG

at Gimnasia54–88 Jun 3LIG

vs Gimnasia81–73 May 30LIG

vs Gimnasia74–70 May 28LIG

at Gimnasia74–79 May 25LIG

at Gimnasia77–81 May 23LIG

at Regatas87–85 May 19LIG

vs Regatas71–79 May 15LIG

vs Regatas90–75 May 13LIG

at Regatas60–81 May 11LIG

at Regatas95–89 May 8LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Gimnasia

Stats

2–2

Ferro

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+3.5pp

52.5%

+3.5pp

56.0%

3-point %+4.5pp

32.0%

+4.5pp

27.5%

Free-throw %+3.6pp

71.2%

+3.6pp

74.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.6pp apart

37.0%

7.6pp apart

29.4%

Free throws per shot6.8pp apart

27.7%

6.8pp apart

34.5%

Possession· 1–0

Rebounds per game+2.2

34.1

+2.2

31.9

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 160.5

Result6 of 7 landed

Points5 of 12 landed

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Gimnasia

Ferro