Liga AFinished

Predictions graded

San Lorenzo58Platense80

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Points by period: San Lorenzo and Platense.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
San Lorenzo	18	18	16	6
Platense	16	28	22	14

Quick Take

Pre-match view

San Lorenzo host Platense with neither side in stride — two straight league defeats for the hosts, three losses in five for the visitors.

San Lorenzo's two-point shooting points to a narrow home win, something near 84-80 after 40 minutes, though the evidence is thin at three to five games this season. No price stands out at our numbers: Under 161.5 combined points at 1.77, San Lorenzo under 82.5 at 1.68 and Platense under 79.5 at 1.67 all look the wrong way.

Context

San Lorenzo carry two straight league defeats and a possible absence in Flor, while Platense have lost three of five and rebounded better across a longer box-scored run. The current-season samples are small, so conditions are informative but not decisive.

Eric Flor missed the Peñarol game through an unspecified injury. No return date was given with the absence report, so his participation against Platense remains uncertain.
- Eric Flor missed San Lorenzo's 92-85 defeat to Peñarol on 16 October because of an injury.
Peñarol beat San Lorenzo 92-85 on 16 October and Oberá won 78-73 two days later. San Lorenzo resumed training on 21 October, making those defeats the immediate results backdrop to the home meeting with Platense.
- Peñarol beat San Lorenzo 92-85 on 16 October.
- Oberá beat San Lorenzo 78-73 on 18 October.
- San Lorenzo returned to training on 21 October ahead of Platense.
Platense closed strongly to beat Oberá 86-80 on 16 October, then lost at Ferro four days later despite another late push. That split sequence is the latest confirmed league form before the trip to San Lorenzo.
- Platense beat Oberá 86-80 on 16 October.
- Platense lost away to Ferro on 20 October after a late comeback attempt.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for San Lorenzo and 15 for Platense, across seasons and competitions.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostSan Lorenzo +2.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSan LorenzoEstimated chance60.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostSan LorenzoEstimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. Platense cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for San Lorenzo and 15 for Platense, across seasons and competitions.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPlatense +2.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostSan LorenzoEstimated chance55.7%

Points3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. Platense score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for San Lorenzo and 15 for Platense, across seasons and competitions.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPlatense over 16.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. The 1st half has more than 79.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 79.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. Platense score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPlatense over 38.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for San Lorenzo and 15 for Platense, across seasons and competitions.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSan Lorenzo over 19.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. The game has more than 161.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 161.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. San Lorenzo score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · Team PointslostSan Lorenzo over 82.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: San Lorenzo 83.7, Platense 80.3. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for San Lorenzo and 15 for Platense, across seasons and competitions.
- San Lorenzo are 1-2 in Liga A this season through Oct 18, averaging 82.3 points for and 81.0 against over three games.
- Platense are 2-3 in Liga A through Oct 21, averaging 80.4 points for and 84.8 against; their three road games averaged 76.7 for and 84.7 against.
- Across 14 box-scored Liga A games from Feb 21 to Oct 17, San Lorenzo shot 55.7% on two-pointers, 30.7% on three-pointers and 71.1% on free throws with 30.9 rebounds per game.
- Across 15 box-scored Liga A games from Mar 12 to Oct 21, Platense shot 52.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 71.5% on free throws with 34.3 rebounds per game.
- The latest head-to-head was San Lorenzo 107-103 Platense in Liga A on Mar 18, 2026, but the four meetings before that averaged 154.0 total points.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 39.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 28, 04:05

Selected line

161.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 162+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 161.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W107–103

San Lorenzov

Platense

Mar 18, 2026·LIG

L101–78

Platensev

San Lorenzo

Nov 3, 2025·LIG

L73–78

San Lorenzov

Platense

Apr 22, 2025·LIG

L81–71

Platensev

San Lorenzo

Jan 8, 2025·LIG

W72–62

San Lorenzov

Platense

Apr 5, 2024·LIG

L85–81

Platensev

San Lorenzo

Dec 4, 2023·LIG

W100–61

San Lorenzov

Platense

Mar 2, 2023·LIG

L88–82

Platensev

San Lorenzo

Nov 27, 2022·LIG

W76–96

Platensev

San Lorenzo

Apr 7, 2022·LIG

W86–77

San Lorenzov

Platense

Mar 3, 2022·LIGOT

165.8Avg total points

13Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga A · Liga A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

San Lorenzo

1–233%

Platense

2–340%

Recent Form

San Lorenzo

5W 10L · last 15

vs Obera TC73–78 Oct 18LIG

vs Penarol85–92 Oct 17LIG

vs Gimnasia89–73 Oct 9LIG

at Obras Sanitarias70–76 Apr 18LIG

at Argentino70–80 Apr 15LIG

at Racing de Chivilcoy66–80 Apr 12LIG

vs Boca Juniors77–83 Apr 4LIG

vs Gimnasia73–81 Mar 30LIG

vs Olimpico80–69 Mar 26LIG

vs Platense107–103 Mar 18LIG

at Penarol79–71 Mar 15LIG

at San Martin72–77 Mar 9LIG

at Regatas89–69 Mar 7LIG

at Ferro77–90 Feb 23LIG

vs Instituto de Cordoba67–86 Feb 21LIG

Platense

5W 10L · last 15

at Ferro81–86 Oct 21LIG

vs Obera TC86–80 Oct 16LIG

vs La Union86–90 Oct 6LIG

at Quimsa67–94 Oct 4LIG

at Olimpico82–74 Oct 2LIG

vs San Martin77–79 Apr 17LIG

vs Regatas87–95 Apr 15LIG

at Independiente de Oliva98–86 Apr 8LIG

at Atenas72–77 Apr 5LIG

at Instituto de Cordoba70–83 Apr 3LIG

vs Racing de Chivilcoy90–89 OTMar 31LIG

at Gimnasia78–81 Mar 23LIG

at San Lorenzo103–107 Mar 18LIG

vs Union De Santa Fe93–88 Mar 15LIG

vs La Union84–86 Mar 12LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

San Lorenzo

14 games

Stats

1–3

Platense

Platense leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+3.1pp

55.7%

+3.1pp

52.6%

3-point %+2.4pp

30.7%

+2.4pp

33.1%

Free-throw %+0.4pp

71.1%

+0.4pp

71.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.8pp apart

28.1%

6.8pp apart

34.9%

Free throws per shot4.1pp apart

37.7%

4.1pp apart

33.6%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game+3.4

30.9

+3.4

34.3

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.