Penarol9595 – 76San Martin76

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol win in about 74 of 100 games like this, overtime included.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPenarolEstimated chance73.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 72 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPenarolEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Penarol and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPenarol +1.5Estimated chance71%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPenarolEstimated chance66%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. San Martin cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Penarol and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSan Martin +4.5Estimated chance64.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPenarolEstimated chance61%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonPenarolEstimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Penarol and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. The game has more than 159.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Penarol and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPenarol over 19.5Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · Team PointswonPenarol over 83.5Estimated chance62.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. Penarol score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPenarol over 20.5Estimated chance58.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Penarol 86.3, San Martin 78.2. San Martin score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Penarol and 15 for San Martin, across seasons and competitions.

• Peñarol are 3-0 in Liga A 2026-27, averaging 79.3 points and allowing 73.0; their last game was a 92-85 road win at San Lorenzo on Oct 17.
• San Martín are 0-4 in Liga A 2026-27; excluding their overtime game, they averaged 79.3 scored and 89.7 allowed in three regulation games through Oct 21.
• Across the last 15 Liga A games, Peñarol average 83.0 points on 56.0% two-point and 33.0% three-point shooting, while San Martín average 82.6 points and allow 89.1.
• San Martín shoot 36.9% from three over the 15-game sample but have a lower free-throw rate (30.6%) than Peñarol (40.8%).
• San Martín's Gastón García missed the Oct 21 game and is reported unlikely for this fixture; Peñarol's latest box score lists no regular missing.
• The most recent meeting at Peñarol was 75-72 on Nov 13, 2025, part of a dated head-to-head sample that points to lower scoring than the teams' broader recent totals.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonSan Martin over 18.5Estimated chance57.6%