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Predictions graded

NH Ostrava82Usti n. Labem61

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: NH Ostrava and Usti n. Labem.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
NH Ostrava	17	19	20	26
Usti n. Labem	14	20	14	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Usti sit 6-2 with superior two-point shooting and nine wins in the last 10 meetings, but Ostrava have averaged 88.3 points in three home NBL games.

The 40-minute read is Ostrava 85, Usti 88, so Usti to win is the sporting lean. At 1.83, Usti to be level or ahead at half-time is the one price that offers anything; Ostrava +2.5 at 1.74 and over 175.5 at 1.71 are not worth backing.

Context

Both teams are in normal league rhythm: Ostrava last played Oct 24 and Usti Oct 25, with no current injury or availability issue established. Usti's stronger start and Ostrava's home scoring shape the game, not a scheduling or fitness edge.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half HandicaplostUncertainty band: Lean

Usti n. Labem +0.5

1.83fair 1.72

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 58.2%

+3.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this. Usti has the stronger current NBL scoring margin and more efficient two-point shooting, while Ostrava's home scoring keeps the game close. I expect a moderate Usti win with both teams scoring in the mid- to high-80s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. NH Ostrava cover +6.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Usti n. Labem, across seasons and competitions.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonNH Ostrava +6.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. NH Ostrava cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Usti n. Labem, across seasons and competitions.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonNH Ostrava +3.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUsti n. LabemEstimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostUsti n. Labem +0.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostUsti n. Labem +0.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostUsti n. LabemEstimated chance56.1%

Points5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Usti n. Labem, across seasons and competitions.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 38.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. Usti n. Labem score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Usti n. Labem, across seasons and competitions.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonUsti n. Labem under 23.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. NH Ostrava score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Usti n. Labem, across seasons and competitions.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNH Ostrava over 19.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. NH Ostrava score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNH Ostrava under 87.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. The 1st quarter has fewer than 44.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 44.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 85.0, Usti n. Labem 87.7. NH Ostrava score fewer than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Usti is 6-2 in the NBL through Oct 25, averaging 91.0 points scored and 77.8 allowed; Ostrava is 4-3, averaging 86.3 and 84.0.
- Ostrava's three home NBL games through Oct 17 produced 88.3 points scored and 79.0 allowed.
- In 15 box scores, Usti shoots 55.0% on two-pointers with 13.3 turnovers per game, against Ostrava's 49.1% and 16.6.
- Usti has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including 91-87 in overtime at Ostrava on Mar 14, 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonNH Ostrava under 43.5Estimated chance55.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

175.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

45%

Chance of 176+ points

13 pp below break-even

Over 1.71 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 45%.

Move the line main 175.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L87–91

NH Ostravav

Usti n. Labem

Mar 14, 2026·NBLOT

L105–82

Usti n. Labemv

NH Ostrava

Jan 25, 2026·NBL

W100–97

NH Ostravav

Usti n. Labem

Dec 27, 2025·NBL

L85–74

Usti n. Labemv

NH Ostrava

Oct 26, 2025·NBL

L79–78

Usti n. Labemv

NH Ostrava

Dec 22, 2024·NBL

L72–87

NH Ostravav

Usti n. Labem

Oct 9, 2024·NBL

L94–88

Usti n. Labemv

NH Ostrava

Dec 10, 2023·NBL

L62–91

NH Ostravav

Usti n. Labem

Oct 4, 2023·NBL

L87–94

NH Ostravav

Usti n. Labem

Apr 8, 2023·NBL

L122–85

Usti n. Labemv

NH Ostrava

Mar 8, 2023·NBL

176Avg total points

13.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

NH Ostrava

4–357%

Usti n. Labem

6–275%

Recent Form

NH Ostrava

6W 9L · last 15

at Decin76–87 Oct 24NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK91–79 Oct 17NBL

at Pardubice98–110 Oct 3NBL

vs Hradec Kralove89–82 Sep 30NBL

at Olomoucko76–77 Sep 27NBL

vs Brno85–76 Sep 23NBL

at Opava89–77 Sep 19NBL

vs Nymburk70–116 May 5NBL

vs Nymburk71–93 May 4NBL

at Nymburk67–101 May 1NBL

at Nymburk69–113 Apr 30NBL

at Olomoucko102–71 Apr 24NBL

vs Olomoucko81–77 Apr 22NBL

at Opava68–100 Apr 18NBL

vs Brno77–102 Apr 4NBL

Usti n. Labem

8W 7L · last 15

vs Pardubice64–83 Oct 25NBL

at Hradec Kralove111–95 Oct 17NBL

vs Olomoucko102–66 Oct 11NBL

vs Brno83–68 Oct 4NBL

vs Opava86–76 Sep 30NBL

at USK Prague89–80 Sep 26NBL

vs Plzen115–74 Sep 23NBL

vs Srsni Pisek78–80 Sep 20NBL

at Opava79–103 May 9NBL

vs Opava87–72 May 6NBL

at Opava89–108 May 3NBL

at Opava69–85 May 2NBL

vs Opava93–86 Apr 29NBL

vs Opava85–98 Apr 28NBL

at Decin80–85 Apr 18NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

NH Ostrava

Stats

2–3

Usti n. Labem

Usti n. Labem leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+5.9pp

49.1%

+5.9pp

55.0%

3-point %+2.2pp

33.5%

+2.2pp

31.3%

Free-throw %+3.3pp

72.3%

+3.3pp

69.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.6pp apart

36.5%

7.6pp apart

28.9%

Free throws per shot1.2pp apart

37.3%

1.2pp apart

38.5%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.3

33.8

+1.3

35.1

Turnovers per game3.3 fewer

16.6

3.3 fewer

13.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.