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Predictions graded

Lyon-Villeurbanne82Partizan Mozzart Bet75

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–109%

Edges0–20%

Points by period: Lyon-Villeurbanne and Partizan Mozzart Bet.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Lyon-Villeurbanne	22	14	20	26
Partizan Mozzart Bet	19	13	27	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Partizan carry the better EuroLeague record into a matchup whose last two meetings were one-point games, and the 40-minute read has Partizan narrowly ahead at Lyon-Villeurbanne.

The 2.13 for Partizan to be ahead after 40 minutes and 1.85 for Partizan over 83.5 points in the full game both rate as potential value; the 1.98 and 1.87 on Lyon-Villeurbanne to be ahead after 40 minutes and to win the game, overtime included, do not.

Context

Partizan's 24 October domestic win adds a recent outing, but the matchup is shaped more by EuroLeague form, rebounding and turnovers; no availability change is confirmed.

The completed domestic fixture falls four days before the Lyon-Villeurbanne game. It adds a competitive game to the lead-in, although the result itself does not establish any absence, return or rotation change for this fixture.
- Partizan secured an ABA League win in Subotica on 24 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Result after 40 minlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Partizan Mozzart Bet

2.13fair 1.88

Market 46.9% · BetBugs 53.3%

+6.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this. Lyon-Villeurbanne's home EuroLeague games have been high-scoring and their defense has conceded heavily, while Partizan's better current record and away scoring give them a small edge. The recent head-to-head meetings were one-point games, so the scores should stay close.

Team PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Partizan Mozzart Bet over 83.5

1.85fair 1.70

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 58.8%

+4.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Lyon-Villeurbanne's home EuroLeague games have been high-scoring and their defense has conceded heavily, while Partizan's better current record and away scoring give them a small edge. The recent head-to-head meetings were one-point games, so the scores should stay close.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lyon-Villeurbanne and 15 for Partizan Mozzart Bet, across seasons and competitions.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPartizan Mozzart Bet +1.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +1.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +0.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Lyon-Villeurbanne cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Lyon-Villeurbanne and 15 for Partizan Mozzart Bet, across seasons and competitions.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostLyon-Villeurbanne +1.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet win in about 56 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPartizan Mozzart BetEstimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostPartizan Mozzart Bet +0.5Estimated chance55.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.13
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostPartizan Mozzart BetEstimated chance53.3%

Points0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 83.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 20.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 41.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Lyon-Villeurbanne 83.5, Partizan Mozzart Bet 85.3. Partizan Mozzart Bet score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Lyon-Villeurbanne are 2-5 in the EuroLeague this season, averaging 87.4 points scored and 96.7 allowed; at home in the competition they have scored 86.0 and allowed 87.7 over three games through 23 October.
- Partizan are 4-3 in the EuroLeague table, with 541 points scored and 546 allowed in seven games; in four away EuroLeague games through 22 October they averaged 79.8 scored and 80.8 allowed.
- Partizan have averaged 31.5 rebounds and 11.3 turnovers in 15 tracked games this season, while Lyon-Villeurbanne have averaged 28.1 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- Partizan shoot 57.0% on two-pointers and Lyon-Villeurbanne 53.6%; Lyon-Villeurbanne shoot 35.1% on three-pointers and Partizan 30.7%, both over 15-game samples.
- The last two head-to-head meetings were one-point games: Lyon-Villeurbanne 88-87 at home on 14 November 2025 and Partizan 79-78 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Rest is similar: Lyon-Villeurbanne last played on 25 October and Partizan on 24 October, leaving about three and four days respectively.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostPartizan Mozzart Bet over 20.5Estimated chance56.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 169+ points

+1 pp above break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L79–78

Partizan Mozzart Betv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Mar 24, 2026·EUR

W88–87

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Nov 14, 2025·EUR

L62–93

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Partizan

Jan 14, 2025·EUR

W79–82

Partizanv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Dec 17, 2024·EUR

L90–77

Partizanv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Jan 2, 2024·EUR

L62–88

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Partizan

Oct 12, 2023·EUR

L92–71

Partizanv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Jan 31, 2023·EUR

W91–87

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Partizan

Dec 13, 2022·EUR

L75–78

Lyon-Villeurbannev

Partizan

Dec 11, 2018·EUR

W78–89

Partizanv

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Oct 23, 2018·EUR

162.6Avg total points

11.4Avg margin

10meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Lyon-Villeurbanne

2–529%

Partizan Mozzart Bet

4–357%

Recent Form

Lyon-Villeurbanne

7W 8L · last 15

vs Nancy78–74 Oct 25LNB

at Zalgiris Kaunas85–105 Oct 23EUR

at Limoges97–94 OTOct 17LNB

at Real Madrid92–111 Oct 15EUR

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet82–84 Oct 13EUR

vs Roanne96–77 Oct 11LNB

at Paris98–96 Oct 7EUR

at Gravelines-Dunkerque70–65 Oct 4LNB

vs Valencia92–105 Oct 2EUR

at Panathinaikos79–102 Sep 30EUR

at Cholet97–85 Sep 27LNB

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv84–74 Sep 24EUR

at Roanne71–73 Sep 19LNB

vs Cholet75–80 OTMay 30LNB

at Cholet65–77 May 28LNB

Partizan Mozzart Bet

9W 6L · last 15

at Spartak Subotica82–80 Oct 24ABA

vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet85–82 OTOct 22EUR

at KK Bosna89–84 Oct 18ABA

at Fenerbahce65–74 Oct 15EUR

vs Panathinaikos55–72 Oct 13EUR

vs Vienna Basket99–78 Oct 11ABA

at Real Madrid76–86 Oct 8EUR

vs Mega Basket83–59 Oct 5ABA

at Bayern86–84 Oct 2EUR

at Paris92–79 Sep 29EUR

vs Olimpia Milano92–76 Sep 25EUR

vs Dubai81–83 Jun 12ABA

vs Dubai84–70 Jun 10ABA

at Dubai81–86 Jun 6ABA

at Dubai93–99 Jun 4ABA

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Stats

1–4

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Partizan Mozzart Bet leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+3.4pp

53.6%

+3.4pp

57.0%

3-point %+4.4pp

35.1%

+4.4pp

30.7%

Free-throw %10/10 games+5.2pp

70.7%

+5.2pp

75.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.3pp apart

34.5%

7.3pp apart

27.2%

Free throws per shot10/10 games8.6pp apart

40.1%

8.6pp apart

31.5%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+3.4

28.1

+3.4

31.5

Turnovers per game3.2 fewer

14.5

3.2 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.