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Predictions graded

Hradec Kralove85USK Prague93

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–471%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Hradec Kralove and USK Prague.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Hradec Kralove	21	22	19	23
USK Prague	18	27	27	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 3-5 NBL teams meet with little between them: Hradec Kralove's three-point shooting and last season's home sweep against USK Prague's better season-long point differential.

The expected score after 40 minutes is 86.0-85.3 points to Hradec, making the home side a marginal pick, with Hradec +2.5 a supporting handicap lean. The only quoted price that offers anything is Hradec to score more than 83.5 points at 1.76; USK at 1.72 to win and under 168.5 combined points at 1.72 do not.

Context

Both teams are 3-5 in the NBL with no confirmed availability change; Hradec's four home games have been high-scoring and USK's better point differential is the main contrast.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Hradec Kralove over 83.5

1.76fair 1.63

Market 56.8% · BetBugs 61.2%

+4.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Hradec and USK have identical 3-5 records, while USK owns the better season-long point differential. Hradec's home head-to-head record and stronger three-point shooting lift them just above USK at home, but USK's defense and Hradec's leaky home defense keep the teams close.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove cover +2.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · HandicaplostHradec Kralove +2.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. USK Prague cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hradec Kralove and 15 for USK Prague, across seasons and competitions.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonUSK Prague +1.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. USK Prague cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hradec Kralove and 15 for USK Prague, across seasons and competitions.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonUSK Prague +1.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove win in about 52 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHradec KraloveEstimated chance52.2%

Points8 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hradec Kralove and 15 for USK Prague, across seasons and competitions.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonHradec Kralove under 23.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. USK Prague score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hradec Kralove and 15 for USK Prague, across seasons and competitions.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonUSK Prague over 19.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.76
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonHradec Kralove over 83.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonHradec Kralove over 41.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. The game has more than 168.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 168.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonHradec Kralove over 20.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. Hradec Kralove score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonHradec Kralove over 20.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hradec Kralove 86.0, USK Prague 85.3. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hradec Kralove and 15 for USK Prague, across seasons and competitions.
- Hradec Kralove are 3-5 in the 2026-27 NBL, scoring 86.6 and allowing 93.9 points per game over eight games through 25 Oct 2026.
- USK Prague are also 3-5, with a better differential: 82.4 scored and 83.8 allowed over eight NBL games through 24 Oct 2026.
- In four 2026-27 home games Hradec scored 86.8 but allowed 98.3, including a 99-93 overtime win over Decin on 10 Oct 2026.
- USK's three 2026-27 away games produced only 73.7 points per game while allowing 82.0, through 18 Oct 2026.
- Over the 15-game box sample, Hradec shot 39.1% from three on 493 attempts; USK shot 31.0% on 358 attempts.
- In last season's three meetings in Hradec, the home side won all three and averaged 91.3 points to USK's 70.0, most recently 97-69 on 28 Mar 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance56.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 169+ points

+2 pp above break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W97–69

Hradec Kralovev

USK Prague

Mar 28, 2026·NBL

L81–60

USK Praguev

Hradec Kralove

Mar 14, 2026·NBL

W88–60

Hradec Kralovev

USK Prague

Feb 14, 2026·NBL

L100–93

USK Praguev

Hradec Kralove

Jan 24, 2026·NBL

L93–58

USK Praguev

Hradec Kralove

Dec 6, 2025·NBL

W89–81

Hradec Kralovev

USK Prague

Oct 8, 2025·NBL

L92–91

USK Praguev

Hradec Kralove

Apr 1, 2023·NBL

L81–90

Hradec Kralovev

USK Prague

Mar 15, 2023·NBL

L80–70

USK Praguev

Hradec Kralove

Feb 18, 2023·NBL

L88–106

Hradec Kralovev

USK Prague

Feb 8, 2023·NBL

166.7Avg total points

16.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Hradec Kralove

3–538%

USK Prague

3–538%

Recent Form

Hradec Kralove

8W 7L · last 15

at Plzen84–77 Oct 25NBL

vs Usti n. Labem95–111 Oct 17NBL

vs Decin99–93 OTOct 10NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK75–101 Oct 3NBL

at NH Ostrava82–89 Sep 30NBL

vs Pardubice78–88 Sep 26NBL

at Srsni Pisek87–111 Sep 23NBL

at Olomoucko93–81 Sep 20NBL

vs Zlin94–62 Apr 29NBL

at Zlin81–56 Apr 27NBL

vs Olomoucko86–84 Apr 11NBL

at Slavia Prague97–89 Apr 4NBL

vs USK Prague97–69 Mar 28NBL

at Olomoucko77–86 Mar 25NBL

vs Slavia Prague66–74 Mar 21NBL

USK Prague

5W 10L · last 15

vs Olomoucko85–61 Oct 24NBL

at Brno80–91 Oct 18NBL

vs Opava88–97 Oct 10NBL

vs Srsni Pisek105–89 Oct 3NBL

at Plzen84–81 Sep 30NBL

vs Usti n. Labem80–89 Sep 26NBL

at Decin57–74 Sep 23NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK80–88 Sep 19NBL

vs Srsni Pisek92–100 Apr 23NBL

at Srsni Pisek65–78 Apr 21NBL

vs Slavia Prague76–81 Apr 11NBL

at Olomoucko65–95 Apr 4NBL

at Hradec Kralove69–97 Mar 28NBL

at Slavia Prague85–83 Mar 25NBL

vs Olomoucko90–87 Mar 21NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Hradec Kralove

Stats

3–1

USK Prague

Hradec Kralove leads in 3 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+6.0pp

58.5%

+6.0pp

52.5%

3-point %+8.1pp

39.1%

+8.1pp

31.0%

Free-throw %+1.2pp

68.1%

+1.2pp

66.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s17.4pp apart

45.2%

17.4pp apart

27.8%

Free throws per shot17.5pp apart

22.3%

17.5pp apart

39.8%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game—

31.1

—

31.1

Turnovers per game0.6 fewer

14.7

0.6 fewer

14.1

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.