EuroLeagueFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Hapoel Tel Aviv118Anadolu Efes88

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–190%

Points by period: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Anadolu Efes.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Hapoel Tel Aviv	27	36	27	28
Anadolu Efes	21	20	18	29

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Hapoel Tel Aviv's 5-2 EuroLeague start meets an Efes side at 3-4 and averaging 76.3 points in four EuroLeague road games.

The likely outcome is a Hapoel win, roughly 71 in 100 with overtime included, built on an 88.7-81.7 score after 40 minutes. Prices are quoted across the markets here, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Efes have Mike James and PJ Dozier reported unavailable pending confirmation, thinning the backcourt, while Hapoel's 25 October domestic box score did not include five regulars, an observation rather than a confirmed absence.

The reported absence would remove Mike James from Efes's options for this EuroLeague road game. Official confirmation is pending.
- Mike James was listed as out while recovering from Achilles surgery on 27 October.
The reported injury would reduce Efes's guard options against Hapoel Tel Aviv. Official confirmation is pending.
- PJ Dozier was listed as out with a lower-back injury on 27 October.
The fixture starts a two-game EuroLeague sequence for Efes. It is relevant schedule context, but no rotation decision or physical effect has been announced.
- Efes announced Hapoel Tel Aviv as the first game of its double week.
- Panathinaikos are scheduled to visit Efes after the Hapoel game.
Laso's pre-game comments frame Efes's approach around containing Hapoel's multiple scoring options and managing the tempo. They do not establish a lineup or tactical change.
- Laso named Vasilije Micić, Elijah Bryant, Daniel Oturu, Zach LeDay and Tomas Satoransky among Hapoel's leading threats.
- He described Antonio Blakeney as a significant scoring threat off the bench.
- Laso said Efes must control the tempo and stay focused throughout the game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result8 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv win in about 71 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonHapoel Tel Aviv +0.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv cover -0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonHapoel Tel Aviv -0.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonHapoel Tel AvivEstimated chance55.5%

Points1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. Hapoel Tel Aviv score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonHapoel Tel Aviv over 21.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Hapoel Tel Aviv 88.7, Anadolu Efes 81.7. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Hapoel are 5-2 in the EuroLeague and averaged 90.0 points for and 85.9 against in those seven games through 25 October.
- Efes are 3-4 in the EuroLeague, averaging 83.0 points for and 84.3 against through 22 October, but only 76.3 points per game in four EuroLeague road games.
- In box-scored games this season, Hapoel shot 37.1% from three over 14 games, while Efes shot 32.8% over 12 games through 25 October.
- Efes averaged 14.2 turnovers in 12 box-scored games this season; Hapoel averaged 10.9 in 14.
- Hapoel won both recent EuroLeague meetings: 71-66 at home on 20 January 2026 and 87-81 in Istanbul on 3 October 2025.
- Hapoel's 25 October domestic loss was 60-70, but Micic, LeDay, Satoransky, Blakeney and Caboclo were absent from that box score; Efes's 22 October EuroLeague win over Besiktas was 89-80.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance55%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

172.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

47%

Chance of 173+ points

5 pp below break-even

Over 1.93 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 47%.

Move the line main 172.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W71–66

Hapoel Tel Avivv

Anadolu Efes

Jan 20, 2026·EUR

W81–87

Anadolu Efesv

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Oct 3, 2025·EUR

152.5Avg total points

5.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

EuroLeague · Euroleague - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Hapoel Tel Aviv

5–271%

Anadolu Efes

3–443%

Recent Form

Hapoel Tel Aviv

10W 5L · last 15

vs Hapoel Jerusalem60–70 Oct 25SUP

vs Virtus Bologna90–81 Oct 21EUR

vs Maccabi Ashdod81–67 Oct 18SUP

at Panathinaikos91–81 Oct 16EUR

vs Besiktas100–82 Oct 14EUR

at Hapoel Beer Sheva95–82 Oct 11SUP

at Valencia82–93 Oct 8EUR

vs Nes Ziona79–76 Oct 3LEA

vs Real Madrid102–98 Oct 1EUR

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81–80 Sep 29EUR

vs Hapoel Beer Sheva85–67 Sep 26LEA

vs Bayern84–86 Sep 24EUR

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv79–83 Jun 23SUP

at Maccabi Tel Aviv80–74 Jun 21SUP

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv98–102 Jun 18SUP

Anadolu Efes

10W 5L · last 15

vs Korfez Basket93–77 Oct 25BAS

vs Besiktas89–80 Oct 22EUR

at Esenler Erokspor70–73 Oct 19BAS

at Zalgiris Kaunas85–70 Oct 16EUR

vs Bayern93–101 Oct 14EUR

vs Denizli Basket85–76 Oct 11BAS

at Olympiacos66–89 Oct 9EUR

at Bordo Bandirma85–79 Oct 4BAS

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72–77 Oct 1EUR

vs Real Madrid94–84 Sep 29EUR

vs Besiktas95–81 Sep 27BAS

at Barcelona82–89 Sep 24EUR

at Lokomotiv Kuban88–82 Sep 20VTB

vs Unics Kazan91–79 Sep 19VTB

at Zenit Petersburg100–76 Sep 18VTB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Hapoel Tel Aviv

14 games

Stats

3–2

Anadolu Efes

12 games

Hapoel Tel Aviv leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.3pp

53.6%

+2.3pp

55.9%

3-point %+4.3pp

37.1%

+4.3pp

32.8%

Free-throw %9/7 games+8.1pp

76.3%

+8.1pp

84.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s8.1pp apart

36.5%

8.1pp apart

28.4%

Free throws per shot9/7 games0.9pp apart

31.5%

0.9pp apart

30.6%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game7/12 games+0.4

33.1

+0.4

32.7

Turnovers per game3.3 fewer

10.9

3.3 fewer

14.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.