EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Chemnitz96JL Bourg77

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions19–386%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Chemnitz and JL Bourg.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Chemnitz	25	21	29	21
JL Bourg	19	13	17	28

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Chemnitz host JL Bourg holding a 3-1 EuroCup Group C record against Bourg's 1-3, and the expected score after 40 minutes, 87.9 to 82.7, makes Chemnitz the likelier winner.

Bourg's extra rest and lower turnover count keep it from being a comfortable pick. Of the prices checked, only the third quarter going over 39.5 combined points at 1.88 offers anything.

Context

Chemnitz played in the BBL on 26 October and have about two days between games, while Bourg last played on 24 October and have roughly four days, a real difference in preparation for this fixture.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

3rd Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 39.5

1.88fair 1.55

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 64.4%

+11.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Chemnitz has the stronger EuroCup record and home scoring, while Bourg has allowed more points in the competition. Bourg's extra rest and better ball control should keep the margin modest, so I put Chemnitz in the high 80s and Bourg in the low 80s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chemnitz and 15 for JL Bourg, across seasons and competitions.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonChemnitz +4.5Estimated chance79.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chemnitz and 15 for JL Bourg, across seasons and competitions.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonChemnitz +4.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · HandicapwonChemnitz +1.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz win in about 66 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChemnitzEstimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonChemnitzEstimated chance63.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonChemnitz +0.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonChemnitzEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz cover +0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonChemnitz +0.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonChemnitzEstimated chance56.2%

Points10 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointswonChemnitz over 82.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonChemnitz over 19.5Estimated chance66.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonChemnitz over 41.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonChemnitz over 20.5Estimated chance61.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. The game has more than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 167.5Estimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. JL Bourg score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostJL Bourg over 19.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. The 1st half has more than 83.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 83.5Estimated chance57.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. JL Bourg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonJL Bourg under 21.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. JL Bourg score fewer than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonJL Bourg under 42.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. JL Bourg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonJL Bourg under 21.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. Chemnitz score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostChemnitz over 21.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chemnitz 87.9, JL Bourg 82.7. JL Bourg score fewer than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Chemnitz is 3-1 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 86.3 points and allowing 78.3, with home wins of 95-67 over Slask Wroclaw (Oct. 21) and 93-84 over Neptunas (Oct. 7).
- JL Bourg is 1-3 in EuroCup through Oct. 21, averaging 84.3 points and allowing 86.3, including away losses at Neptunas (89-93, Oct. 13) and Napoli (76-84, Sept. 30).
- Across the 15-game recent samples, Chemnitz shoots 56.7% on two-pointers but turns the ball over 16.1 times per game; Bourg shoots 52.7% on two-pointers, 33.8% on threes and turns it over 12.9 times per game.
- Chemnitz lost 88-98 at Wurzburg in the BBL on Oct. 26 and has about two days rest; Bourg beat Gravelines 89-81 at home on Oct. 24 and has about four days rest.
- The latest head-to-head was Chemnitz 88-82 over Bourg on Jan. 20, 2026, after Bourg won 85-82 at home on Nov. 4, 2025.
BetBugs · Team PointswonJL Bourg under 84.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 168+ points

+5 pp above break-even

Over 1.84 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W88–82

Chemnitzv

JL Bourg

Jan 20, 2026·EUR

L85–82

JL Bourgv

Chemnitz

Nov 4, 2025·EUR

168.5Avg total points

4.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Chemnitz

3–175%

JL Bourg

1–325%

Recent Form

Chemnitz

8W 7L · last 15

at Wurzburg88–98 Oct 26BBL

vs Slask Wroclaw95–67 Oct 21EUR

at Basketball Braunschweig102–75 Oct 18GER

at Trento88–80 Oct 13EUR

vs Bayern83–87 Oct 10BBL

vs Neptunas93–84 Oct 7EUR

at Jena76–82 Oct 4BBL

at Tofas69–82 Sep 29EUR

vs Phoenix Hagen94–93 OTSep 27BBL

at Hamburg90–94 OTSep 25BBL

at Alba Berlin82–89 Sep 18BBL

at Giessen77–70 Sep 12GER

at Basketball Braunschweig90–104 May 10BBL

vs Frankfurt86–82 OTMay 7BBL

at Alba Berlin84–82 May 3BBL

JL Bourg

5W 10L · last 15

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque89–81 Oct 24LNB

vs Trento90–79 Oct 21EUR

at Le Mans90–91 Oct 18LNB

at Neptunas89–93 Oct 13EUR

at Boulazac73–84 Oct 10LNB

vs Tofas82–89 Oct 6EUR

vs Chalon/Saone90–77 Oct 3LNB

at Basket Napoli76–84 Sep 30EUR

at Saint Quentin103–106 OTSep 26LNB

vs Monaco103–114 May 27LNB

at Monaco75–81 May 25LNB

vs Strasbourg91–71 May 20LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque95–78 May 16LNB

at Dijon83–101 May 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne77–91 May 5LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Chemnitz

Stats

3–2

JL Bourg

Chemnitz leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+4.0pp

56.7%

+4.0pp

52.7%

3-point %+2.0pp

31.8%

+2.0pp

33.8%

Free-throw %12/11 games+3.5pp

75.7%

+3.5pp

72.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.3pp apart

32.3%

2.3pp apart

30.0%

Free throws per shot12/11 games11.9pp apart

30.3%

11.9pp apart

42.2%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.5

33.0

+0.5

32.5

Turnovers per game3.2 fewer

16.1

3.2 fewer

12.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.