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Predictions graded

Brno82Srsni Pisek95

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Brno and Srsni Pisek.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Brno	28	17	20	17
Srsni Pisek	31	21	18	25

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Brno's three-game NBL run meets a Pisek side averaging 88.4 points a game, and the two come out within a point of each other over 40 minutes.

Brno, narrowly, at home. The one price that pays for the risk is Brno to be ahead at half-time at 2.23; Pisek's 1.61 to win and 1.63 to be ahead after 40 minutes ask for more than they offer.

Context

Pisek's 81-89 home loss to Slavia Prague on 23 October is a recent form marker rather than a matchup changer, and no player availability is established for either side.

The Slavia result is a recent NBL form marker before Písek visit Brno on 28 October. It provides limited immediate context for the away side's lead-in.
- Písek lost 81-89 to Slavia Prague on 19 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Srsni Pisek, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostBrno +3.5Estimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Srsni Pisek cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Srsni Pisek, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonSrsni Pisek +2.5Estimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno cover +2.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · HandicaplostBrno +2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno win in about 50 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBrnoEstimated chance50.3%

Points4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Srsni Pisek score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Srsni Pisek, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSrsni Pisek over 19.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Srsni Pisek, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBrno under 22.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBrno over 41.5Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostBrno over 20.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. Brno score more than 84.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · Team PointslostBrno over 84.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. The game has more than 170.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 170.5Estimated chance55.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 86.0, Srsni Pisek 85.9. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Srsni Pisek, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno won its last three NBL games (Oct 11-24), conceding 72, 80 and 69 points after allowing 89.4 per game across its first five.
- Pisek scores 88.4 per game in seven NBL games this season (619 points), including 86.3 per game in four road games.
- Across this season's box scores Brno shoots 50.3% on two-pointers and 28.3% on threes with 17.3 turnovers per game, while Pisek shoots 55.3% inside the arc with 15.4 turnovers.
- The five NBL meetings in Brno averaged 88.0 points for Brno and 92.2 for Pisek; the most recent, 14 Mar 2026, was 90-85 to Brno.
- The table shows Pisek 6th at 4-3 (619 scored, 609 conceded) and Brno 8th at 3-5 (646 scored, 668 conceded).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

55%

Chance of 171+ points

Near break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 55%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 55%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 45%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W90–85

Brnov

Srsni Pisek

Mar 14, 2026·NBL

L101–84

Srsni Pisekv Brno

Brno

Jan 25, 2026·NBL

W98–105

Srsni Pisekv Brno

Brno

Jan 4, 2026·NBL

W110–100

Brnov

Srsni Pisek

Nov 1, 2025·NBL

L90–99

Brnov

Srsni Pisek

Mar 19, 2025·NBL

L90–75

Srsni Pisekv Brno

Brno

Feb 14, 2025·NBL

L79–93

Brnov

Srsni Pisek

Nov 9, 2024·NBL

L95–74

Srsni Pisekv Brno

Brno

Sep 22, 2024·NBL

W70–87

Srsni Pisekv Brno

Brno

Dec 3, 2023·NBL

L71–84

Brnov

Srsni Pisek

Nov 25, 2023·NBL

178Avg total points

12.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Brno

3–538%

Srsni Pisek

4–357%

Recent Form

Brno

5W 10L · last 15

at Opava75–72 Oct 24NBL

vs USK Prague91–80 Oct 18NBL

at Plzen83–69 Oct 11NBL

at Usti n. Labem68–83 Oct 4NBL

at Decin78–86 Sep 30NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK96–108 Sep 26NBL

at NH Ostrava76–85 Sep 23NBL

at Pardubice79–85 Sep 19NBL

vs Opava101–102 OTJun 6NBL

at Opava65–96 Jun 4NBL

vs Opava99–97 Jun 1NBL

vs Pardubice87–98 May 27NBL

at Pardubice75–90 May 25NBL

vs Karvina110–53 May 241.

vs Pardubice90–94 May 22NBL

Srsni Pisek

6W 9L · last 15

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK81–89 Oct 23NBL

at Opava88–77 Oct 17NBL

at USK Prague89–105 Oct 3NBL

vs Pardubice82–92 Sep 30NBL

at Plzen88–81 Sep 27NBL

vs Hradec Kralove111–87 Sep 23NBL

at Usti n. Labem80–78 Sep 20NBL

vs Pardubice71–79 May 5NBL

vs Pardubice63–78 May 4NBL

at Pardubice74–78 May 1NBL

at Pardubice81–99 Apr 30NBL

at USK Prague100–92 Apr 23NBL

vs USK Prague78–65 Apr 21NBL

at Pardubice95–100 Apr 18NBL

vs Nymburk78–106 Apr 11NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Brno

14 games

Stats

2–3

Srsni Pisek

Srsni Pisek leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+5.0pp

50.3%

+5.0pp

55.3%

3-point %+1.2pp

28.3%

+1.2pp

29.5%

Free-throw %+3.9pp

69.2%

+3.9pp

65.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.3pp apart

26.5%

5.3pp apart

31.8%

Free throws per shot4.5pp apart

42.1%

4.5pp apart

37.6%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.8

39.5

+3.8

35.7

Turnovers per game1.9 fewer

17.3

1.9 fewer

15.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.