EuroCupFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Aris78Cedevita Olimpija73

Wed 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–464%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Aris and Cedevita Olimpija.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Aris	21	17	19	21
Cedevita Olimpija	19	20	18	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Aris arrive 4-0 in the EuroCup and Cedevita Olimpija 0-4, and the expected score after 40 minutes is Aris 89.7, Cedevita 74.6, so an Aris win is the likely outcome.

The counterweight is Cedevita's sweep of all four meetings last season, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki. The one quoted price with a case is under 43.5 combined first-quarter points at 1.83.

Context

Cedevita Olimpija's arrival and training in Thessaloniki on 27 October is confirmed, but no roster change is established. Current EuroCup form is the main sporting condition: Aris 4-0, Cedevita 0-4.

Cedevita Olimpija completed its trip and final on-court preparation on the eve of this EuroCup game. Aris enters as the unbeaten home opponent, giving the fixture an immediate competitive context. This travel update carries no player-specific change.
- Cedevita Olimpija announced its arrival in Thessaloniki on 27 October.
- The squad trained at Nick Galis Hall later that day.
- Cedevita Olimpija’s match build-up described Aris as unbeaten.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 43.5

1.83fair 1.58

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 63.3%

+8.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Aris has been clearly better in this EuroCup season and at home, while Cedevita has lost all four EuroCup games and has struggled to score. I expect Aris to win with a solid but not extreme margin, with Cedevita's road scoring giving it some points.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris win in about 88 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonArisEstimated chance88.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 87 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonArisEstimated chance87.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostArisEstimated chance79.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Aris and 15 for Cedevita Olimpija, across seasons and competitions.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostAris +0.5Estimated chance76.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Aris and 15 for Cedevita Olimpija, across seasons and competitions.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonAris +1.5Estimated chance74.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostArisEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonArisEstimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Aris are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonArisEstimated chance64.7%

Points2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. Cedevita Olimpija score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCedevita Olimpija under 19.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Aris 89.7, Cedevita Olimpija 74.6. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Aris is 4-0 in the EuroCup and has scored 94.5 points per game while allowing 75.3 over that four-game sample through 24 October.
- At home in the EuroCup, Aris beat Tortona 88-68 on 14 October and Burgos 93-80 on 7 October, averaging 90.5 points in those two games.
- Cedevita Olimpija is 0-4 in the EuroCup, averaging 72.5 points and allowing 83.3; its road losses were 79-89 at Rigas Zelli on 14 October and 81-85 at Burgos on 30 September.
- In current-season games across competitions, Aris has averaged 87.0 points and 70.3 allowed in eight games, while Cedevita has averaged 76.6 and 80.7 in nine games, both through 24 October.
- Aris has averaged 34.7 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers over 15 box-score games, against Cedevita's 31.1 rebounds and 12.2 turnovers over 15.
- Cedevita swept last season's four meetings, including 89-60 in Thessaloniki on 30 December 2025, but those games are prior-roster evidence.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance57%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 18:29

Selected line

165.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 166+ points

6 pp below break-even

Over 1.84 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 165.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L60–89

Arisv

Cedevita Olimpija

Dec 30, 2025·EUR

L80–59

Cedevita Olimpijav Aris

Aris

Oct 14, 2025·EUR

L98–79

Cedevita Olimpijav Aris

Aris

Jan 8, 2025·EUR

L75–82

Arisv

Cedevita Olimpija

Oct 23, 2024·EUR

155.5Avg total points

19Avg margin

4meetings

League table

EuroCup · Eurocup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Aris

4–0100%

Cedevita Olimpija

0–40%

Recent Form

Aris

9W 6L · last 15

at Mykonos88–72 Oct 24BAS

at Rostock110–79 Oct 20EUR

vs Maroussi74–57 Oct 17BAS

vs Tortona88–68 Oct 14EUR

vs AEK Athens88–58 Oct 10BAS

vs San Pablo Burgos93–80 Oct 7EUR

at AS Karditsas68–74 Oct 3BAS

at Le Mans87–74 Sep 29EUR

at AEK Athens99–102 May 25BAS

vs AEK Athens90–81 May 17BAS

at AEK Athens81–87 May 14BAS

vs Panionios75–65 Apr 25BAS

at Peristeri75–78 Apr 22BAS

at Olympiacos81–92 Apr 19BAS

at PAOK77–88 Apr 15BAS

Cedevita Olimpija

8W 7L · last 15

vs Buducnost81–95 Oct 24ABA

vs Le Mans66–84 Oct 21EUR

at Igokea93–81 Oct 17ABA

at Rigas Zelli79–89 Oct 14EUR

at Siroki Brijeg69–70 Oct 10ABA

vs Hapoel Jerusalem64–75 Oct 6EUR

vs Cibona89–76 Oct 3ABA

at San Pablo Burgos81–85 Sep 30EUR

vs KK Krka Novo mesto67–71 Sep 17SUP

at KK Krka Novo mesto87–71 Jun 1LIG

vs KK Krka Novo mesto91–74 May 30LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto90–89 OTMay 27LIG

vs Sencur94–65 May 23LIG

at Sencur86–79 May 20LIG

vs Zlatorog Lasko106–74 May 17LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Aris

Stats

2–2

Cedevita Olimpija

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–1

2-point %+3.8pp

50.4%

+3.8pp

54.2%

3-point %+3.1pp

35.8%

+3.1pp

32.7%

Free-throw %12/11 games—

76.3%

—

76.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.1pp apart

36.5%

7.1pp apart

29.4%

Free throws per shot12/11 games8.0pp apart

30.5%

8.0pp apart

38.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.6

34.7

+3.6

31.1

Turnovers per game1.6 fewer

13.8

1.6 fewer

12.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.