LBPFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Piratas de Bogota83Caribbean Storm Islands80

Tue 27 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions10–1343%

Points by period: Piratas de Bogota and Caribbean Storm Islands.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Piratas de Bogota	29	19	14	21
Caribbean Storm Islands	18	22	26	14

Quick Take

Pre-match view

A play-in mismatch: Piratas de Bogota sit 8-6 in the Apertura and 7-5 in the Clausura, Caribbean Storm Islands 1-13 and 2-10, and the expected score after 40 minutes is around 88.8-66.4.

Piratas should win comfortably; the counterweight is their modest 77.8-point scoring average. With 119 prices available, none stands out at our numbers.

Context

The play-in format gives the game knockout weight, and the numbers are lopsided in Piratas' favour, though their 77.8-point average across their last 12 LBP games leaves room for a closer scoreline than the table gap suggests.

Piratas and Caribbean Storm Islands are contesting the play-in phase rather than a regular-season game. The winner progresses in the competition, while Toros del Valle and Motilones del Norte had already reached the semifinals directly. That makes this fixture part of the knockout route, although no player availability update was announced.
- Toros del Valle and Motilones del Norte secured direct places in the semifinals.
- Piratas de Bogotá and Caribbean Storm Islands were placed in the play-in field.
Piratas entered the play-in immediately after a two-game set against Caimanes del Llano. They won the first contest by two points in a late finish, then lost the next game by 27. The results give recent competitive context but do not establish a lineup change for Caribbean Storm Islands.
- Piratas won 91-89 after Caimanes missed two free throws with 1.3 seconds remaining.
- Caimanes beat Piratas 90-63 in the subsequent meeting.
Caribbean Storm Islands came into the play-in after consecutive heavy losses to Toros del Valle. The 107-71 result was followed by a 106-53 defeat before the knockout phase. Those scores describe the recent team results only and do not confirm any personnel change for this fixture.
- Toros del Valle won the first reported meeting 107-71.
- Toros del Valle then defeated Caribbean Storm Islands 106-53.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota win in about 96 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance96.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 96 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance95.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 89 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance89.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance81.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota cover -13.5 (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · HandicaplostPiratas de Bogota -13.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostPiratas de BogotaEstimated chance72.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota cover -3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostPiratas de Bogota -3.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota cover -8.5 in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostPiratas de Bogota -8.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota cover -2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostPiratas de Bogota -2.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota cover -3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonPiratas de Bogota -3.5Estimated chance60.3%

Points5 of 12 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPiratas de Bogota over 18.5Estimated chance81.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPiratas de Bogota over 83.5Estimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 19.5Estimated chance69.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 70.5 points (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 70.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPiratas de Bogota over 42.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPiratas de Bogota over 20.5Estimated chance62.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 17.5Estimated chance61.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 34.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 34.5Estimated chance60.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 40.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Piratas de Bogota score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Piratas de Bogota and 15 for Caribbean Storm Islands, across seasons and competitions.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPiratas de Bogota under 22.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Piratas de Bogota 88.8, Caribbean Storm Islands 66.4. Caribbean Storm Islands score fewer than 17.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Piratas are 8-6 in LBP Apertura and 7-5 in Clausura (table observed 27 Oct 2026), while Caribbean are 1-13 and 2-10.
- Piratas' last 12 LBP games (1-23 Oct 2026) averaged 77.8 points for and 76.4 against; Caribbean's last 12 (29 Sep-21 Oct 2026) averaged 66.9 for and 90.8 against.
- Caribbean lost their final two regular-season games to Toros del Valle 71-107 on 19 Oct and 53-106 on 21 Oct 2026.
- In 15 box scores this season, Caribbean shoot 26.3% from three and commit 20.8 turnovers per game, against Piratas' 13.2 turnovers per game.
- Piratas won the two most recent LBP meetings 91-47 and 106-71 on 1 May 2026, both at Piratas, though that is a small and older sample.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostCaribbean Storm Islands under 17.5Estimated chance56.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 27, 20:05

Selected line

154.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

52%

Chance of 155+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 52%.

Move the line main 154.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W91–47

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

May 1, 2026·LBP

W106–71

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

May 1, 2026·LBP

W98–87

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

May 25, 2025·LBP

W84–68

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

May 24, 2025·LBP

L72–68

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Piratas de Bogota

May 20, 2025·LBP

L74–56

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Piratas de Bogota

May 20, 2025·LBP

L87–81

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Piratas de Bogota

Nov 15, 2024·LBP

W75–80

Caribbean Storm Islandsv

Piratas de Bogota

Nov 14, 2024·LBP

W95–68

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

Oct 23, 2024·LBP

L78–90

Piratas de Bogotav

Caribbean Storm Islands

Oct 22, 2024·LBP

157.6Avg total points

17.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LBP

#TeamW–LWin %

Piratas de Bogota

LBP - Apertura

8–657%

Caribbean Storm Islands

LBP - Apertura

1–137%

Recent Form

Piratas de Bogota

7W 8L · last 15

at Caimanes del Llano63–90 Oct 23LBP

at Caimanes del Llano91–89 Oct 21LBP

vs Capitanes Bogota78–71 Oct 18LBP

vs Capitanes Bogota76–57 Oct 18LBP

vs Motilones del Norte66–69 Oct 15LBP

vs Motilones del Norte94–73 Oct 14LBP

at Capitanes Bogota73–59 Oct 9LBP

at Capitanes Bogota90–75 Oct 9LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano63–67 Oct 6LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano70–92 Oct 4LBP

at Motilones del Norte87–95 Oct 1LBP

at Motilones del Norte83–80 Oct 1LBP

vs Toros del Valle86–91 May 27LBP

at Toros del Valle81–90 May 24LBP

at Toros del Valle72–102 May 23LBP

Caribbean Storm Islands

3W 12L · last 15

at Toros del Valle53–106 Oct 21LBP

at Toros del Valle71–107 Oct 19LBP

vs Sabios Baloncesto62–83 Oct 16LBP

vs Sabios Baloncesto84–82 Oct 16LBP

at Sabios Baloncesto76–75 Oct 11LBP

at Sabios Baloncesto74–82 Oct 10LBP

vs Paisas72–107 Oct 7LBP

vs Paisas79–90 Oct 7LBP

vs Toros del Valle68–88 Oct 3LBP

vs Toros del Valle50–107 Oct 2LBP

at Paisas57–77 Sep 30LBP

at Paisas57–85 Sep 29LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano92–79 May 11LBP

vs Caimanes del Llano83–90 May 10LBP

at Motilones del Norte96–103 May 8LBP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Piratas de Bogota

Stats

4–1

Caribbean Storm Islands

Piratas de Bogota leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+3.5pp

48.2%

+3.5pp

44.7%

3-point %+3.0pp

29.3%

+3.0pp

26.3%

Free-throw %+5.9pp

69.7%

+5.9pp

63.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.6pp apart

30.5%

1.6pp apart

32.1%

Free throws per shot5.0pp apart

29.9%

5.0pp apart

24.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.8

37.7

+0.8

38.5

Turnovers per game7.6 fewer

13.2

7.6 fewer

20.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.