Espoirs U21·Finished·Featured
Cholet U218282 – 89
Paris U2189| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cholet U21 | 23 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
| Paris U21 | 15 | 24 | 30 | 20 |
Pre-match view
Cholet U21 are 5-0 and have scored 95.3 points per home game, while Paris U21 are 3-2 and have conceded 83.3 per road game, so a Cholet win by double digits is the likely outcome.
A 91.5-74.7 expected score supports that. The one quoted price offering an edge is over 162.5 combined points at 1.79.
Cholet's unbeaten start and heavy home scoring meet a Paris side conceding in the low 80s on the road, with both teams on roughly three days of rest since Oct 24 and no confirmed availability news.
Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 55.9% · BetBugs 59.7%
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Cholet's 5-0 start, high home scoring and strong defense point to a comfortable win, while Paris's road defense has conceded enough for Cholet to reach about 90. Paris should land in the mid-70s unless Cholet's defensive level drops.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 win in about 91 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
Cholet U21Estimated chance90.8%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 90 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21Estimated chance89.8%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 82 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21Estimated chance82%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Cholet U21 +2.5Estimated chance79.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21Estimated chance74.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 cover -9.5 (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21 -9.5Estimated chance72%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 cover -1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Cholet U21 -1.5Estimated chance69.8%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21Estimated chance68.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21Estimated chance66.5%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 cover -5.5 in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21 -5.5Estimated chance65.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 cover -2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21 -2.5Estimated chance58.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Cholet U21 over 19.5Estimated chance78.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Cholet U21 over 18.5Estimated chance77.3%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Cholet U21 over 41.5Estimated chance74.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21 over 86.5Estimated chance69.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Cholet U21 score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
Cholet U21 over 21.5Estimated chance60.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.79
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Paris U21 score fewer than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Paris U21 under 38.5Estimated chance58.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Paris U21 score fewer than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
Paris U21 under 76.5Estimated chance56.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Paris U21 score fewer than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
Paris U21 under 19.5Estimated chance55.8%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Paris U21 score fewer than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Paris U21 under 19.5Estimated chance55.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Cholet U21 91.5, Paris U21 74.7. Paris U21 score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Cholet U21 and 15 for Paris U21, across seasons and competitions.
Paris U21 over 17.5Estimated chance55.6%The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Selected line
162.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
60%
Chance of 163+ points
+4 pp above break-even
Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
Cholet U21vParis U21Paris U21vCholet U21Paris U21vCholet U21Cholet U21vParis U21Paris U21vCholet U21Cholet U21vParis U21Cholet U21vParis U21Paris U21vCholet U21Paris U21vCholet U21Cholet U21vParis U21Cholet U21
Paris U21
at Nanterre U2184–74 ESP
vs Chalon/Saone U2183–58 ESP
vs Pau-Orthez U21106–72 ESP
at Nancy U2177–61 ESP
vs Lyon-Villeurbanne U2197–68 ESP
vs Strasbourg U2166–81 ESPvs Nanterre U2189–79 OTESPat Nanterre U2168–79 ESPvs Nancy U2181–65 ESP
at Monaco U2165–83 ESP
at Boulazac U2195–73 ESP
at Le Portel U21108–67 ESPvs Paris U21102–75 ESP
vs Dijon U2194–79 ESPvs Lyon-Villeurbanne U2188–74 ESP
at Roanne U2178–85 ESPvs Boulazac U2186–75 ESPvs Strasbourg U2180–78 ESP
at Le Mans U2179–93 ESPat Nancy U2188–72 ESPvs Lyon-Villeurbanne U2191–80 ESPat Monaco U2180–90 ESPvs Chalon/Saone U2194–77 ESPat Nanterre U2169–73 ESPat Cholet U2175–102 ESP
vs Gravelines-Dunkerque U2181–43 ESPat Strasbourg U2180–92 ESPvs Nanterre U2180–71 ESPat Dijon U2177–94 ESP
vs JL Bourg U2185–90 ESPLast 15 games · all competitions
Cholet U21
Stats
2–3
Paris U21
Paris U21 leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.