Venezia8989 – 97Treviso97

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Venezia cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Venezia and 15 for Treviso, across seasons and competitions.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Handicapnot gradableVenezia +3.5Estimated chance74.3%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Venezia cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Venezia and 15 for Treviso, across seasons and competitions.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Handicapnot gradableVenezia +1.5Estimated chance67.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Venezia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 66 of 100 games like this.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · Result after 40 minnot gradableVeneziaEstimated chance65.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Venezia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 1st Half Resultnot gradableVeneziaEstimated chance61.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Venezia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Resultnot gradableVeneziaEstimated chance57.2%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Treviso cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 1st Quarter Handicapnot gradableTreviso +2.5Estimated chance56.2%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Expected score after 40 minutes: Venezia 92.0, Treviso 86.2. Treviso score more than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.

• Venezia are 3-1 in Lega A this season, averaging 90.5 points scored and 86.5 conceded in four games, most recently a 104-98 win at BC Roma on 17 October.
• Treviso are also 3-1 in Lega A, scoring 95.3 and conceding 94.0 per game in four games, but their away scores were 77 at Olimpia Milano (11 October) and 93 at Trento (3 October).
• Treviso shoot 55.5% on two-pointers and 32.2% on threes with a high free-throw rate (0.387) across 15 tracked games, a profile that scores well but has conceded heavily.
• Venezia shoot 37.1% from three and turn the ball over only 10.2 times per game across 14-15 tracked games, giving them extra possessions at home.
• Treviso are confirmed without guards/forwards Chico Carter (fifth metacarpal fracture) and Ed Croswell (biceps tendon) per the 22 October league preview, thinning the rotation; Venezia's Kyle Wiltjer is a watch-only uncertainty.
• Venezia have won the last two meetings with Treviso, including 91-90 in Treviso on 8 March 2026, and Treviso have won only once in eight visits to Venice.

BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team Pointsnot gradableTreviso over 20.5Estimated chance57.1%