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Predictions graded

Valdivia88Puerto Montt72

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 23:00 Predictions graded

Predictions15–575%

Edges2–0100%

Points by period: Valdivia and Puerto Montt.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Valdivia	28	14	27	19
Puerto Montt	16	21	23	12

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Valdivia have won all seven 2026 meetings with Puerto Montt but played last night, while the visitors have had five days off.

The scoring numbers point to roughly 85-71 Valdivia. Two first-half prices carry an edge: Puerto Montt with a 10.5-point start at 1.85, and Puerto Montt over 33.5 points before the break at 1.83. Valdivia at 1.01 to win offers nothing.

Context

Valdivia completed a game on 24 October, under a day before this tip, while Puerto Montt last played on 20 October. Puerto Montt's latest box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 points a game) and Bartsch, an observation rather than a confirmed absence.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half HandicapwonUncertainty band: Lean

Puerto Montt +10.5

1.85fair 1.63

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 61.2%

+7.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +10.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this. Valdivia has been clearly better at both ends and has controlled this matchup, so I expect it to score in the mid-80s even on a back-to-back. Puerto Montt should be more rested, but its recent scoring and shooting are modest, pointing to around 70 points.

1st Half Team PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Puerto Montt over 33.5

1.83fair 1.68

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 59.4%

+4.8ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt score more than 33.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this. Valdivia has been clearly better at both ends and has controlled this matchup, so I expect it to score in the mid-80s even on a back-to-back. Puerto Montt should be more rested, but its recent scoring and shooting are modest, pointing to around 70 points.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia win in about 87 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonValdiviaEstimated chance86.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 85 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonValdiviaEstimated chance85.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonValdiviaEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostValdiviaEstimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonValdiviaEstimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +5.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPuerto Montt +5.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonValdiviaEstimated chance63.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +10.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonPuerto Montt +10.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +17.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · HandicapwonPuerto Montt +17.5Estimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostPuerto Montt +4.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPuerto Montt +5.5Estimated chance55.9%

Points6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostValdivia over 18.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt score more than 14.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPuerto Montt over 14.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 34.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonValdivia over 18.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt score more than 33.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPuerto Montt over 33.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonValdivia under 44.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Valdivia score fewer than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · Team PointslostValdivia under 87.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 40.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Valdivia 85.0, Puerto Montt 71.0. Puerto Montt score fewer than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Valdivia and 15 for Puerto Montt, across seasons and competitions.
- Valdivia averaged 87.3 points and conceded 72.0 over its 15 LNB games in the sample (Aug 7-Oct 24, 2026).
- Valdivia shot 59.1% inside the arc and 74.0% from the line across 15 box scores, compared with Puerto Montt's 48.9% and 67.6%.
- Puerto Montt averaged 80.3 points and allowed 77.2 over 15 LNB games (Aug 15-Oct 20, 2026).
- Valdivia beat Puerto Montt 81-70 on Oct 20, 2026 and 80-74 at home on Aug 9; Puerto Montt averaged 68.7 points in the last seven meetings.
- Valdivia played on Oct 24, 2026 (under one day's rest), while Puerto Montt last played on Oct 20 (five days).
- Puerto Montt's Oct 20 box score omitted Puiggros (8.4 ppg) and Bartsch; Valdivia's latest omitted Hermosilla (6.8 ppg).
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPuerto Montt under 18.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 10:08

Selected line

155.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

52%

Chance of 156+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 52%.

Move the line main 155.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W70–81

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

Oct 20, 2026·LNB

W80–74

Valdiviav

Puerto Montt

Aug 9, 2026·LNB

W70–88

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

Jul 18, 2026·LNB

W75–97

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

May 10, 2026·LNB

W103–56

Valdiviav

Puerto Montt

May 7, 2026·LNB

W72–82

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

Apr 23, 2026·LNB

W70–64

Valdiviav

Puerto Montt

Apr 1, 2026·LNB

W83–68

Valdiviav

Puerto Montt

May 6, 2024·LNB

W69–91

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

Jan 14, 2024·LNB

W61–73

Puerto Monttv

Valdivia

Oct 15, 2023·COP

152.7Avg total points

16.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB

#TeamW–LWin %

Valdivia

LNB - Apertura · South

7–558%

Puerto Montt

LNB - Apertura · South

4–833%

Recent Form

Valdivia

14W 1L · last 15

vs CD Puerto Varas96–83 Oct 24LNB

at Puerto Montt81–70 Oct 20LNB

at CD Puerto Varas103–61 Oct 18LNB

vs Espanol Osorno86–58 Oct 11LNB

vs U. De Concepcion101–85 Oct 9LNB

at Puente Alto85–77 Oct 1LNB

at Leones Quilpue65–78 Oct 1LNB

vs Puente Alto86–62 Sep 27LNB

vs Leones Quilpue92–77 Sep 26LNB

vs Ancud89–76 Sep 14LNB

at Espanol Osorno83–82 Sep 12LNB

at Las Animas90–58 Aug 18LNB

vs CD Puerto Varas96–69 Aug 12LNB

vs Puerto Montt80–74 Aug 9LNB

at Espanol Osorno77–70 Aug 7LNB

Puerto Montt

10W 5L · last 15

vs Valdivia70–81 Oct 20LNB

at Espanol Osorno79–67 Oct 17LNB

vs Puente Alto86–72 Oct 15LNB

at Puente Alto79–86 Oct 11LNB

at Leones Quilpue54–75 Oct 10LNB

vs Ancud93–80 Oct 4LNB

vs U. De Concepcion87–92 Oct 2LNB

at U. De Concepcion59–87 Sep 27LNB

at Ancud94–83 Sep 24LNB

vs CD Puerto Varas82–78 Sep 16LNB

at CD Puerto Varas81–68 Sep 15LNB

at Colo Colo86–84 OTSep 6LNB

vs Colo Colo74–67 Sep 3LNB

vs Naviera Ulloa92–72 Aug 18LNB

at Ancud88–66 Aug 15LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Valdivia

Stats

3–2

Puerto Montt

Valdivia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+10.2pp

59.1%

+10.2pp

48.9%

3-point %+0.5pp

31.4%

+0.5pp

31.9%

Free-throw %+6.4pp

74.0%

+6.4pp

67.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s10.1pp apart

22.3%

10.1pp apart

32.4%

Free throws per shot10.9pp apart

34.9%

10.9pp apart

24.0%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.6

39.5

+1.6

37.9

Turnovers per game0.3 fewer

13.3

0.3 fewer

13.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.