LNBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

U. De Concepcion89Leones Quilpue64

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions21–195%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: U. De Concepcion and Leones Quilpue.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
U. De Concepcion	15	29	22	23
Leones Quilpue	14	14	16	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Unbeaten at home in the 2026-2027 LNB, U.

De Concepcion meet a Leones Quilpue side that has won seven straight and concedes only 72.5 points a game. Concepcion's home scoring, an 86-77 edge after 40 minutes and two more days between games point to a home win. The only price that beats its implied chance is under 43.5 first-quarter points at 1.72.

Context

Concepcion carry an unbeaten home record and roughly two more days of rest than Leones, who played on 2026-10-23; three Concepcion regulars and Leones' J. Key were absent from recent games but no availability is confirmed.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 43.5

1.72fair 1.53

Market 58.1% · BetBugs 65.4%

+7.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. U. De Concepcion has been dominant at home and is the more rested team, while Leones Quilpue scores less on the road despite strong overall defense. The venue split and the recent head-to-head result in Concepcion point to a home score in the mid-80s and Leones in the mid-70s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result11 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonU. De Concepcion +3.5Estimated chance81.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion win in about 77 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance77.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance75.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion cover -2.5 (overtime included) in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · HandicapwonU. De Concepcion -2.5Estimated chance72.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonU. De Concepcion -0.5Estimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonU. De Concepcion +0.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion cover -0.5 in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonU. De Concepcion -0.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonU. De ConcepcionEstimated chance58.4%

Points10 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. Leones Quilpue score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · Team PointswonLeones Quilpue under 85.5Estimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 34.5Estimated chance78.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. The 2nd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 77 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 35.5Estimated chance77.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonU. De Concepcion over 17.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. Leones Quilpue score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonLeones Quilpue under 22.5Estimated chance75.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. Leones Quilpue score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostLeones Quilpue over 16.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for U. De Concepcion and 15 for Leones Quilpue, across seasons and competitions.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonU. De Concepcion over 19.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. Leones Quilpue score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonLeones Quilpue under 21.5Estimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. U. De Concepcion score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonU. De Concepcion over 40.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.72
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: U. De Concepcion 86.1, Leones Quilpue 76.6. Leones Quilpue score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- U. De Concepcion is 5-0 at home in the 2026-2027 LNB sample, averaging 89.8 points scored and 71.4 allowed through 2026-10-22.
- Leones Quilpue is 4-2 away in the same sample, averaging 78.2 points scored and 77.8 allowed through 2026-10-23.
- Over 15 LNB games, U. De Concepcion averages 87.7 scored and 79.8 allowed, while Leones Quilpue averages 82.5 scored and 72.5 allowed.
- In head-to-head play at U. De Concepcion on 2026-08-13, the hosts won 97-76; at Leones on 2026-09-15, the hosts won 79-72.
- Rest favors U. De Concepcion: its last completed game was 2026-10-22, while Leones Quilpue played on 2026-10-23.
- U. De Concepcion shoots 51.9% on two-pointers with 38.3 rebounds and 12.1 turnovers per game; Leones Quilpue shoots 36.5% on three-pointers with 36.6 rebounds and 13.8 turnovers per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonLeones Quilpue under 40.5Estimated chance63%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 10:08

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

47%

Chance of 165+ points

9 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 47%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L79–72

Leones Quilpuev

U. De Concepcion

Sep 15, 2026·LNB

W97–76

U. De Concepcionv

Leones Quilpue

Aug 13, 2026·LNB

L86–74

Leones Quilpuev

U. De Concepcion

Aug 4, 2026·LNB

L78–79

U. De Concepcionv

Leones Quilpue

Jun 10, 2026·LNB

W74–81

Leones Quilpuev

U. De Concepcion

Jun 8, 2026·LNB

L83–78

Leones Quilpuev

U. De Concepcion

Jun 7, 2026·LNB

W89–78

U. De Concepcionv

Leones Quilpue

Jun 1, 2026·LNB

L88–92

U. De Concepcionv

Leones Quilpue

May 31, 2026·LNB

W88–97

Leones Quilpuev

U. De Concepcion

Apr 30, 2026·LNB

W95–73

U. De Concepcionv

Leones Quilpue

Apr 10, 2026·LNB

165.7Avg total points

9.9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB

#TeamW–LWin %

U. De Concepcion

LNB - Apertura · South

12–0100%

Leones Quilpue

LNB - Apertura · South

8–467%

Recent Form

U. De Concepcion

11W 4L · last 15

vs Ancud95–78 Oct 22LNB

at Ancud73–91 Oct 15LNB

at Espanol Osorno75–89 Oct 15LNB

at Valdivia85–101 Oct 9LNB

vs Espanol Osorno74–68 Oct 8LNB

at CD Puerto Varas98–91 Oct 3LNB

at Puerto Montt92–87 Oct 2LNB

vs Puerto Montt87–59 Sep 27LNB

vs CD Puerto Varas96–76 Sep 24LNB

at Leones Quilpue72–79 Sep 15LNB

at Puente Alto97–96 OTSep 14LNB

at Espanol de Talca103–80 Aug 15LNB

vs Leones Quilpue97–76 Aug 13LNB

at Catolica79–54 Aug 9LNB

at Colo Colo93–72 Aug 9LNB

Leones Quilpue

13W 2L · last 15

vs Puente Alto90–66 Oct 23LNB

vs Puerto Montt75–54 Oct 10LNB

vs CD Puerto Varas98–84 Oct 8LNB

vs Ancud85–75 Oct 7LNB

vs Espanol Osorno81–61 Oct 1LNB

vs Valdivia78–65 Oct 1LNB

at Espanol Osorno89–67 Sep 27LNB

at Valdivia77–92 Sep 26LNB

at Puente Alto87–75 Sep 17LNB

vs U. De Concepcion79–72 Sep 15LNB

at Catolica79–76 Aug 18LNB

vs Espanol de Talca96–69 Aug 16LNB

at U. De Concepcion76–97 Aug 13LNB

vs Catolica87–74 Aug 8LNB

at Colo Colo61–60 Aug 6LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

U. De Concepcion

Stats

4–1

Leones Quilpue

U. De Concepcion leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.0pp

52.0%

+2.0pp

50.0%

3-point %+3.1pp

33.4%

+3.1pp

36.5%

Free-throw %+3.4pp

73.3%

+3.4pp

69.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.2pp apart

33.9%

5.2pp apart

39.1%

Free throws per shot0.8pp apart

32.1%

0.8pp apart

31.3%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.7

38.3

+1.7

36.6

Turnovers per game1.7 fewer

12.1

1.7 fewer

13.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.