LNB ÉliteFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Roanne75Paris96

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 15:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–660%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Roanne and Paris.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Roanne	16	27	23	9
Paris	18	22	24	32

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite and beat Roanne 81-59 in September, with a 40-minute projection of 87.3-80.5 in their favour — but they played in the EuroLeague on 23 October and were without N.

Hifi and TJ Warren in that latest game, while Roanne have had nine days off. Under 172.5 combined points at 1.89 is the one price worth backing; Roanne over 82.5 at 1.83 is not.

Context

Paris have played recently in the EuroLeague and were without N. Hifi and TJ Warren in their latest game, while Roanne have had about nine days between games; the records do not confirm any absence for this fixture.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 172.5

1.89fair 1.69

Market 52.9% · BetBugs 59.3%

+6.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. The game has fewer than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Paris has the stronger LNB scoring profile and won the September meeting by 22, but Roanne is at home and much fresher while Paris is coming off a EuroLeague game with two rotation players absent from the latest box score. That should keep Roanne competitive while Paris remains the better side.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Roanne and 15 for Paris, across seasons and competitions.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonParis +2.5Estimated chance70.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonParisEstimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonParisEstimated chance68.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Roanne and 15 for Paris, across seasons and competitions.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostParis +0.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostParisEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostParisEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonParisEstimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonParisEstimated chance55.2%

Points4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.89
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. The game has fewer than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 172.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonUnder 86.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Roanne score fewer than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostRoanne under 41.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Roanne score fewer than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointswonRoanne under 82.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostParis under 89.5Estimated chance56.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. Paris score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonParis under 22.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Roanne 80.5, Paris 87.3. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Paris are 4-0 in LNB Élite, averaging 92.3 points for and 83.3 against over four games through 18 Oct 2026.
- Roanne are 2-2 in LNB Élite, averaging 80.3 points for and 82.5 against over four games through 16 Oct 2026.
- Paris beat Roanne 81-59 in the LNB Super Cup on 20 Sep 2026, holding Roanne to 59 points in the only meeting this season.
- Roanne last played on 16 Oct, about 8.9 days before this game, while Paris played a EuroLeague game on 23 Oct, about 1.8 days before.
- Paris's N. Hifi (19.8 ppg) and TJ Warren were missing from the latest box score; Hifi last appeared on 11 Oct 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 42.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 07:29

Selected line

172.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

41%

Chance of 173+ points

12 pp below break-even

Over 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 41%.

Move the line main 172.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L59–81

Roannev

Paris

Sep 20, 2026·LNB

L90–61

Parisv

Roanne

May 4, 2024·LNB

W83–76

Roannev

Paris

Nov 18, 2023·LNB

L120–107

Parisv

Roanne

Apr 29, 2023·LNB

L110–115

Roannev

Paris

Nov 20, 2022·LNB

W99–92

Roannev

Paris

Apr 8, 2022·LNB

L89–73

Parisv

Roanne

Nov 16, 2021·FRE

W97–98

Parisv

Roanne

Oct 9, 2021·LNB

L67–65

Parisv

Roanne

Mar 18, 2019·PRO

L75–79

Roannev

Paris

Jan 18, 2019·PRO

173.6Avg total points

10.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Roanne

2–250%

Paris

4–0100%

Recent Form

Roanne

10W 5L · last 15

at Strasbourg70–72 Oct 16LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne77–96 Oct 11LNB

at Antibes78–80 Oct 6FRE

vs Nanterre93–83 Oct 2LNB

at Boulazac81–79 Sep 26LNB

vs Paris59–81 Sep 20LNB

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne73–71 Sep 19LNB

vs Pau-Orthez108–82 May 15PRO

at St. Chamond93–79 May 8PRO

vs Caen75–71 May 1PRO

at Quimper81–67 Apr 25PRO

at Antibes92–68 Apr 21PRO

vs ASA87–69 Apr 17PRO

at Hyeres-Toulon86–80 Apr 10PRO

vs Chalons-Reims79–88 Apr 7PRO

Paris

7W 8L · last 15

vs Valencia93–104 Oct 23EUR

vs Boulazac90–75 Oct 18LNB

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81–90 Oct 16EUR

vs Virtus Bologna94–96 Oct 14EUR

vs Strasbourg98–84 Oct 11LNB

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne96–98 Oct 7EUR

at Le Mans103–101 Oct 4LNB

vs Zalgiris Kaunas82–78 Oct 1EUR

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet79–92 Sep 29EUR

at Nancy78–73 Sep 27LNB

at Panathinaikos72–91 Sep 24EUR

at Roanne81–59 Sep 20LNB

vs Nanterre95–88 Sep 19LNB

vs Monaco92–101 Jun 23LNB

at Monaco84–96 Jun 21LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Roanne

14 games

Stats

2–3

Paris

Paris leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+0.6pp

57.6%

+0.6pp

57.0%

3-point %+0.5pp

32.6%

+0.5pp

33.1%

Free-throw %14/11 games+5.2pp

68.3%

+5.2pp

73.5%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.7pp apart

33.3%

2.7pp apart

36.0%

Free throws per shot14/11 games1.6pp apart

33.3%

1.6pp apart

31.7%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.9

31.2

+3.9

35.1

Turnovers per game0.7 fewer

13.1

0.7 fewer

13.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.