Serie A2FinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Rimini96Sebastiani Rieti73

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Rimini and Sebastiani Rieti.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Rimini	32	28	10	26
Sebastiani Rieti	25	14	14	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Rimini's home scoring against Rieti's 4-1 start is the tension, with both in the playoff places after five rounds.

Rimini's three-point shooting and lower turnover count make them the likelier winner, with a 79.4-74.0 edge over 40 minutes. Rimini to win at 1.3 and to be ahead after 40 minutes at 1.3 ask for more than that edge justifies, and -7.5 at 1.82 is no better. Over 36.5 combined points in the second quarter at 1.83 is the one price that stands out.

Context

Rimini carry two straight league wins into the game, but the samples are five league games and 15 overall games with no availability news, so the sporting picture is only lightly changed.

Rimini followed a home win over Gemini Mestre with an 84-67 road victory at Sassari. Those results provide recent positive team context before Rieti visit, but do not establish availability or a likely rotation for this game.
- Rimini beat Gemini Mestre 91-76 on 18 October.
- Rimini won 84-67 away to Banco di Sardegna Sassari on 21 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

2nd Quarter Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 36.5

1.83fair 1.64

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 61.1%

+6.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Rimini's stronger current defense and home scoring give them a modest edge, while Rieti's inside efficiency and free-throw pressure should keep the visitors close. The current five-game samples matter more than the older head-to-head results.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rimini and 15 for Sebastiani Rieti, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonRimini +4.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini win in about 67 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRiminiEstimated chance66.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonRiminiEstimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rimini and 15 for Sebastiani Rieti, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostRimini +0.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonRiminiEstimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostSebastiani Rieti +4.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti cover +7.5 (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · HandicaplostSebastiani Rieti +7.5Estimated chance56%

Points3 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostSebastiani Rieti over 16.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 36.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonSebastiani Rieti over 35.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSebastiani Rieti over 17.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Sebastiani Rieti score more than 72.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · Team PointswonSebastiani Rieti over 72.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. The 1st quarter has fewer than 39.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 39.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rimini 79.4, Sebastiani Rieti 74.0. Rimini score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- In the current Serie A2 season, Rimini are 3-2 and average 79.4 points scored and 70.6 allowed over five games through 21 October 2026.
- Rieti are 4-1 in the same five-game Serie A2 sample, averaging 75.8 points scored and 72.6 allowed through 21 October 2026.
- Across the 15-game overall sample, Rimini shoot 38.8% from three on 392 attempts and average 8.5 turnovers, while Rieti shoot 32.1% from three and average 11.7 turnovers.
- Rieti's overall profile is more interior and free-throw based: 52.4% on two-pointers and a 0.368 free-throw rate, against Rimini's 48.6% and 0.280.
- Both teams last played on 21 October 2026 and entered with about 3.9 days of rest.
- Rieti won the most recent head-to-head 83-65 on 21 January 2026 and 77-75 on 28 September 2025, but those are last-season results.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostRimini under 20.5Estimated chance55.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:00

Selected line

152.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

54%

Chance of 153+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.73 needs 58% to break even. BetBugs sees 54%.

Move the line main 152.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 54%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 46%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L83–65

Sebastiani Rietiv Rimini

Rimini

Jan 21, 2026·SER

L75–77

Riminiv

Sebastiani Rieti

Sep 28, 2025·SER

W69–82

Sebastiani Rietiv Rimini

Rimini

Mar 26, 2025·SER

L91–96

Riminiv

Sebastiani Rieti

Dec 29, 2024·SER

L64–77

Riminiv

Sebastiani Rieti

May 9, 2024·SER

L73–69

Sebastiani Rietiv Rimini

Rimini

May 6, 2024·SER

L74–73

Sebastiani Rietiv Rimini

Rimini

May 4, 2024·SER

L93–86

Sebastiani Rietiv Rimini

Rimini

Feb 18, 2024·SER

155.9Avg total points

7.9Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Serie A2 · Serie A2 - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Rimini

3–260%

Sebastiani Rieti

4–180%

Recent Form

Rimini

8W 7L · last 15

at Sassari84–67 Oct 21SER

vs Mestre91–76 Oct 18SER

at Fortitudo Bologna66–78 Oct 11SER

vs Avellino Basket72–73 Oct 4SER

at Montecatini84–59 Sep 27SER

vs Verona75–83 Jun 14SER

vs Verona82–70 Jun 12SER

at Verona76–84 Jun 9SER

at Verona74–84 Jun 7SER

vs Cividale87–76 May 28SER

vs Cividale83–66 May 26SER

at Cividale69–85 May 23SER

at Cividale84–69 May 21SER

at Pesaro91–78 May 19SER

vs Pesaro94–96 May 16SER

Sebastiani Rieti

8W 7L · last 15

vs Brindisi70–63 Oct 21SER

at Forli71–93 Oct 18SER

vs Pistoia78–70 Oct 11SER

at Vigevano79–64 Oct 4SER

vs Caserta81–73 Sep 27SER

vs Cividale78–90 May 15SER

vs Cividale73–82 May 13SER

at Cividale73–79 May 10SER

at Cividale70–69 May 8SER

vs Basket Torino80–66 Apr 26SER

at Urania Milano83–88 Apr 18SER

vs Pesaro112–90 Apr 12SER

at Libertas Livorno72–80 Apr 8SER

vs Scafati76–81 Apr 4SER

at Ruvo Di Puglia84–75 Mar 29SER

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rimini

Stats

4–1

Sebastiani Rieti

Rimini leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+3.8pp

48.6%

+3.8pp

52.4%

3-point %+6.7pp

38.8%

+6.7pp

32.1%

Free-throw %+3.1pp

74.8%

+3.1pp

71.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.1pp apart

39.2%

5.1pp apart

34.1%

Free throws per shot8.8pp apart

28.0%

8.8pp apart

36.8%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+2.3

33.4

+2.3

31.1

Turnovers per game3.2 fewer

8.5

3.2 fewer

11.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.