Liga AFinished

Predictions graded

Racing de Chivilcoy54Quimsa68

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Points by period: Racing de Chivilcoy and Quimsa.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Racing de Chivilcoy	16	8	16	14
Quimsa	17	19	14	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Quimsa are 4-0 in Liga A, but Racing beat them twice last season and Racing's 85.6 average is inflated by one overtime game; the game shapes as 81-79 to Quimsa after 40 minutes.

Quimsa to win, overtime included, is the main lean, with Racing +2.5 in the first half and Racing over 78.5 points the smaller ones. No quoted price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Both teams played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither gains from the schedule. No availability, injury or travel information is established, leaving form, shooting and last season's two meetings as the only evidence.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Quimsa win in about 56 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonQuimsaEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Racing de Chivilcoy cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostRacing de Chivilcoy +2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Quimsa cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Racing de Chivilcoy and 15 for Quimsa, across seasons and competitions.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonQuimsa +0.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Racing de Chivilcoy cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Racing de Chivilcoy and 15 for Quimsa, across seasons and competitions.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonRacing de Chivilcoy +1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Quimsa are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 54 of 100 games like this.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonQuimsaEstimated chance53.6%

Points1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 33.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Racing de Chivilcoy and 15 for Quimsa, across seasons and competitions.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 33.5Estimated chance80.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Racing de Chivilcoy score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Racing de Chivilcoy and 15 for Quimsa, across seasons and competitions.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRacing de Chivilcoy over 15.5Estimated chance79.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Quimsa score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Racing de Chivilcoy and 15 for Quimsa, across seasons and competitions.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostQuimsa over 18.5Estimated chance62.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Racing de Chivilcoy 79.5, Quimsa 81.4. Racing de Chivilcoy score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Quimsa are 4-0 in the current Liga A season, averaging 90.0 points scored and 79.0 allowed over those four games through 24 October 2026, but three of the four were at home.
- Racing de Chivilcoy are 3-2 in Liga A; their 85.6 season average is inflated by a 126-123 overtime game, and in their other four current-season games they averaged 75.5 scored and 76.0 allowed.
- Racing won both 2025-26 head-to-head meetings: 90-79 away on 22 October 2025 and 82-73 at home on 24 March 2026.
- Quimsa have shot 36.6% on three-pointers and 75.8% on free throws across 15 recent box scores, while Racing have shot 33.1% and 73.4% across 14.
- Both teams last played on 24 October 2026 and have roughly two days of rest, so neither has a meaningful rest advantage.
- Quimsa's only current-season away game was a 78-76 win at Argentino on 24 October 2026, while Racing lost 72-80 at home to Boca Juniors the same day.
BetBugs · Team PointslostRacing de Chivilcoy over 78.5Estimated chance55.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 10:08

Selected line

160.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 161+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 160.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W82–73

Racing de Chivilcoyv Quimsa

Quimsa

Mar 24, 2026·LIG

W79–90

Quimsav

Racing de Chivilcoy

Oct 22, 2025·LIG

162Avg total points

10Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Liga A · Liga A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Racing de Chivilcoy

3–260%

Quimsa

4–0100%

Recent Form

Racing de Chivilcoy

10W 5L · last 15

vs Boca Juniors72–80 Oct 24LIG

at La Union74–68 OTOct 16LIG

at Obera TC84–78 Oct 14LIG

vs Gimnasia72–78 Oct 11LIG

vs San Martin126–123 OTOct 9LIG

vs Regatas76–93 Apr 18LIG

vs San Lorenzo80–66 Apr 12LIG

vs Obera TC91–84 Apr 10LIG

at Platense89–90 OTMar 31LIG

vs San Martin91–74 Mar 27LIG

vs Quimsa82–73 Mar 24LIG

vs Union De Santa Fe84–80 Mar 17LIG

at Penarol64–92 Mar 13LIG

at Ferro81–80 Mar 11LIG

vs Independiente de Oliva89–84 Mar 7LIG

Quimsa

10W 5L · last 15

at Argentino78–76 Oct 24LIG

vs Boca Juniors105–96 Oct 11LIG

vs Atenas83–77 Oct 6LIG

vs Platense94–67 Oct 4LIG

at Gimnasia56–68 Jun 21LIG

vs Gimnasia88–60 Jun 18LIG

at Gimnasia77–74 OTJun 14LIG

at Gimnasia59–76 Jun 12LIG

vs Gimnasia79–80 Jun 9LIG

vs Gimnasia73–82 Jun 6LIG

at Boca Juniors94–83 May 31LIG

at Boca Juniors92–99 May 30LIG

vs Boca Juniors91–78 May 26LIG

vs Boca Juniors88–76 May 23LIG

vs Instituto de Cordoba75–71 May 20LIG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Racing de Chivilcoy

14 games

Stats

2–2

Quimsa

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.4pp

52.7%

+2.4pp

50.3%

3-point %+3.5pp

33.1%

+3.5pp

36.6%

Free-throw %+2.4pp

73.4%

+2.4pp

75.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.6pp apart

32.5%

1.6pp apart

34.1%

Free throws per shot1.2pp apart

36.9%

1.2pp apart

35.7%

Possession· 1–0

Rebounds per game+0.6

34.1

+0.6

33.5

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.