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Predictions graded

Plzen77Hradec Kralove84

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–947%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Plzen and Hradec Kralove.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Plzen	22	20	17	18
Hradec Kralove	26	22	13	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Plzen are 1-6 and Hradec Kralove 2-5 in the NBL, and Hradec's shooting (56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers over 15 games, against 45.0% and 29.8%) points to an 89.6-85.5 edge after 40 minutes, trimmed by Plzen's 41.1 rebounds per game.

Hradec to win at 1.37 asks more than that edge justifies; over 170.5 combined points at 1.83 is the price worth taking.

Context

No availability, injury or roster confirmation accompanies this game; the read comes from both teams' 2026-27 NBL records plus their 15-game shooting and rebounding totals.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 170.5

1.83fair 1.59

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 62.7%

+8.1ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. The game has more than 170.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Hradec's shooting edge and Plzen's 91.9 points allowed per game point to the visitors scoring in the high 80s, while Hradec's 96.3 points allowed should let Plzen improve on its season average. Plzen's rebounding advantage and home venue keep the expected margin small.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove win in about 63 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHradec KraloveEstimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonHradec KraloveEstimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Plzen and 15 for Hradec Kralove, across seasons and competitions.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostHradec Kralove +0.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonHradec KraloveEstimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · HandicaplostPlzen +6.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Plzen and 15 for Hradec Kralove, across seasons and competitions.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPlzen +2.5Estimated chance56.6%

Points4 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostPlzen over 19.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. The game has more than 170.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · Total PointslostOver 170.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen score more than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · Team PointslostPlzen over 82.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonHradec Kralove over 21.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. The 1st half has more than 85.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 85.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPlzen over 20.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPlzen over 41.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Plzen score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostPlzen over 20.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Plzen 85.5, Hradec Kralove 89.6. Hradec Kralove score more than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Plzen are 1-6 in the 2026-27 NBL, averaging 78.1 points scored and 91.9 allowed over seven games.
- Hradec Kralove are 2-5, averaging 87.0 scored and 96.3 allowed over seven 2026-27 NBL games.
- In 15 tracked games, Hradec shoot 56.9% on two-pointers and 39.0% on three-pointers, while Plzen shoot 45.0% and 29.8%.
- Plzen average 41.1 rebounds per game to Hradec's 30.6 over 15 tracked games, a clear extra-possession advantage for the home side.
- Plzen's four home NBL games average 77.5 scored and 91.0 allowed; Hradec's three away NBL games average 87.3 scored and 93.7 allowed.
- Hradec won both 2024-25 meetings (100-82 at Plzen and 78-68 at home), though that was in 1. Liga and predates the current rosters.
BetBugs · Team PointslostHradec Kralove over 88.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:00

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

63%

Chance of 171+ points

+8 pp above break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 63%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L82–100

Plzenv

Hradec Kralove

Mar 14, 2025·1.

L78–68

Hradec Kralovev Plzen

Plzen

Feb 21, 2025·1.

164Avg total points

14Avg margin

2meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Plzen

1–614%

Hradec Kralove

2–529%

Recent Form

Plzen

4W 11L · last 15

at Olomoucko81–72 Oct 16NBL

vs Brno69–83 Oct 11NBL

at Opava82–92 Oct 3NBL

vs USK Prague81–84 Sep 30NBL

vs Srsni Pisek81–88 Sep 27NBL

at Usti n. Labem74–115 Sep 23NBL

vs Decin79–109 Sep 17NBL

at Svitavy94–107 Mar 291.

vs Svitavy91–96 OTMar 271.

at Pardubice 287–82 Mar 201.

vs Novy Jicin85–77 Mar 151.

at Zlin66–87 Mar 61.

vs Pardubice 268–74 Mar 11.

at Novy Jicin81–89 OTFeb 201.

vs Zlin98–52 Feb 151.

Hradec Kralove

7W 8L · last 15

vs Usti n. Labem95–111 Oct 17NBL

vs Decin99–93 OTOct 10NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK75–101 Oct 3NBL

at NH Ostrava82–89 Sep 30NBL

vs Pardubice78–88 Sep 26NBL

at Srsni Pisek87–111 Sep 23NBL

at Olomoucko93–81 Sep 20NBL

vs Zlin94–62 Apr 29NBL

at Zlin81–56 Apr 27NBL

vs Olomoucko86–84 Apr 11NBL

at Slavia Prague97–89 Apr 4NBL

vs USK Prague97–69 Mar 28NBL

at Olomoucko77–86 Mar 25NBL

vs Slavia Prague66–74 Mar 21NBL

at Olomoucko71–86 Mar 18NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Plzen

Stats

2–3

Hradec Kralove

Hradec Kralove leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+11.9pp

45.0%

+11.9pp

56.9%

3-point %+9.2pp

29.8%

+9.2pp

39.0%

Free-throw %+2.7pp

67.4%

+2.7pp

70.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.8pp apart

38.9%

5.8pp apart

44.7%

Free throws per shot7.6pp apart

29.7%

7.6pp apart

22.1%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+10.5

41.1

+10.5

30.6

Turnovers per game0.1 fewer

14.5

0.1 fewer

14.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.