Maxima Roma81Udine75

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 15:30 Predictions graded

Predictions7–654%

Edges0–20%

Points by period: Maxima Roma and Udine.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Maxima Roma	22	13	24	22
Udine	19	21	18	17

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 2-2 teams meet with little between them: Maxima Roma's shooting gives them a small home edge, while Udine's league defense and seven days' rest keep it close, around 87-83 after 40 minutes.

Udine at 3.32 for either team to win offers something, and the second quarter over 41.5 combined points at 1.90 is close behind; Maxima Roma at 1.35 for the win does not justify itself.

Context

No confirmed availability news for either team. Udine have had seven days since their 18 October game and Maxima Roma 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game, and Aaron Holiday's absence from the latest box score is an observation rather than a confirmed absence. The only researched item is Udine's July roster completion, which does not fix the match-day rotation.

Valentine was recruited as a versatile perimeter player, while Šiško joined at point guard and Battle added wing scoring. The squad overhaul set Udine's personnel for the season, but it does not establish the final match-day rotation for this game.
- Denzel Valentine was the final senior addition to Udine's 2026-27 roster on 23 July.
- Žan Mark Šiško and RaeQuan Battle were also among Udine's new arrivals.
- Mirza Alibegović and Anthony Hickey were still under contract but outside the technical project.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Udine

3.32fair 2.56

Market 30.1% · BetBugs 39.1%

+9.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine win in about 39 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Maxima Roma's better perimeter and free-throw shooting should help them score a little more at home, while Udine's current league defense and extra rest keep this close. I expect a total in the high 160s with Maxima Roma a couple of points ahead.

2nd Quarter Total PointslostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 41.5

1.90fair 1.76

Market 52.6% · BetBugs 56.9%

+4.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Maxima Roma's better perimeter and free-throw shooting should help them score a little more at home, while Udine's current league defense and extra rest keep this close. I expect a total in the high 160s with Maxima Roma a couple of points ahead.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 8 completed games for Maxima Roma and 15 for Udine, across seasons and competitions.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostUdine +4.5Estimated chance69.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Maxima Roma cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 8 completed games for Maxima Roma and 15 for Udine, across seasons and competitions.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostMaxima Roma +2.5Estimated chance68.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Maxima Roma win in about 61 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMaxima RomaEstimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Maxima Roma are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonMaxima RomaEstimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · HandicapwonUdine +6.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonUdine +3.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Maxima Roma are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostMaxima RomaEstimated chance55.9%

Points3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonUdine over 19.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine score more than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · Team PointslostUdine over 81.5Estimated chance58.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.90
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. The 2nd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 41.5Estimated chance56.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Udine score more than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostUdine over 40.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. Maxima Roma score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonMaxima Roma under 22.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Maxima Roma 86.9, Udine 83.4. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Maxima Roma averaged 87.3 points and conceded 90.5 in their four 2026-27 Lega A games through 18 October.
- Udine are 2-2 in Lega A; excluding their 85-84 overtime win at Cantu on 5 October, their three regulation league games averaged 79.7 points scored and 79.7 allowed.
- Across 2026-27 games, Maxima Roma shoot 39.4% on three-pointers and 81.5% on free throws (8 games), while Udine shoot 30.8% on three-pointers and 72.1% on free throws (15 games since February 2026).
- Udine have had 7.0 days since their 18 October game; Maxima Roma have had 3.9 days since their 21 October Eurocup game.
- The current Lega A table has both teams 2-2: Maxima Roma 349 points for and 362 against, Udine 324 for and 323 against through four games.
- No completed head-to-head game is on record, and the only research note concerns Udine's July roster completion with no confirmed availability updates.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.2%