Energa Basket LigaFinished

Predictions graded

Legia84Ostrow Wielkopolski74

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–654%

Points by period: Legia and Ostrow Wielkopolski.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Legia	22	21	23	18
Ostrow Wielkopolski	26	17	11	20

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams are 2-1 in the Energa Basket Liga, and Legia's edge from three should be enough: expect Legia to be ahead after 40 minutes and to win, about 62 times in 100.

Ostrow's 78.7 points per league game and the +8.5 start keep it tight. Prices are on offer across the markets, but none stands out at these numbers.

Context

No confirmed availability news for either side. At collection, Legia had 4.8 days and Ostrow 5.9 days since their last completed games, so nothing beyond ordinary rest separates them; later games could change that.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Legia cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonLegia +3.5Estimated chance74.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Legia and 15 for Ostrow Wielkopolski, across seasons and competitions.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostOstrow Wielkopolski +3.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski cover +8.5 (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · HandicaplostOstrow Wielkopolski +8.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Legia win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLegiaEstimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Legia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonLegiaEstimated chance59.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonOstrow Wielkopolski +2.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Legia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostLegiaEstimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonOstrow Wielkopolski +3.5Estimated chance55.5%

Points2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski score more than 38.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonOstrow Wielkopolski over 38.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · Team PointslostOstrow Wielkopolski over 78.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 40.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonOstrow Wielkopolski over 19.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Legia 84.7, Ostrow Wielkopolski 80.8. Ostrow Wielkopolski score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Legia's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 16 Oct produced 239 points scored and 252 allowed (79.7/84.0 per game), including a 73-72 home win over Anwil.
- Ostrow's three 2026-27 Energa Basket Liga games through 19 Oct produced 236 points scored and 244 allowed (78.7/81.3 per game), but one was an 84-79 overtime win at Lublin.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, Legia beat Ostrow 83-75 away on 14 Feb 2026 and 98-89 at home on 25 Oct 2025.
- Over the recent 15-game box-score sample, Legia shot 34.9% from three with 11.7 turnovers per game; Ostrow shot 29.1% from three with 14.5 turnovers per game.
- Rebounding was almost even in those 15-game samples: Legia 33.7 per game, Ostrow 33.5 per game.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostOstrow Wielkopolski over 19.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 07:29

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

54%

Chance of 165+ points

Near break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 54%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 54%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 46%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W75–83

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv Legia

Legia

Feb 14, 2026·ENE

W98–89

Legiav

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Oct 25, 2025·ENE

W80–79

Legiav

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Mar 23, 2025·ENE

W75–90

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv Legia

Legia

Nov 16, 2024·ENE

W94–71

Legiav

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Feb 18, 2024·POL

L88–96

Legiav

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Feb 4, 2024·ENE

L71–53

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv Legia

Legia

Oct 21, 2023·ENE

W85–88

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv Legia

Legia

Jun 6, 2023·ENE

L73–85

Legiav

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Jun 3, 2023·ENE

L90–87

Ostrow Wielkopolskiv Legia

Legia

Apr 28, 2023·ENE

165Avg total points

10Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Energa Basket Liga · Basket Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Legia

2–167%

Ostrow Wielkopolski

2–167%

Recent Form

Legia

10W 5L · last 15

at Cibona95–77 Oct 20CL

vs Anwil Wloclawek73–72 Oct 16ENE

at Zielona Gora87–104 Oct 9ENE

at Strasbourg62–100 Oct 6CL

at Czarni Slupsk79–76 Oct 2ENE

vs Zielona Gora110–96 Sep 27SUP

vs Trefl Sopot93–89 Sep 26SUP

vs Zielona Gora78–70 Jun 21ENE

at Zielona Gora74–76 Jun 19ENE

vs Zielona Gora84–80 Jun 17ENE

at Zielona Gora73–85 Jun 15ENE

at Zielona Gora79–63 Jun 13ENE

vs Zielona Gora104–82 Jun 10ENE

vs Zielona Gora74–77 Jun 8ENE

at Dziki Warszawa91–78 Jun 1ENE

Ostrow Wielkopolski

8W 7L · last 15

at Czarni Slupsk87–84 Oct 19ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych65–81 Oct 12ENE

at Lublin84–79 OTOct 3ENE

at Dabrowa Gornicza86–94 May 8ENE

vs Gornik Walbrzych86–74 May 6ENE

at Trefl Sopot86–88 May 2ENE

vs Dziki Warszawa73–83 Apr 25ENE

at Slask Wroclaw77–73 Apr 17ENE

vs Zielona Gora75–82 Apr 13ENE

at Anwil Wloclawek81–90 Apr 6ENE

at Krosno87–80 Mar 29ENE

vs Czarni Slupsk75–68 Mar 19ENE

vs Torun77–75 Mar 15ENE

vs Lublin93–78 Mar 8ENE

vs Legia75–83 Feb 14ENE

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Legia

Stats

4–1

Ostrow Wielkopolski

Legia leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+1.2pp

53.9%

+1.2pp

55.1%

3-point %+5.8pp

34.9%

+5.8pp

29.1%

Free-throw %+0.1pp

68.8%

+0.1pp

68.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.6pp apart

33.0%

4.6pp apart

28.4%

Free throws per shot0.1pp apart

39.3%

0.1pp apart

39.4%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+0.2

33.7

+0.2

33.5

Turnovers per game2.8 fewer

11.7

2.8 fewer

14.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.