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Predictions graded

Karsiyaka72Fenerbahce97

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 12:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–947%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Karsiyaka and Fenerbahce.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Karsiyaka	16	20	14	22
Fenerbahce	25	24	25	23

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Fenerbahce play in Izmir less than two days after a EuroLeague win at Olympiacos, while Karsiyaka have been idle since 16 October.

Fenerbahce should still edge it around 85-81, though Karsiyaka's freshness should keep the margin well below January's 91-55. The one price that stands out is over 163.5 combined points at 1.85.

Context

Fenerbahce have about 1.8 days between a EuroLeague road game at Olympiacos and this fixture, while Karsiyaka have about 8.9 days of rest since 16 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 163.5

1.85fair 1.68

Market 54.1% · BetBugs 59.7%

+5.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this. Fenerbahce has the stronger two-point and rebounding profile and recent head-to-head control, but Karsiyaka is home and far fresher, so the gap should be smaller than the latest meeting. I expect a moderate-scoring game with Fenerbahce just ahead.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka cover +9.5 (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · HandicaplostKarsiyaka +9.5Estimated chance65.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Fenerbahce win in about 63 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFenerbahceEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Karsiyaka and 15 for Fenerbahce, across seasons and competitions.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostKarsiyaka +3.5Estimated chance61.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonFenerbahceEstimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostKarsiyaka +4.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Karsiyaka and 15 for Fenerbahce, across seasons and competitions.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostKarsiyaka +2.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostKarsiyaka +2.5Estimated chance58.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Fenerbahce are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonFenerbahceEstimated chance57.5%

Points5 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · Team PointslostKarsiyaka over 76.5Estimated chance68.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostKarsiyaka over 37.5Estimated chance66.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonKarsiyaka over 18.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. The game has more than 163.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 163.5Estimated chance59.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Fenerbahce score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonFenerbahce over 20.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. The 1st half has more than 81.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 81.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka score more than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostKarsiyaka over 19.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Karsiyaka 81.3, Fenerbahce 85.5. Karsiyaka score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Karsiyaka has averaged 81.8 points in its four 2026-27 BSL games through 16 Oct, including 95-79 at home to Cayirova, while allowing 78.8.
- Fenerbahce has averaged 86.3 points in four 2026-27 BSL games through 18 Oct but allowed 87.3, with losses to Petkim (77-82, 18 Oct) and at Bahcesehir (83-98, 27 Sep).
- Across 15 games in the sample, Fenerbahce shoots 58.4% on two-pointers with 34.1 rebounds and 10.9 turnovers, versus Karsiyaka's 53.5%, 30.5 rebounds and 11.8 turnovers.
- Fenerbahce beat Olympiacos 64-61 in the EuroLeague on 23 Oct and has only about 1.8 days' rest; Karsiyaka last played on 16 Oct and has about 8.9 days' rest.
- In the latest head-to-head, Fenerbahce won 91-55 at Karsiyaka on 31 Jan 2026, and Fenerbahce has won seven of the last ten meetings in the sample.
- Karsiyaka's home games in the sample average 82.5 points for and 80.0 against; Fenerbahce's away games average 80.0 for and 80.3 against.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostKarsiyaka over 19.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 07:29

Selected line

163.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 164+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.85 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 163.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L55–91

Karsiyakav

Fenerbahce

Jan 31, 2026·BAS

L87–73

Fenerbahcev

Karsiyaka

Oct 12, 2025·BAS

L78–67

Fenerbahcev

Karsiyaka

May 6, 2025·SUP

L90–101

Karsiyakav

Fenerbahce

Jan 5, 2025·SUP

L93–63

Fenerbahcev

Pinar Karsiyaka

Jan 21, 2024·SUP

W84–79

Pinar Karsiyakav

Fenerbahce

Oct 9, 2023·SUP

W102–98

Pinar Karsiyakav

Fenerbahce

Mar 13, 2023·SUP

L100–88

Fenerbahcev

Pinar Karsiyaka

Oct 31, 2022·SUP

W74–72

Pinar Karsiyakav

Fenerbahce

Mar 27, 2022·SUP

L91–69

Fenerbahcev

Pinar Karsiyaka

Nov 30, 2021·SUP

165.5Avg total points

14.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Basketbol Süper Ligi · Super Lig - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Karsiyaka

2–250%

Fenerbahce

2–250%

Recent Form

Karsiyaka

7W 8L · last 15

vs Cayirova95–79 Oct 16BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.82–92 Oct 10BAS

vs Galatasaray78–71 OTOct 2BAS

at Turk Telekom72–73 Sep 26BAS

vs Bursaspor84–82 May 10BAS

at Tofas78–87 May 3BAS

vs Esenler Erokspor68–67 Apr 26BAS

at Bahcesehir Kol.88–74 Apr 18BAS

vs Buyukcekmece96–87 Apr 11BAS

at Besiktas86–92 Apr 6BAS

vs Mersin SK92–87 Mar 29BAS

at Manisa78–92 Mar 22BAS

vs Turk Telekom75–85 Mar 14BAS

at Trabzonspor79–89 Mar 8BAS

vs Galatasaray72–82 Feb 15BAS

Fenerbahce

12W 3L · last 15

at Olympiacos64–61 Oct 23EUR

vs Petkim Spor77–82 Oct 18BAS

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet74–65 Oct 15EUR

vs Zalgiris Kaunas99–80 Oct 13EUR

at Cayirova100–85 Oct 10BAS

at Panathinaikos74–92 Oct 8EUR

vs Korfez Basket85–84 Oct 4BAS

vs Dubai76–66 Oct 2EUR

vs Bayern100–76 Sep 29EUR

at Bahcesehir Kol.83–98 Sep 27BAS

vs Virtus Bologna78–68 Sep 25EUR

vs Besiktas72–59 Sep 22SUP

at Besiktas77–75 Jun 19BAS

at Besiktas82–71 Jun 17BAS

vs Besiktas93–68 Jun 15BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Karsiyaka

Stats

1–4

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.9pp

53.5%

+4.9pp

58.4%

3-point %+3.7pp

35.9%

+3.7pp

32.2%

Free-throw %15/10 games+0.1pp

73.2%

+0.1pp

73.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.7pp apart

30.0%

2.7pp apart

32.7%

Free throws per shot15/10 games1.0pp apart

40.2%

1.0pp apart

39.2%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+3.6

30.5

+3.6

34.1

Turnovers per game0.9 fewer

11.8

0.9 fewer

10.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.