Primera FEBFinished

Predictions graded

Fuenlabrada90Menorca76

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–1127%

Points by period: Fuenlabrada and Menorca.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Fuenlabrada	23	18	28	21
Menorca	24	21	15	16

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two winless sides meet in Primera FEB, with Fuenlabrada 16th and Menorca 18th after four defeats apiece.

Fuenlabrada's home scoring and Menorca's 68.8 points per game point to a home win in the high 70s, something like 79-74. No price stands out at our numbers: the evidence behind the forecasts is thin, and the 1.7 on Menorca over 76.5 points asks for scoring they have not shown this season.

Context

Both sides are 0-4 and the forecasts hold low confidence. The main condition is Fuenlabrada's frontcourt availability, with Javi López's right-knee ACL rupture announced on 22 October and a new signing on 24 October, but no match-day squad confirmed.

Javi López sustained a right-knee anterior cruciate ligament rupture shortly before the Menorca game. The injury and planned surgery create a major availability concern for Fuenlabrada, although the announcement did not set out a match-day squad decision.
- The right-knee ACL injury was announced on 22 October.
- Javi López is due to undergo surgery.
Michael Caicedo joined Fuenlabrada immediately before the Menorca fixture. The announcement confirms the signing but does not specify whether he will be involved against Menorca or what role he may have.
- Michael Caicedo was announced as a new Fuenlabrada player on 24 October.
Menorca’s Copa España campaign ended five days before the Fuenlabrada trip. It is recent competitive context, but it does not establish any fitness or rotation change for this Primera FEB match.
- HLA Alicante beat Menorca 91-83 on 20 October.
- Menorca stayed in contention until the final minute.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fuenlabrada and 15 for Menorca, across seasons and competitions.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonFuenlabrada +3.5Estimated chance73.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Fuenlabrada and 15 for Menorca, across seasons and competitions.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostFuenlabrada +2.5Estimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada win in about 65 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFuenlabradaEstimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonFuenlabradaEstimated chance62.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostFuenlabradaEstimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostFuenlabradaEstimated chance55.7%

Points1 of 9 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. The game has fewer than 158.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 158.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 39.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointslostUnder 39.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Menorca score fewer than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · Team PointswonMenorca under 76.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · Team PointslostFuenlabrada under 81.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Menorca score fewer than 19.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostMenorca under 19.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. The 1st half has fewer than 78.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 78.5Estimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. The 1st quarter has fewer than 39.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 39.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostFuenlabrada under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Fuenlabrada 78.7, Menorca 73.8. Fuenlabrada score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Fuenlabrada is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 75.8 points and conceding 84.0 through Oct. 17.
- Menorca is 0-4 in Primera FEB 2026-27, averaging 68.8 points and conceding 78.3 through Oct. 17.
- In the 15-game sample, Fuenlabrada's home games average 79.5 points scored and 76.3 allowed (6 games through Oct. 3).
- In the same sample, Menorca's away games average 73.1 points scored and 82.6 allowed (7 games through Oct. 9).
- Fuenlabrada beat Menorca 78-71 at home on Mar. 15, 2026, while Menorca won 80-70 at home on Dec. 28, 2025.
- Over 14-15 box scores, Fuenlabrada shoots 52.3% on two-pointers and 33.2% on threes; Menorca shoots 49.6% and 31.8%.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostFuenlabrada under 40.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:00

Selected line

158.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

38%

Chance of 159+ points

18 pp below break-even

Over 1.78 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 38%.

Move the line main 158.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W78–71

Fuenlabradav

Hestia Menorca

Mar 15, 2026·PRI

L80–70

Hestia Menorcav

Fuenlabrada

Dec 28, 2025·PRI

W72–83

Hestia Menorcav

Fuenlabrada

Mar 8, 2025·LEB

W92–89

Fuenlabradav

Hestia Menorca

Dec 22, 2024·LEB

W85–88

Hestia Menorcav

Fuenlabrada

Apr 20, 2024·LEB

L75–81

Fuenlabradav

Hestia Menorca

Jan 14, 2024·LEB

160.7Avg total points

6.7Avg margin

6meetings

League table

Primera FEB · Primera FEB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Fuenlabrada

0–40%

Menorca

0–40%

Recent Form

Fuenlabrada

7W 8L · last 15

at Estela79–84 Oct 17PRI

at Caja 8774–77 Oct 11PRI

vs Gran Canaria68–79 Oct 3PRI

at Alicante82–96 Sep 26PRI

at Palencia51–76 May 29PRI

vs Palencia78–72 May 24PRI

vs Palencia88–81 May 22PRI

at Palencia79–83 May 17PRI

at Palencia52–90 May 15PRI

vs Estudiantes77–70 May 8PRI

vs Cartagena91–82 Apr 26PRI

at Estela89–80 Apr 22PRI

vs Leyma Coruna75–74 Apr 18PRI

at Oviedo73–65 Apr 11PRI

at Zamora79–80 Apr 4PRI

Menorca

5W 10L · last 15

vs Fibwi Palma67–72 Oct 17PRI

at Palencia76–91 Oct 9PRI

vs Alicante64–81 Oct 3PRI

at Estela68–69 Sep 26PRI

vs Leyma Coruna76–87 May 24PRI

vs Leyma Coruna85–82 OTMay 22PRI

at Leyma Coruna76–81 May 17PRI

at Leyma Coruna71–93 May 14PRI

vs Melilla102–72 May 8PRI

at Gipuzkoa66–84 May 3PRI

vs Ourense73–70 Apr 26PRI

at Leyma Coruna72–81 Apr 22PRI

vs Palencia67–72 Apr 18PRI

at Cartagena83–79 Apr 11PRI

vs Tizona Burgos88–70 Apr 4PRI

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Fuenlabrada

14 games

Stats

2–2

Menorca

The teams split the 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.7pp

52.3%

+2.7pp

49.6%

3-point %+1.4pp

33.2%

+1.4pp

31.8%

Free-throw %+3.5pp

71.7%

+3.5pp

75.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.0pp apart

32.9%

2.0pp apart

34.9%

Free throws per shot3.9pp apart

29.1%

3.9pp apart

33.0%

Possession· 0–1

Rebounds per game+0.6

31.1

+0.6

31.7

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.