Super LeagueFinished

Predictions graded

Chelyabinsk95Barnaul94

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–654%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Chelyabinsk and Barnaul.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Chelyabinsk	24	28	19	24
Barnaul	26	20	26	22

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Chelyabinsk are 4-0 and host a Barnaul side with one win in five, so the question is whether the visitors' road scoring can keep the first half close.

A home win by around fifteen points is the likely shape of it. The one price worth backing is under 86.5 combined first-half points at 1.83.

Context

Both teams last played on 22 Oct, so each has three days between games. No player availability, shooting or rebounding detail is established for either side, and Chelyabinsk's overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct inflates its raw scoring rate.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointslostUncertainty band: Lean

Under 86.5

1.83fair 1.69

Market 54.6% · BetBugs 59.3%

+4.6ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Chelyabinsk has the clearly better current-season record and has dominated Barnaul in recent meetings, while Barnaul's 1-4 start and 85-point allowance point to a lower away score. The score reflects Chelyabinsk's scoring form with a modest home adjustment and Barnaul's away output.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk win in about 88 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonChelyabinskEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 87 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonChelyabinskEstimated chance86.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chelyabinsk and 15 for Barnaul, across seasons and competitions.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonChelyabinsk +1.5Estimated chance80.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonChelyabinskEstimated chance78.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonChelyabinskEstimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostChelyabinskEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultlostChelyabinskEstimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk cover -0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Chelyabinsk and 15 for Barnaul, across seasons and competitions.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostChelyabinsk -0.5Estimated chance64.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk cover -6.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostChelyabinsk -6.5Estimated chance57.2%

Points2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 86.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. The game has fewer than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · Total PointslostUnder 171.5Estimated chance58.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Chelyabinsk score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonChelyabinsk over 22.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Chelyabinsk 91.3, Barnaul 76.4. Barnaul score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Chelyabinsk is 4-0 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 373 and allowing 336 in four games (93.3/84.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Chelyabinsk's latest game was a 103-94 home overtime win over Novosibirsk on 22 Oct; the overtime inflates its raw 40-minute scoring rate.
- Barnaul is 1-4 in the 2026-27 Super League, scoring 378 and allowing 425 in five games (75.6/85.0 per game), through 22 Oct.
- Barnaul's only current-season league win was 78-74 at Metallurg on 22 Oct; its away league games have yielded 78, 81 and 79 points.
- In the last two head-to-head meetings (19 Dec 2025 and 9 Mar 2026), Chelyabinsk won 79-74 at home and 101-56 at Barnaul.
- Both teams last completed a game on 22 Oct, giving each three days' rest before this 25 Oct match.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBarnaul over 18.5Estimated chance55%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:01

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

42%

Chance of 172+ points

13 pp below break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 42%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W56–101

Barnaulv

Chelyabinsk

Mar 9, 2026·SUP

W79–74

Chelyabinskv Barnaul

Barnaul

Dec 19, 2025·SUP

L70–73

Chelyabinskv Barnaul

Barnaul

Apr 22, 2025·SUP

W52–80

Barnaulv

Chelyabinsk

Mar 10, 2025·SUP

W80–70

Chelyabinskv Barnaul

Barnaul

Dec 10, 2024·SUP

W73–65

Chelyabinskv Barnaul

Barnaul

Feb 29, 2024·SUP

L84–44

Barnaulv

Chelyabinsk

Dec 2, 2023·SUP

143Avg total points

19.9Avg margin

7meetings

League table

Super League · Super League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Chelyabinsk

4–0100%

Barnaul

1–420%

Recent Form

Chelyabinsk

13W 2L · last 15

vs Novosibirsk103–94 OTOct 22SUP

at Tambov90–85 Oct 15SUP

at Izhevsk87–78 Oct 12SUP

at Metallurg93–79 Oct 4SUP

at Khimki M.79–61 May 23SUP

vs Khimki M.61–74 May 20SUP

at Khimki M.89–81 OTMay 16SUP

at Khimki M.72–80 May 14SUP

vs Khimki M.77–69 May 10SUP

vs Khimki M.94–87 OTMay 8SUP

at Novosibirsk97–89 Apr 29SUP

vs Novosibirsk93–64 Apr 25SUP

vs Novosibirsk93–82 Apr 23SUP

at University-Ugra79–64 Apr 13SUP

vs University-Ugra81–72 Apr 9SUP

Barnaul

2W 13L · last 15

at Metallurg78–74 Oct 22SUP

vs Dynamo Grozny70–82 Oct 15SUP

vs CSKA Moscow 270–86 Oct 12SUP

vs Ufa83–83 Oct 7RUS

at Temp Sumz Revda81–91 Oct 4SUP

at Ufa79–92 Oct 1SUP

at Tambov94–75 Apr 16SUP

vs Izhevsk63–78 Apr 15SUP

at Metallurg55–77 Apr 14SUP

vs Dynamo Vladivostok78–83 Mar 25SUP

at Novosibirsk53–64 Mar 20SUP

vs Chelyabinsk56–101 Mar 9SUP

vs Metallurg78–82 Mar 6SUP

at CSKA Moscow 279–99 Feb 21SUP

at Tambov88–93 Feb 18SUP

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Chelyabinsk

0 games

Stats

0–0

Barnaul

0 games

Not enough shared stats for a comparison.

Shooting· 0–0

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Free-throw %—

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Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s—

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Free throws per shot—

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Possession· 0–0

Rebounds per game—

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Turnovers per game—

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Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.