LPBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

CD Povoa71Braga80

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–663%

Points by period: CD Povoa and Braga.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
CD Povoa	22	14	14	21
Braga	20	23	19	18

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Both teams arrive 2-1 in the LPB, but by different routes: Braga have scored 93.0 points a game in their three league games, Povoa 75.3 while conceding 70.3.

An 80.3-78.7 game after 40 minutes puts Povoa narrowly in front, and the 1.40 for a Povoa win asks more than that slim edge supports. No price here stands out.

Context

Both teams last played on 17 and 18 October 2026 and have roughly seven days' rest, so neither side is short of recovery time. No availability concerns are established, and there is no completed head-to-head on record.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CD Povoa and 15 for Braga, across seasons and competitions.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBraga +3.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga cover +5.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBraga +5.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga cover +2.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBraga +2.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for CD Povoa and 15 for Braga, across seasons and competitions.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBraga +1.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostBraga +1.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCD PovoaEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 53 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostCD PovoaEstimated chance52.7%

Points6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa score fewer than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostCD Povoa under 21.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBraga over 37.5Estimated chance60.4%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBraga over 18.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 38.5Estimated chance57.8%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonBraga over 18.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. Braga score more than 77.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBraga over 77.5Estimated chance56.2%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa score fewer than 82.5 points (overtime included) in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · Team PointswonCD Povoa under 82.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostCD Povoa over 19.5Estimated chance55.5%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: CD Povoa 80.3, Braga 78.7. CD Povoa score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- CD Povoa are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 75.3 points for and 70.3 against; they beat CAB Madeira 73-69 at home on 10 Oct 2026.
- Braga are 2-1 in LPB, averaging 93.0 points for and 79.7 against, but lost 83-96 at Ovarense on 3 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 games, Povoa shoot 49.1% on two-pointers, 29.4% on threes and 60.3% on free throws; Braga shoot 47.0%, 30.6% and 73.0%.
- Over 15 games, Povoa average 38.6 rebounds and 12.7 turnovers; Braga average 36.8 rebounds and 15.5 turnovers.
- Both teams last played on 17-18 Oct 2026 and have about seven days' rest; no completed head-to-head is on record.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonCD Povoa under 20.5Estimated chance55.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:00

Selected line

160.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

49%

Chance of 161+ points

6 pp below break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 49%.

Move the line main 160.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 49%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

LPB · LPB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

CD Povoa

2–167%

Braga

2–167%

Recent Form

CD Povoa

11W 4L · last 15

at Ovarense69–78 Oct 17LPB

vs CAB Madeira73–69 Oct 10LPB

at Esgueira84–64 Oct 3LPB

vs CAB Madeira90–72 May 31PRO

vs CAB Madeira78–61 May 30PRO

at CAB Madeira72–90 May 24PRO

vs Portimonense90–86 OTMay 17PRO

vs Portimonense68–71 OTMay 16PRO

at Portimonense93–90 OTMay 9PRO

vs Portimonense71–66 May 1PRO

at Maia73–75 Apr 25PRO

vs CAB Madeira81–75 Apr 18PRO

at Ginasio87–77 Apr 4PRO

vs Illiabum75–48 Mar 28PRO

at Imortal B90–69 Mar 22PRO

Braga

5W 10L · last 15

vs Vitoria91–72 Oct 18LPB

vs Portimonense105–71 Oct 11LPB

at Ovarense83–96 Oct 3LPB

vs Benfica79–94 May 13LPB

at Benfica72–90 May 9LPB

vs Imortal63–76 Apr 30TAC

at Ovarense74–67 Apr 25LPB

vs FC Porto68–82 Apr 18LPB

at Benfica77–108 Apr 11LPB

vs Vitoria101–84 Apr 4LPB

at Imortal73–80 Mar 28LPB

at Benfica63–104 Mar 25TAC

vs Sporting CP87–96 Mar 21LPB

at Oliveirense77–87 Mar 14LPB

vs Vitoria76–71 Mar 8TAC

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

CD Povoa

Stats

3–2

Braga

CD Povoa leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+2.1pp

49.1%

+2.1pp

47.0%

3-point %+1.2pp

29.4%

+1.2pp

30.6%

Free-throw %+12.7pp

60.3%

+12.7pp

73.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.8pp apart

30.9%

2.8pp apart

33.7%

Free throws per shot3.5pp apart

31.6%

3.5pp apart

35.1%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.8

38.6

+1.8

36.8

Turnovers per game2.8 fewer

12.7

2.8 fewer

15.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.