Liga ACBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Breogan90Unicaja103

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges1–150%

Points by period: Breogan and Unicaja.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Breogan	24	23	24	19
Unicaja	26	33	23	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Breogan's 3-1 league start against Unicaja's stingier, stronger-on-the-glass game is the tension here, and the expected score after 40 minutes is Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1 — the home side edging a close one.

Two prices back that lean: Breogan to be ahead after 40 minutes at 2.13, and the third quarter under 47.5 combined points at 1.88. The Unicaja prices, over 184.5 combined points at 1.89 and Unicaja over 92.5 team points at 1.83, do not.

Context

No confirmed availability news either way, and the difference in rest (Breogan eight days, Unicaja five days since their last completed game) is modest. The matchup is shaped by form and rebounding rather than by an off-court factor.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Breogan and 15 for Unicaja, across seasons and competitions.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostBreogan +2.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Breogan and 15 for Unicaja, across seasons and competitions.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBreogan +1.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · HandicaplostBreogan +1.5Estimated chance59.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicaplostBreogan +0.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan win in about 57 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBreoganEstimated chance57.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.13
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostBreoganEstimated chance54.9%

Points7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 47.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 47.5Estimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan score more than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBreogan over 44.5Estimated chance60.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Unicaja score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonUnicaja under 23.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. The 1st half has more than 89.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 89.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. The 2nd quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 44.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Unicaja score fewer than 92.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointslostUnicaja under 92.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. The 1st quarter has more than 44.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 44.5Estimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan score more than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBreogan over 22.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Breogan 92.4, Unicaja 90.1. Breogan score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Breogan have averaged 107.0 points in four ACB games this season (3-1), with home scores of 115 against Girona on 10 Oct and 110 against Joventut on 27 Sep.
- Unicaja have allowed 81.3 points per game in four ACB games this season, including 72 at Manresa on 17 Oct and 80 at home to Tenerife on 3 Oct.
- Unicaja are scoring 84.5 points per game in the ACB this season, while Breogan have conceded 99.8 per game over the same four-game league sample.
- Across 15 tracked games, Breogan shoot 43.8% on three-pointers and 58.6% on two-pointers, while Unicaja shoot 32.4% on three-pointers but average 36.3 rebounds to Breogan's 31.5.
- In the latest meeting, Unicaja beat Breogan 101-83 at home on 23 May 2026; the previous meeting in Breogan was 98-82 to the home side on 3 Jan 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostBreogan under 23.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 13:01

Selected line

184.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

47%

Chance of 185+ points

6 pp below break-even

Over 1.89 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 47%.

Move the line main 184.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L101–83

Unicajav

Breogan

May 23, 2026·ACB

W98–82

Breoganv

Unicaja

Jan 3, 2026·ACB

W81–79

Breoganv

Unicaja

Feb 8, 2025·ACB

L86–77

Unicajav

Breogan

Dec 28, 2024·ACB

L65–76

Breoganv

Unicaja

Mar 9, 2024·ACB

L87–70

Unicajav

Breogan

Oct 28, 2023·ACB

L74–90

Breoganv

Unicaja

Apr 20, 2023·ACB

L100–66

Unicajav

Breogan

Jan 14, 2023·ACB

W93–84

Breoganv

Unicaja

May 14, 2022·ACB

L72–64

Unicajav

Breogan

Oct 9, 2021·ACB

162.8Avg total points

14Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Breogan

3–175%

Unicaja

2–250%

Recent Form

Breogan

10W 5L · last 15

at MoraBanc Andorra102–108 Oct 17ACB

vs Basquet Girona115–92 Oct 10ACB

at Manresa101–95 Oct 3ACB

vs Joventut Badalona110–104 Sep 27ACB

at Dziki Warszawa110–113 Sep 19CL

at Manchester Basketball105–84 Sep 17CL

vs Rilski Sportist126–80 Sep 14CL

vs Basket Zaragoza94–95 May 29ACB

at Unicaja83–101 May 23ACB

vs Basquet Girona95–76 May 16ACB

vs Forca Lleida114–87 May 13ACB

at Real Madrid101–97 May 10ACB

at Baskonia84–112 May 3ACB

vs Joventut Badalona93–86 Apr 26ACB

at San Pablo Burgos99–94 Apr 19ACB

Unicaja

7W 8L · last 15

at Pardubice79–63 Oct 20CL

at Manresa84–72 Oct 17ACB

vs MoraBanc Andorra92–84 Oct 10ACB

at Juventus105–66 Oct 7CL

vs Tenerife75–80 Oct 3ACB

at Real Madrid87–89 Sep 27ACB

at Baskonia89–92 May 29ACB

at Joventut Badalona74–95 May 26ACB

vs Breogan101–83 May 23ACB

at Murcia69–87 May 17ACB

at San Pablo Burgos90–97 May 14ACB

vs Tenerife85–80 May 9CL

vs AEK Athens65–78 May 7CL

vs Gran Canaria100–101 OTApr 29ACB

vs Forca Lleida91–72 Apr 25ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Breogan

Stats

3–2

Unicaja

Breogan leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+4.8pp

58.6%

+4.8pp

53.8%

3-point %+11.4pp

43.8%

+11.4pp

32.4%

Free-throw %+1.6pp

76.3%

+1.6pp

74.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.6pp apart

38.8%

6.6pp apart

32.2%

Free throws per shot5.2pp apart

31.2%

5.2pp apart

36.4%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+4.8

31.5

+4.8

36.3

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

12.5

0.8 fewer

11.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 47.5

Breogan

Result1 of 6 landed

Points7 of 9 landed

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Breogan

Unicaja