Liga ACBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Basquet Girona101Joventut Badalona87

Sun 25 Oct 2026, 11:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–856%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Basquet Girona and Joventut Badalona.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Basquet Girona	17	28	27	29
Joventut Badalona	27	14	22	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two 2-2 ACB teams and a one-point projected game: Joventut's shooting against Girona's home scoring.

Joventut edge it, roughly 92-91 after 40 minutes, and win about 52 of 100 games like this including overtime. The one price that offers something is Girona to be ahead at the end of 40 minutes at 2.65; Joventut at 1.58 to win, 1.67 after 40 minutes and 1.91 giving 3.5 points all look short.

Context

Neither team has a confirmed availability change. Girona's 109-68 FIBA Europe Cup win on 20 October and an announced temporary signing on 21 October are the only fresh inputs, and the new guard's role against Joventut is not established.

Gregor Glas was announced as a new FIATC Girona player on 21 October under a temporary contract. The move gives Girona another listed guard ahead of the visit of Joventut, although the announcement does not establish his matchday availability or role.
- Gregor Glas signed a temporary contract with FIATC Girona on 21 October.
- The 25-year-old is listed as a guard from Novo Mesto, Slovenia.
Girona's 109-68 home win over Zastal Zielona Góra came five days before the Liga Endesa meeting with Joventut. It is a recent positive result in European competition, but it does not establish personnel availability or a likely rotation for this fixture.
- FIATC Girona defeated Zastal Zielona Góra 109-68 on 20 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Result after 40 minwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Basquet Girona

2.65fair 2.17

Market 37.7% · BetBugs 46.1%

+8.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 46 of 100 games like this. Joventut's current ACB scoring and efficiency are better, but Girona's home form and recent head-to-head wins keep the expected margin small. I expect a close, relatively high-scoring game with Joventut just ahead.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Basquet Girona and 15 for Joventut Badalona, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonBasquet Girona +3.5Estimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostBasquet Girona +1.5Estimated chance57.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Basquet Girona and 15 for Joventut Badalona, across seasons and competitions.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonBasquet Girona +1.5Estimated chance57.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona cover +3.5 (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · HandicapwonBasquet Girona +3.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonBasquet Girona +1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Joventut Badalona win in about 52 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostJoventut BadalonaEstimated chance51.6%

Points6 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. The 1st half has more than 86.5 points in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostOver 86.5Estimated chance69.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointslostOver 42.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona score more than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonBasquet Girona over 20.5Estimated chance68.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonBasquet Girona over 42.5Estimated chance67.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona score more than 87.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · Team PointswonBasquet Girona over 87.5Estimated chance66.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. The game has more than 178.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 178.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. The 1st quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 43.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Joventut Badalona score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointslostJoventut Badalona over 21.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Basquet Girona score more than 21.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostBasquet Girona over 21.5Estimated chance60.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Joventut Badalona score more than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostJoventut Badalona over 44.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basquet Girona 91.5, Joventut Badalona 92.0. Joventut Badalona score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- In the current ACB season (4 games), Girona score 91.0 and allow 100.0 per game while Joventut score 96.5 and allow 91.8, with both teams 2-2 (table observed 25 Oct 2026).
- Girona's two ACB home games average 97.0 points: 110-90 vs Leyma Coruna on 18 Oct and 84-77 vs Murcia on 27 Sep.
- Joventut's two ACB away games average 88.5 scored and 101.5 allowed: 73-93 at Baskonia on 11 Oct and 104-110 at Breogan on 27 Sep.
- Joventut scored 113 and 96 in recent ACB home wins over Barcelona (18 Oct) and Andorra (14 Oct), while Girona's latest 109-68 win came in the FIBA Europe Cup against Zielona Gora (20 Oct).
- Over 15-game samples, Joventut shoot 57.1% on two-pointers and 37.3% on threes with 11.9 turnovers per game; Girona shoot 53.6% and 35.1% with 15.7 turnovers.
- Girona won the last two head-to-head meetings: 82-77 at home on 29 May 2026 and 74-71 away on 18 Jan 2026, though those are from last season.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonJoventut Badalona under 23.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 25, 07:29

Selected line

178.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

64%

Chance of 179+ points

+12 pp above break-even

Over 1.92 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 64%.

Move the line main 178.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 64%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 36%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W82–77

Basquet Gironav

Joventut Badalona

May 29, 2026·ACB

W71–74

Joventut Badalonav

Basquet Girona

Jan 18, 2026·ACB

W83–76

Basquet Gironav

Joventut Badalona

Mar 8, 2025·ACB

L83–68

Joventut Badalonav

Basquet Girona

Nov 2, 2024·ACB

L96–90

Joventut Badalonav

Basquet Girona

Apr 21, 2024·ACB

L67–82

Basquet Gironav

Joventut Badalona

Dec 17, 2023·ACB

L92–64

Joventut Badalonav

Basquet Girona

Apr 15, 2023·ACB

W79–66

Basquet Gironav

Joventut Badalona

Jan 3, 2023·ACB

156.3Avg total points

11.5Avg margin

8meetings

League table

Liga ACB · ACB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Basquet Girona

2–250%

Joventut Badalona

2–250%

Recent Form

Basquet Girona

7W 8L · last 15

vs Zielona Gora109–68 Oct 20FIB

vs Leyma Coruna110–90 Oct 18ACB

at Oostende91–76 Oct 13FIB

at Breogan92–115 Oct 10ACB

vs Dinamo Bucharest87–75 Oct 6FIB

at Baskonia78–118 Oct 4ACB

vs Murcia84–77 Sep 27ACB

vs Joventut Badalona82–77 May 29ACB

at Bilbao80–86 May 24ACB

at Breogan76–95 May 16ACB

vs Manresa74–79 May 12ACB

at Murcia75–86 May 9ACB

vs Basket Zaragoza90–81 May 2ACB

at Gran Canaria90–100 Apr 25ACB

vs Valencia81–84 Apr 19ACB

Joventut Badalona

8W 7L · last 15

vs Bonn76–74 Oct 21CL

vs Barcelona113–89 Oct 18ACB

vs MoraBanc Andorra96–75 Oct 14ACB

at Baskonia73–93 Oct 11ACB

vs Bnei Herzliya86–75 Oct 6CL

at Breogan104–110 Sep 27ACB

vs Barcelona101–87 Sep 20SUP

vs Baskonia96–84 Sep 19SUP

vs Valencia75–87 Jun 14ACB

at Valencia76–90 Jun 12ACB

at Valencia117–118 OTJun 10ACB

at Baskonia96–88 Jun 7ACB

vs Baskonia82–63 Jun 5ACB

at Baskonia71–85 Jun 3ACB

at Basquet Girona77–82 May 29ACB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Basquet Girona

Stats

1–4

Joventut Badalona

Joventut Badalona leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+3.5pp

53.6%

+3.5pp

57.1%

3-point %15/14 games+2.2pp

35.1%

+2.2pp

37.3%

Free-throw %+21.2pp

74.3%

+21.2pp

53.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s38.1pp apart

38.3%

38.1pp apart

76.4%

Free throws per shot15/14 games0.5pp apart

26.2%

0.5pp apart

25.7%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+19.9

35.4

+19.9

55.3

Turnovers per game3.8 fewer

15.7

3.8 fewer

11.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.