LKLFinished

Predictions graded

Taurage80Nevezis76

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:10 Predictions graded

Predictions15–671%

Points by period: Taurage and Nevezis.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Taurage	19	24	18	19
Nevezis	22	18	15	21

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Two teams at the bottom of the LKL meet in Taurage, with Nevezis still chasing a first league win after five straight defeats and Taurage on one win from six.

Taurage's 81-76 cup win over the same opponent on 7 October points to a home win, with an expected score near 83-76. Nevezis +5.5 at 1.74 does not hold up; no other price stands out at these numbers.

Context

Both teams sit near the foot of the LKL with a combined one win, so the league table gives the game modest weight beyond the local matchup and the 7 October cup result.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 79 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Taurage and 15 for Nevezis, across seasons and competitions.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonTaurage +4.5Estimated chance79.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonTaurageEstimated chance69.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis cover +5.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Taurage and 15 for Nevezis, across seasons and competitions.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostNevezis +5.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonTaurageEstimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultwonTaurageEstimated chance62.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonTaurageEstimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostTaurageEstimated chance55.9%

Points10 of 14 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Taurage and 15 for Nevezis, across seasons and competitions.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonNevezis under 23.5Estimated chance80.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. The game has fewer than 167.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · Total PointswonUnder 167.5Estimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis score fewer than 81.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · Team PointswonNevezis under 81.5Estimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonTaurage under 44.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Taurage and 15 for Nevezis, across seasons and competitions.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostTaurage over 18.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. The 1st quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance64.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonTaurage under 22.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 42.5Estimated chance63.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis score fewer than 20.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonNevezis under 20.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Taurage score fewer than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · Team PointswonTaurage under 86.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 7 completed games for Taurage and 15 for Nevezis, across seasons and competitions.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 41.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis score fewer than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostNevezis under 20.5Estimated chance60.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. Nevezis score fewer than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostNevezis under 39.5Estimated chance57.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Taurage 83.0, Nevezis 76.5. The 1st half has fewer than 81.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Taurage are 1-5 in the LKL, averaging 80.0 points scored and 90.8 allowed in six games (through 21 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis are 0-5 in the LKL, averaging 70.4 points scored and 84.2 allowed in five games (through 20 Oct 2026).
- Nevezis have lost all three LKL road games, averaging 68.0 points scored and 89.3 allowed (3-17 Oct 2026).
- Taurage beat Nevezis 81-76 in the King Mindaugas Cup at Taurage on 7 Oct 2026.
- Taurage's home scores this season are 71, 82, 81 and 95 in overtime; Nevezis's LKL away scores are 62, 77 and 65.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointslostUnder 81.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 23, 06:34

Selected line

167.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

33%

Chance of 168+ points

24 pp below break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 33%.

Move the line main 167.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 33%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 67%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W81–76

Tauragev

Nevezis

Oct 7, 2026·KIN

157Avg total points

5Avg margin

1meetings

League table

LKL · LKL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Taurage

1–517%

Nevezis

0–50%

Recent Form

Taurage

2W 5L · last 7

vs Rytas71–79 Oct 21LKL

at Zalgiris Kaunas76–96 Oct 18LKL

vs Gargzdai82–102 Oct 11LKL

vs Nevezis81–76 Oct 7KIN

at Juventus77–93 Oct 4LKL

at Lietkabelis79–85 Sep 26LKL

vs Jonava95–90 OTSep 19LKL

Nevezis

1W 14L · last 15

at Jurbarkas93–69 Oct 20KIN

vs Lietkabelis72–73 Oct 17LKL

vs Gargzdai86–101 Oct 14KIN

vs Zalgiris Kaunas76–80 Oct 11LKL

at Taurage76–81 Oct 7KIN

at Neptunas62–89 Oct 3LKL

at Juventus77–94 Sep 27LKL

at Jonava65–85 Sep 22LKL

at Zalgiris Kaunas80–98 May 17LKL

vs Rytas88–117 May 13LKL

vs Juventus95–98 OTMay 9LKL

at Siauliai75–95 May 3LKL

vs Gargzdai85–90 Apr 26LKL

vs Neptunas82–110 Apr 23LKL

at Jonava89–90 Apr 18LKL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Taurage

7 games

Stats

4–1

Nevezis

Taurage leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+5.8pp

47.1%

+5.8pp

52.9%

3-point %+2.2pp

34.3%

+2.2pp

32.1%

Free-throw %+7.1pp

74.4%

+7.1pp

67.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.7pp apart

32.1%

6.7pp apart

25.4%

Free throws per shot3.3pp apart

35.3%

3.3pp apart

38.6%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+0.2

30.7

+0.2

30.5

Turnovers per game1.1 fewer

12.4

1.1 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.