NKL·Finished·Featured
Suduva-Mantinga6969 – 71
Telsiai71| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva-Mantinga | 13 | 14 | 22 | 20 |
| Telsiai | 21 | 22 | 14 | 14 |
Pre-match view
Unbeaten Telsiai bring a 7-0 NKL start to Suduva, who won all three 2025-26 meetings between these teams.
The expected score after 40 minutes is Suduva 81.0, Telsiai 85.5, so Telsiai are favoured to be ahead after 40 minutes and to win including overtime. At 1.85, over 80.5 first-half combined points is the one price worth backing; Telsiai's 22 October game is the risk.
Telsiai played on 22 October, about two days before tip, while Suduva have had seven days since 17 October; that rest gap is the main physical condition, with no confirmed availability news either way.
Davidson, in his third professional season, put up the highest individual score of Telsiai's 94-70 home victory over Vilkaviskis on 17 October, converting four of six attempts from beyond the arc while Telsiai stayed unbeaten. That kind of perimeter shooting from the backcourt is the clearest problem Sūduva's defence inherits in Marijampolė: a guard who shoots efficiently from deep pulls help defenders out of the paint and opens driving lanes for the rest of the rotation. Telsiai's willingness to keep feeding him at that volume, and whether he is fully available for this game, has not been stated.
Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60.9%
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The 1st half has more than 80.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Telsiai's current defense and 7-0 start make them the stronger side, but Suduva's rest and home scoring keep the estimate within a few points. I expect Telsiai to score in the mid-80s and Suduva around 80.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 85 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Telsiai +6.5Estimated chance84.8%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai cover +1.5 in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai +1.5Estimated chance66.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai +1.5Estimated chance65.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Telsiai +1.5Estimated chance65.5%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai +1.5Estimated chance64.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
TelsiaiEstimated chance63.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 62 of 100 games like this.
TelsiaiEstimated chance61.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
TelsiaiEstimated chance58.2%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Telsiai over 16.5Estimated chance81.3%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Telsiai over 18.5Estimated chance72.9%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai score more than 80.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai over 80.5Estimated chance70.1%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Suduva-Mantinga score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Suduva-Mantinga over 17.5Estimated chance69.4%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai score more than 39.5 points in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai over 39.5Estimated chance68.6%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The 2nd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The game has more than 162.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.85
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The 1st half has more than 80.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Suduva-Mantinga score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Suduva-Mantinga and 15 for Telsiai, across seasons and competitions.
Suduva-Mantinga under 21.5Estimated chance60.2%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. Telsiai score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this.
Telsiai over 20.5Estimated chance56.7%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Suduva-Mantinga 81.0, Telsiai 85.5. The 1st quarter has more than 40.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Selected line
162.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
61%
Chance of 163+ points
+4 pp above break-even
Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
TelsiaivSuduva-MantingaTelsiaivSuduva-MantingaSuduva-MantingavTelsiaiSuduva-MantingavTelsiaiSuduva-MantingavTelsiaiTelsiaivSuduva-MantingaTelsiaivSuduva-MantingaSuduva-MantingavTelsiaiTelsiaivSuduva-MantingaSuduva-MantingavTelsiaiSuduva-Mantinga
Telsiai
vs Omega-Tauras82–87 NKL
at Kretinga88–83 NKL
at Zalgiris Kaunas 2106–94 NKL
at Alytaus Patriotai87–80 OTNKL
vs Neptunas 276–68 NKLat Neptunas 271–79 NKLvs Neptunas 267–65 NKLat Neptunas 275–69 NKLvs Neptunas 268–73 NKL
vs Vilkaviskis77–65 NKLat Vilkaviskis76–72 NKLvs Vilkaviskis104–77 NKL
at Jurbarkas106–64 NKLvs Jurbarkas94–82 NKLat Jurbarkas98–105 OTNKL
vs Ukmerges Stekas104–70 NKLvs Vilkaviskis94–70 NKLat Neptunas 285–72 NKL
at Kedainiai BC73–61 NKL
vs Mazeikiai83–72 NKL
vs Plunges Olimpas90–70 NKL
at Rytas 291–77 NKLvs Neptunas 266–93 NKLat Neptunas 253–78 NKLvs Neptunas 267–61 NKLvs Suduva-Mantinga68–84 NKLat Rytas 265–88 NKLvs Vilkaviskis72–77 NKLat Mazeikiai86–74 NKL
at Kedainiu SC77–75 NKLLast 15 games · all competitions
Suduva-Mantinga
Stats
3–2
Telsiai
Suduva-Mantinga leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.