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Predictions graded

Pelplin99Spojnia Stargard92

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions13–476%

Edges1–0100%

Points by period: Pelplin and Spojnia Stargard.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Pelplin	34	20	25	20
Spojnia Stargard	21	22	25	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Unbeaten Spojnia Stargard, 5-0 in 1 Liga, visit a Pelplin side scoring 88.6 points a game.

Expect it close, around 89-86 to the visitors, so Spojnia to win at 1.46 and Spojnia giving 4.5 points at 1.77 give little. The first half going over 84.5 combined points at 1.82 is the price worth backing.

Context

Both teams had roughly a week between games, so freshness is not a divider; the contest turns on Spojnia's shooting efficiency against Pelplin's home scoring, with Igor Wadowski's availability still unconfirmed.

Wadowski opened the season in Spojnia's starting backcourt, next to Robert Glasper, and dropped out of the line-up completely from 10 October. Medical bulletins before the home win over Weegree AZS Politechnika Opolska and before the trip to Miasto Szkła Krosno both ruled him out, each time noting the rest of the squad was available to the coach. In Krosno the first five read Glasper, Simeon Cottle, Szymon Szmit, Jarosław Mokros and Piotr Niedźwiedzki. No bulletin has yet covered the Pelplin game, so the visitors may again be short of a guard who began the campaign in the first five.
- Spojnia Stargard ruled Igor Wadowski out of the 10 October home game against Weegree AZS Politechnika Opolska, noting the rest of the squad was available.
- A second medical bulletin on 18 October ruled him out of the away game at Miasto Szkła Krosno.
- He had started the 4 October game at Enea Basket Poznań alongside Robert Glasper, Wojciech Siembiga, Jarosław Mokros and Piotr Niedźwiedzki.
Spojnia have taken maximum points from five rounds under a new-season rebuild. The 105:79 home win over Weegree AZS Politechnika Opolska on 10 October came with scoring from the whole roster, then they ground out 77:72 at Miasto Szkła Krosno on 18 October after trailing by five at the break. That Krosno trip was one of their longest, over 800 km each way, and Pelplin is the second successive away game in a two-week block. Pelplin have won three of five, so the perfect record goes up against a side that has already beaten Krosno at home.
- Spojnia beat Miasto Szkła Krosno 77:72 away on 18 October, their fifth win in five league games.
- They had beaten Weegree AZS Politechnika Opolska 105:79 at home on 10 October, with every player in the squad scoring.
- The trip to Krosno covered more than 800 km each way, one of their longest of the season.
- In Krosno they trailed by five at half-time before taking the game.
Cottle's 36 points in 34 minutes at Miasto Szkła Krosno came on 11-of-20 shooting and 7-of-14 from beyond the arc, in a game Spojnia won by five, so his perimeter shooting was the separation. The league put him in the round-five best five next to Pelplin's Filip Gurtatowski, which frames this fixture as a meeting of two in-form scorers. He has started Spojnia's last two league games; Pelplin's defence will have to find him early in possessions rather than let him shoot over the top.
- Simeon Cottle scored 36 points in 34 minutes at Krosno, shooting 11 of 20 from the field and 7 of 14 from three-point range.
- The league named him in its best five for round five on 20 October.
- He started in Krosno alongside Robert Glasper, Szymon Szmit, Jarosław Mokros and Piotr Niedźwiedzki.
Pelplin sit on three wins from five rounds after a 106:98 victory at OPTeam Resovia Rzeszów on 17 October, a game in which the hosts kept chasing but never levelled. That followed a 91:80 home win over Miasto Szkła Krosno on 9 October, the same opponent Spojnia edged 77:72 in Krosno eight days later. Pelplin now play at home again against the league's only unbeaten side, with a seven-day gap since their last game and a scoring rhythm built on a century in Rzeszów.
- Pelplin won 106:98 at OPTeam Resovia Rzeszów on 17 October in round five.
- Resovia cut into the lead but could not close the gap.
- Pelplin's home wins this season include a 91:80 success over Miasto Szkła Krosno on 9 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

1st Half Total PointswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 84.5

1.82fair 1.62

Market 54.9% · BetBugs 61.6%

+6.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this. Spojnia have been the stronger side on both ends, with better shooting and a 5-0 record, but Pelplin have scored well at home and the gap is small enough that home court keeps this close. Spojnia's edge in efficiency and rebounding margins gives them a narrow road win.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin cover +6.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonPelplin +6.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPelplin +3.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Spojnia Stargard win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSpojnia StargardEstimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Spojnia Stargard are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minlostSpojnia StargardEstimated chance56.1%

Points11 of 13 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 84 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPelplin over 16.5Estimated chance83.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The 2nd quarter has more than 37.5 points in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonOver 37.5Estimated chance81.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Spojnia Stargard score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonSpojnia Stargard over 19.5Estimated chance71.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPelplin over 19.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Spojnia Stargard score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostSpojnia Stargard under 23.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.82
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The 1st half has more than 84.5 points in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointswonOver 84.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPelplin over 83.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The game has more than 171.5 points (overtime included) in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · Total PointswonOver 171.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Pelplin and 15 for Spojnia Stargard, across seasons and competitions.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 41.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin score more than 41.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPelplin over 41.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Pelplin score more than 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPelplin over 20.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. The 1st quarter has more than 42.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointswonOver 42.5Estimated chance56.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Pelplin 86.1, Spojnia Stargard 88.8. Spojnia Stargard score more than 43.5 points in the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Pelplin's five 2026-27 1 Liga games (27 Sep-17 Oct) produced 88.6 points scored and 88.4 allowed, with a 106-98 win at Rzeszow on 17 October and home wins of 91-80 over Krosno (9 Oct) and 89-76 over Opolska (27 Sep).
- Spojnia Stargard are 5-0 in 1 Liga through 18 October, averaging 90.4 scored and 81.0 allowed, including 77-72 at Krosno and 105-79 at home to Opolska.
- Across 14 box scores Spojnia shoot 55.6% on twos and 35.0% on threes, against Pelplin's 53.7% and 30.7% over 15 games — a clear efficiency gap for the visitors.
- Pelplin's free-throw shooting is a weak point: 63.0% (261/414) over 15 games versus Spojnia's 70.3% (258/367); Pelplin also turn it over more (15.7 vs 13.9 per game).
- In last season's seven meetings Spojnia won five, but those games came between September 2025 and April 2026 and both rosters have changed.
- Spojnia guard Igor Wadowski was ruled out of the 10 and 18 October games; no bulletin yet covers this fixture, so his status is unconfirmed.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostSpojnia Stargard over 43.5Estimated chance55.9%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 23, 06:34

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

60%

Chance of 172+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 60%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 60%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 40%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L93–78

Spojnia Stargardv Pelplin

Pelplin

Apr 29, 2026·1 L

W83–76

Pelplinv

Spojnia Stargard

Apr 26, 2026·1 L

L68–92

Pelplinv

Spojnia Stargard

Apr 25, 2026·1 L

W84–87

Spojnia Stargardv Pelplin

Pelplin

Apr 19, 2026·1 L

L96–80

Spojnia Stargardv Pelplin

Pelplin

Apr 18, 2026·1 L

L92–90

Spojnia Stargardv Pelplin

Pelplin

Jan 17, 2026·1 L

W107–102

Pelplinv

Spojnia Stargard

Sep 27, 2025·1 L

175.4Avg total points

10.3Avg margin

7meetings

League table

1 Liga · 1. Liga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Pelplin

3–260%

Spojnia Stargard

5–0100%

Recent Form

Pelplin

8W 7L · last 15

at R. Rzeszow106–98 Oct 171 L

vs Krosno91–80 Oct 91 L

at WKK Wroclaw83–97 Oct 31 L

at Leszno74–91 Sep 301 L

vs Poli. Opolska89–76 Sep 271 L

at Spojnia Stargard78–93 Apr 291 L

vs Spojnia Stargard83–76 Apr 261 L

vs Spojnia Stargard68–92 Apr 251 L

at Spojnia Stargard87–84 Apr 191 L

at Spojnia Stargard80–96 Apr 181 L

at R. Rzeszow78–101 Apr 151 L

vs WKK Wroclaw90–79 Apr 111 L

at Poznan97–79 Apr 81 L

vs Inowroclaw70–79 Mar 281 L

at Zubry Bialystok91–84 Mar 211 L

Spojnia Stargard

9W 6L · last 15

at Krosno77–72 Oct 181 L

vs Poli. Opolska105–79 Oct 101 L

at Poznan99–94 Oct 41 L

vs Bytom88–79 Sep 261 L

at GKS Tychy83–81 Sep 191 L

vs Starogard Gdanski78–79 May 231 L

at Starogard Gdanski102–94 May 161 L

at LKS Lodz85–101 May 81 L

vs LKS Lodz71–107 May 31 L

vs LKS Lodz66–95 May 21 L

vs Pelplin93–78 Apr 291 L

at Pelplin76–83 Apr 261 L

at Pelplin92–68 Apr 251 L

vs Pelplin84–87 Apr 191 L

vs Pelplin96–80 Apr 181 L

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Pelplin

Stats

1–4

Spojnia Stargard

14 games

Spojnia Stargard leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+1.9pp

53.7%

+1.9pp

55.6%

3-point %+4.3pp

30.7%

+4.3pp

35.0%

Free-throw %+7.3pp

63.0%

+7.3pp

70.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.8pp apart

23.2%

7.8pp apart

31.0%

Free throws per shot0.6pp apart

42.2%

0.6pp apart

42.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.6

35.3

+1.6

33.7

Turnovers per game1.8 fewer

15.7

1.8 fewer

13.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.