Primera FEBFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Palencia84Ourense80

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions20–291%

Points by period: Palencia and Ourense.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Palencia	13	22	25	24
Ourense	25	20	16	19

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Palencia's home floor against Ourense's road scoring is the tension: the hosts shoot 50.6% from two across 15 games, the visitors average 86.5 points this season.

The expected score is near 86-79 to Palencia, who are ahead after 40 minutes in roughly two of every three games like this. The lean is Palencia to win, though with 172 prices on the board none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Palencia's cup exit and Ourense's cup progress both came on 21 October, Marc García is doubtful for the visitors and Álex Jordá has left Palencia, so rotation options on both sides are unsettled. None of that establishes a performance edge, and no availability is confirmed.

García is a wing in Ourense's senior squad, and his absence would narrow the options available to Moncho López for the second away game of the week, after the cup tie in Catalonia. A return in the next home game would mean the coaching staff cover his minutes in Palencia from a shorter rotation. His availability for Saturday has not been settled, so any change to the rotation remains uncertain.
- Marc García has been named this week among the players Ourense are without.
- His return is being pointed towards the following home fixture rather than the visit to Palencia.
Palencia spent Wednesday on the road in Cantabria and came home eliminated, so round five follows a midweek defeat rather than a cup fixture still to come. The exit clears a midweek date later in the calendar but leaves the staff three days to reset the group before Ourense arrive at their own arena. How much of the cup workload carried by Josip Vrankic and the starters is repeated on Saturday is unresolved.
- Grupo Alega Cantabria beat Palencia 89-78 in the Copa España round of 32 on 21 October.
- The tie was played at the Pabellón Vicente Trueba in Torrelavega and was decided after half-time.
- Palencia confirmed their elimination that night.
Moncho López's team played in Catalonia on Wednesday and now goes to Palencia on Saturday, giving them two away games inside four days. Progress also adds another midweek cup fixture later in the calendar, which matters for a squad already being managed through a busy opening month. Whether the coach trims minutes for the Palencia game because of that load is unclear.
- Ourense beat CB Prat in the Copa España round of 32 on 21 October.
- The game was played at the Joan Busquets pavilion with a 20:00 start.
- The result sent Ourense into the round of 16.
Jordá's exit reduces the guards available to Palencia for the visit of Ourense, in a week when the staff are already reshuffling after a cup elimination. Whether the club registers another perimeter player before the weekend is unclear, so the size of the backcourt rotation against Ourense remains open.
- Álex Jordá joined Caja Rural CB Zamora on 21 October, a day after leaving Palencia.
- He had been playing at Palencia on a temporary contract that ended before the move.
- Zamora added him as an outside reinforcement for their Primera FEB squad.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result9 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense cover +16.5 (overtime included) in about 78 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · HandicapwonOurense +16.5Estimated chance77.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia cover +3.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Palencia and 15 for Ourense, across seasons and competitions.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonPalencia +3.5Estimated chance75.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense cover +9.5 in the 1st half in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapwonOurense +9.5Estimated chance72.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPalenciaEstimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonPalenciaEstimated chance68.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense cover +4.5 in the 1st quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapwonOurense +4.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostPalenciaEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Palencia and 15 for Ourense, across seasons and competitions.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonOurense +4.5Estimated chance62.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultwonPalenciaEstimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultlostPalenciaEstimated chance56.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonPalenciaEstimated chance55.2%

Points11 of 11 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense score more than 35.5 points in the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonOurense over 35.5Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense score more than 73.5 points (overtime included) in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Team PointswonOurense over 73.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Palencia and 15 for Ourense, across seasons and competitions.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonPalencia over 18.5Estimated chance69.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia score fewer than 45.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointswonPalencia under 45.5Estimated chance63.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia score fewer than 89.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · Team PointswonPalencia under 89.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense score more than 18.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonOurense over 18.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointswonPalencia under 22.5Estimated chance58.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonOurense over 18.5Estimated chance58.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Ourense score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Palencia and 15 for Ourense, across seasons and competitions.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonOurense under 20.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Palencia and 15 for Ourense, across seasons and competitions.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance56.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Palencia 85.7, Ourense 78.9. Palencia score fewer than 22.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Palencia are 3-1 in Primera FEB this season, averaging 83.3 points scored and 74.5 conceded over four games through 18 October.
- Ourense are 2-2, averaging 86.5 points scored and 85.3 conceded; three of those four games were at home, with their only road game a 90-86 win at Gipuzkoa on 4 October.
- Across 15 tracked games, Palencia shoot 50.6% on two-pointers and 36.5% on three-pointers, while Ourense shoot 46.8% and 30.6%.
- Palencia average 35.6 rebounds per game to Ourense's 34.5 across the same 15-game sample.
- Palencia beat Ourense in both 2025-26 league meetings: 93-90 away on 21 April 2026 and 83-77 at home on 16 January 2026.
- Both played Copa España on 21 October: Palencia lost 89-78 at Grupo Alega Cantabria, while Ourense won at CB Prat; Ourense's Marc García is doubtful and missing from the latest box score.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointswonPalencia under 22.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 23, 06:34

Selected line

164.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

52%

Chance of 165+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 52%.

Move the line main 164.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W90–93

Ourensev

Palencia

Apr 21, 2026·PRI

W83–77

Palenciav

Ourense

Jan 16, 2026·PRI

L94–84

Ourensev

Palencia

Apr 23, 2025·LEB

W114–81

Palenciav

Ourense

Dec 14, 2024·LEB

W86–80

Palenciav

Ourense

Apr 9, 2023·LEB

W66–82

Ourensev

Palencia

Dec 11, 2022·LEB

W87–69

Palenciav

Ourense

Jan 3, 2021·LEB

L75–68

Ourensev

Palencia

Oct 24, 2020·LEB

W87–80

Palenciav

Ourense

Feb 7, 2020·LEB

W72–81

Ourensev

Palencia

Oct 20, 2019·LEB

164.9Avg total points

11.5Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Primera FEB · Primera FEB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Palencia

3–175%

Ourense

2–250%

Recent Form

Palencia

11W 4L · last 15

at Estudiantes77–86 Oct 18PRI

vs Menorca91–76 Oct 9PRI

vs Cordoba70–67 Oct 2PRI

at Albacete95–69 Sep 26PRI

at Leyma Coruna81–92 Jun 6PRI

vs Fuenlabrada76–51 May 29PRI

at Fuenlabrada72–78 May 24PRI

at Fuenlabrada81–88 May 22PRI

vs Fuenlabrada83–79 May 17PRI

vs Fuenlabrada90–52 May 15PRI

vs Estela100–70 May 8PRI

at Cartagena82–72 May 2PRI

vs Fibwi Palma92–70 Apr 25PRI

at Ourense93–90 Apr 21PRI

at Hestia Menorca72–67 Apr 18PRI

Ourense

4W 11L · last 15

vs Alicante79–83 Oct 16PRI

vs Estela86–101 Oct 10PRI

at Gipuzkoa90–86 Oct 4PRI

vs Tizona Burgos91–71 Sep 26PRI

vs Oviedo70–74 May 8PRI

at Melilla93–84 May 3PRI

at Hestia Menorca70–73 Apr 26PRI

vs Palencia90–93 Apr 21PRI

at Obradoiro CAB57–94 Apr 17PRI

vs Estela67–72 Apr 11PRI

at Palmer Basket56–72 Apr 5PRI

vs Zamora84–105 Mar 28PRI

vs Tizona Burgos79–77 Mar 14PRI

vs Leyma Coruna59–74 Mar 11PRI

at Gipuzkoa79–81 Mar 7PRI

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Palencia

Stats

4–0

Ourense

Palencia leads in 4 of 4 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+3.8pp

50.6%

+3.8pp

46.8%

3-point %+5.9pp

36.5%

+5.9pp

30.6%

Free-throw %+4.6pp

76.3%

+4.6pp

71.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s11.6pp apart

39.0%

11.6pp apart

27.4%

Free throws per shot0.1pp apart

36.7%

0.1pp apart

36.6%

Possession· 1–0

Rebounds per game+1.1

35.6

+1.1

34.5

Turnovers per game—

0.0

—

0.0

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.