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Predictions graded

JL Bourg89Gravelines-Dunkerque81

Sat 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Points by period: JL Bourg and Gravelines-Dunkerque.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
JL Bourg	33	15	18	23
Gravelines-Dunkerque	28	25	15	13

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Bottom-of-the-table Gravelines-Dunkerque, 0-4 in the league, visit a Bourg side that has just won in the EuroCup.

Bourg are without Tyson Walker for around six weeks and had only three days between games, but the expected margin is still about ten points, near 90-80. Every market is priced, yet no line justifies a bet at our numbers.

Context

Walker's confirmed six-week absence and Campbell's arrival as cover, plus Bourg's three-day turnaround against Gravelines' six days of rest, are genuine conditions for this game; a Neal Quinn return for Gravelines is reported but unconfirmed.

Walker's muscle problem returned in early October and Bourg immediately framed the absence in weeks rather than days, signing cover at the position. The six-week window runs into mid-November, so Saturday's game falls inside it. Bourg have since shared the ball-handling between Tyger Campbell, Nathan Soliman and Assemian Moulare, and no firmer return date has been given.
- Bourg set an estimated six-week absence for Tyson Walker after the recurrence of his muscle injury.
- The club said at the same time that it would recruit a medical joker at point guard.
Campbell, a 26-year-old 1.80m guard who previously played at Saint-Quentin, arrived as temporary cover rather than a permanent signing, which says how Bourg read Walker's injury. He was qualified quickly and has run the offence since, including a 10-assist night against Trento. Against Gravelines he is expected to handle the ball again, with Soliman and Moulare alongside him in a shortened backcourt.
- Bourg confirmed on 6 October that Tyger Campbell was joining as a medical joker.
- Campbell was cleared to play for the league trip to Boulazac on 10 October.
- Campbell recorded 15 points and 10 assists in his first home EuroCup game, a 90-79 win over Trento on 21 October.
Bourg had won once in seven outings when they hosted Trento, and the 90-79 result stopped a three-game European slide. Captain Lionel Gaudoux led the scoring with 20 points and seven rebounds, his second consecutive 25-evaluation game, while Campbell added 10 assists. The league record remains the problem, with the one-point loss at Le Mans on 18 October. Saturday is a chance to carry the European win into a competition where Bourg have struggled.
- Lionel Gaudoux scored 20 points and took seven rebounds in the 90-79 win over Trento at Ekinox.
- Bourg had lost their opening three EuroCup games before that victory.
- Le Mans beat Bourg 91-90 in the league on 18 October, a sixth defeat in seven games across competitions.
Quinn, a 213cm centre, has not played an official game since last season and began this campaign on the injury list, which is why Gravelines brought in a medical replacement. His return would give the bottom side another option in the paint for a team that has lost all four league games. Whether the move is completed and whether he is ready for minutes after seven months out remain open, so a debut on Saturday is not established.
- More than seven months have passed since Neal Quinn's last official game.
- Gravelines are set to complete his return to Betclic Élite.
- Quinn was injured at the start of this season, when Gravelines signed Hassan Martin as a medical replacement.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for JL Bourg and 15 for Gravelines-Dunkerque, across seasons and competitions.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapwonJL Bourg +4.5Estimated chance82.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg win in about 79 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonJL BourgEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonJL BourgEstimated chance77.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostJL BourgEstimated chance70.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostJL BourgEstimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonJL BourgEstimated chance60.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. JL Bourg are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultwonJL BourgEstimated chance59.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. Gravelines-Dunkerque cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for JL Bourg and 15 for Gravelines-Dunkerque, across seasons and competitions.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapwonGravelines-Dunkerque +4.5Estimated chance57%

Points1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointswonUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: JL Bourg 89.7, Gravelines-Dunkerque 79.5. Gravelines-Dunkerque score fewer than 40.5 points in the 1st half in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- JL Bourg have scored 89.0 points per game in the current LNB season (356 in 4 games) but have conceded 89.5 (358), with the 103-106 overtime loss at Saint-Quentin on 26 September inflating both figures.
- Gravelines-Dunkerque are 0-4 in the LNB, averaging 79.5 scored and 91.5 conceded (318/366) through the 92-83 home loss to Dijon on 18 October.
- Gravelines' only away league game this season was a 73-101 defeat at Nanterre on 10 October; they also lost 106-81 at Denain in the French Cup on 6 October.
- Bourg beat Trento 90-79 in the EuroCup on 21 October, three days before this game, with Tyger Campbell recording 15 points and 10 assists as cover for the injured Tyson Walker (six-week absence confirmed 6 October).
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings Bourg have won eight, including 95-78 in May 2026 and 84-75 in December 2025, with Gravelines' home scores in that span often in the 60s and 70s.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointslostGravelines-Dunkerque under 40.5Estimated chance55.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 23, 05:47

Selected line

169.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

51%

Chance of 170+ points

2 pp below break-even

Over 1.90 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 51%.

Move the line main 169.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 51%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 49%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W95–78

JL Bourgv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

May 16, 2026·LNB

W75–84

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

JL Bourg

Dec 14, 2025·LNB

W94–84

JL Bourgv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Mar 8, 2025·LNB

W75–83

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

JL Bourg

Oct 27, 2024·LNB

W64–75

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

JL Bourg

Apr 30, 2024·LNB

W90–82

JL Bourgv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Sep 30, 2023·LNB

L73–69

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

JL Bourg

Jan 21, 2023·LNB

W90–81

JL Bourgv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Dec 17, 2022·LNB

W55–92

Gravelines-Dunkerquev

JL Bourg

Apr 12, 2022·LNB

L66–81

JL Bourgv

Gravelines-Dunkerque

Oct 30, 2021·LNB

158.6Avg total points

12.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB Élite · LNB - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

JL Bourg

1–325%

Gravelines-Dunkerque

0–40%

Recent Form

JL Bourg

4W 11L · last 15

vs Trento90–79 Oct 21EUR

at Le Mans90–91 Oct 18LNB

at Neptunas89–93 Oct 13EUR

at Boulazac73–84 Oct 10LNB

vs Tofas82–89 Oct 6EUR

vs Chalon/Saone90–77 Oct 3LNB

at Basket Napoli76–84 Sep 30EUR

at Saint Quentin103–106 OTSep 26LNB

vs Monaco103–114 May 27LNB

at Monaco75–81 May 25LNB

vs Strasbourg91–71 May 20LNB

vs Gravelines-Dunkerque95–78 May 16LNB

at Dijon83–101 May 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne77–91 May 5LNB

vs Saint Quentin71–89 May 3LNB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

2W 13L · last 15

vs Dijon83–92 Oct 18LNB

at Nanterre73–101 Oct 10LNB

at Denain-Voltaire81–106 Oct 6FRE

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne65–70 Oct 4LNB

vs Le Mans97–103 OTSep 26LNB

at JL Bourg78–95 May 16LNB

vs Nanterre80–85 OTMay 9LNB

at Lyon-Villeurbanne79–88 May 1LNB

vs Le Mans83–96 Apr 18LNB

at Limoges64–93 Apr 11LNB

vs Le Portel100–78 Apr 5LNB

at Chalon/Saone81–86 Mar 27LNB

vs Monaco77–89 Mar 21LNB

at Paris115–109 OTMar 15LNB

vs Boulazac91–92 Mar 8LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

JL Bourg

Stats

2–3

Gravelines-Dunkerque

14 games

Gravelines-Dunkerque leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+2.5pp

52.6%

+2.5pp

55.1%

3-point %+2.2pp

33.2%

+2.2pp

35.4%

Free-throw %11/14 games+0.1pp

73.5%

+0.1pp

73.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s8.6pp apart

30.2%

8.6pp apart

38.8%

Free throws per shot11/14 games10.6pp apart

41.7%

10.6pp apart

31.1%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+4.0

32.1

+4.0

28.1

Turnovers per game0.1 fewer

13.3

0.1 fewer

13.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.